Nigeria FX Market: Dollar Demand Surges, Naira Slides Slightly in Festive Season - Newstrends
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Nigeria FX Market: Dollar Demand Surges, Naira Slides Slightly in Festive Season

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Naira-dollar

Nigeria FX Market: Dollar Demand Surges, Naira Slides Slightly in Festive Season

Nigeria’s foreign exchange (FX) market has experienced increased dollar demand as year-end “Detty December” spending intensified, placing mild pressure on the naira despite sustained interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and rising external reserves.

The naira depreciated by 0.1 per cent week-on-week to N1,456/$1, as heightened holiday-related imports, international travel, and corporate year-end settlements offset a $250 million FX injection by the CBN and inflows from offshore investors.

Data from the apex bank showed that Nigeria’s gross external reserves rose for the 25th consecutive week, climbing by $396.84 million to $45.44 billion as of December 11. The increase has reinforced investor confidence and strengthened the country’s external buffers.

In the forwards market, the naira depreciated across 1-month (-0.4% to N1,485.97/$1), 3-month (-0.5% to N1,536.28/$1), and 6-month (-0.9% to N1,599.70/$1) contracts, while the 1-year contract appreciated slightly by 0.3 per cent to N1,726.89/$1.

Market analysts attributed the renewed pressure on the naira to seasonal FX demand, a trend typical of the festive period, while noting that inflows from diaspora remittances, inbound travel, and tourism spending could provide some support later in the month.

The Financial Markets Dealers Association (FMDA) noted that despite heightened demand, December also often sees improved foreign-currency inflows, which could strengthen the naira.

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The official FX market recorded a 1.73% month-on-month depreciation in November to N1,446.74/$1, reflecting a combination of rising seasonal demand and external pressures, including a stronger US dollar amid ongoing US–China trade tensions.

Domestic measures continued to support stability. The CBN retained the Monetary Policy Rate at 27%, while the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) expanded naira-denominated crude sales to local refineries to curb domestic dollar demand.

In the parallel market, the naira weakened slightly to N1,476/$1 in late November, widening the gap with the official rate. Analysts, however, noted that the gap remains narrow, supported by steady diaspora remittances and moderated import demand.

Following a sharp devaluation two years ago, the naira has stabilized significantly, strengthening by N215.73 over the past year in the official market. The rollout of the CBN’s Electronic Foreign Exchange Management System has improved market transparency and price discovery.

As of December 2, 2025, the naira had appreciated by 14.93% year-on-year to N1,445.39/$1, but analysts caution that its stability remains vulnerable to structural external sector weaknesses and global oil market volatility.

“Strong net FX liquidity, a positive current account position, and rising external reserves continue to underpin investor confidence. Combined with slow import demand growth, we expect the naira to remain broadly stable in the near to medium term,” said analysts at Cordros Research.

Nigeria FX Market: Dollar Demand Surges, Naira Slides Slightly in Festive Season

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TCAN Targets Logistics Reforms to Drive Economic Growth at 2026 Transport Summit

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TCAN Targets Logistics Reforms to Drive Economic Growth at 2026 Transport Summit

The Transportation Correspondents Association of Nigeria (TCAN) has begun preparations for its 2026 Annual Transport Summit, placing Nigeria’s logistics value chain at the centre of national economic discourse.

Scheduled for September 2026 in Lagos, the summit will be held under the theme, “Unlocking Economic Growth Through Transportation Logistics.”

It is expected to draw major stakeholders across the aviation, maritime, rail and road transport sectors, alongside logistics service providers, policymakers, regulators, development partners and financial institutions.

In a statement, TCAN said the summit would critically examine how efficient transportation logistics can serve as a catalyst for sustainable economic growth, trade facilitation, job creation and regional integration, especially in the context of ongoing reforms and infrastructure investments within the sector.

Chairman of TCAN, Tola Adenubi, described transportation logistics as the backbone of economic development, stressing that the performance of Nigeria’s logistics ecosystem directly impacts the nation’s competitiveness.

“From cargo handling at airports and seaports to inland freight movement and last-mile delivery systems, the efficiency of Nigeria’s logistics architecture plays a decisive role in determining the competitiveness of the nation’s economy,” Adenubi said.

He noted that the 2026 summit would explore innovative strategies to strengthen the sector, including digital transformation, infrastructure financing models, public-private partnerships and regulatory reforms aimed at optimising performance.

Chairman of the 2026 Conference Committee, Suleiman Idris, said the summit would feature high-level panel discussions, keynote addresses and interactive sessions designed to assess the current state of Nigeria’s transportation logistics framework.

According to him, deliberations will focus on identifying bottlenecks hindering seamless cargo and passenger movement, examining the impact of multimodal transport integration on economic expansion, and highlighting investment opportunities within the logistics and supply chain ecosystem.

Idris added that experts at the summit would also provide policy recommendations targeted at enhancing operational efficiency and boosting Nigeria’s global competitiveness in trade and transportation.

As part of the programme, TCAN will confer its Champions of Transport Industry Development (COTID) certificates on selected government agencies and private operators that have made significant contributions to the advancement of Nigeria’s transportation sector.

Over the years, the TCAN Annual Transport Summit has evolved into a credible platform for constructive engagement between regulators, operators and other industry stakeholders.

The association said the 2026 edition aims to deepen policy conversations, promote transparency and accountability, and accelerate reforms capable of unlocking the full economic potential of Nigeria’s transport and logistics industry.

With logistics increasingly recognised as a key enabler of economic growth, industry observers expect the 2026 summit to set the tone for fresh strategies that could reshape Nigeria’s transportation landscape in the years ahead.

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Petrol Jumps to ₦937 in Lagos, ₦975 in Abuja Amid Middle East Oil Crisis

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Fuel pump price

Petrol Jumps to ₦937 in Lagos, ₦975 in Abuja Amid Middle East Oil Crisis

Nigeria’s fuel market is under renewed strain as escalating tensions in the Middle East push global crude oil prices above $80 per barrel, driving domestic petrol prices toward the ₦1,000 per litre mark. Motorists across the country, from Lagos to Abuja, have woken to sharp increases at filling stations, with pump prices rising almost overnight.

In Lagos, several outlets raised the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) from ₦830–₦835 per litre to ₦937, while in the Federal Capital Territory, major retailers including NNPC Limited and MRS Oil Nigeria Plc increased prices from ₦875 to ₦975 per litre. Independent marketers were dispensing fuel at about ₦960 per litre, reflecting the immediate effects of rising international oil prices.

The surge followed a fresh upward review in the ex-depot price by Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, which moved its gantry price from ₦774 to approximately ₦874–₦875 per litre. Industry insiders linked the hike to rising replacement costs and the ongoing surge in crude prices. A senior refinery official confirmed that petrol loading operations were temporarily suspended earlier in the week, further tightening supply expectations and accelerating retail price adjustments.

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The Middle East conflict, particularly involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, has heightened fears of disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic maritime route responsible for nearly one-fifth of global crude supply. Analysts warn that prolonged instability in the corridor could push global oil prices to $100 per barrel or higher, with direct consequences for Nigeria’s cost-reflective petrol pricing system.

The Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN) described the situation as worrisome, noting that rising crude prices inevitably feed into domestic pump prices, given the current deregulated pricing regime. PETROAN’s National President, Mr Billy Gillis-Harry, emphasized the urgent need to strengthen Nigeria’s domestic refining capacity as a protective buffer. The association also called for consistent crude supply to local refineries and accelerated rehabilitation of the country’s four state-owned refineries to cushion the economy against external shocks.

For Nigerians, the impact has been immediate. Commercial drivers and commuters report that rising fuel costs are forcing them to adjust transport fares, adding pressure to household budgets. “I bought fuel yesterday at ₦875, and this morning it is ₦975. Every increase affects us directly. If we don’t raise fares, we run at a loss,” said Mr. Chinedu Okeke, a driver in Abuja.

Commuters fear the ripple effect of higher petrol costs on everyday goods. “If fuel is almost ₦1,000 per litre, it means fares and prices of essentials will rise. Things are becoming unbearable,” said Mrs. Aisha Ladan, a civil servant in the capital city. Analysts warn that increased transport costs could widen inflationary pressures, as businesses pass on higher operational expenses to consumers.

The psychological impact of petrol nearing the four-digit mark is also significant. For many Nigerians, it represents another milestone in a period already marked by subsidy removal, currency volatility, and persistent price adjustments. Unless global energy markets stabilize or domestic refining capacity is expanded, petrol prices in Nigeria may soon cross ₦1,000 per litre, with broad implications for the economy.

Petrol Jumps to ₦937 in Lagos, ₦975 in Abuja Amid Middle East Oil Crisis

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FG Bans Roadblocks, Cash Tax Collection Nationwide

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New Tax Law

FG Bans Roadblocks, Cash Tax Collection Nationwide

The Federal Government of Nigeria has officially banned the mounting of roadblocks and the collection of taxes in cash nationwide, in a decisive move to modernise the country’s tax system, enhance transparency, and streamline revenue collection across federal, state, and local governments.

The announcement was made in Abuja by Mr Olusegun Adesokan, Executive Secretary of the Joint Revenue Board, during the signing of the Presumptive Tax Regulations and Implementation Guidelines. Adesokan said the new rules are designed to eliminate informal, coercive, and fragmented tax practices, particularly in the informal sector, and promote fairness and equity in tax administration.

“All forms of cash tax collection by authorities are now prohibited, alongside the use of roadblocks for revenue enforcement,” Adesokan explained, stressing that these reforms signal a nationwide shift toward technology-driven tax collection systems.

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Under the regulations, nano and small businesses with an annual turnover of ₦12 million or less are exempt from taxation, while other informal businesses are subject to a 1% tax on turnover. The reforms encourage the use of digital payments and the integration of operators into the formal economy through a Tax Identification Number (TIN) platform, ensuring uniform tax administration across states.

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, described the move as a shift from legislative approval of Nigeria’s 2025–2026 tax reforms to full implementation. Edun emphasised that the framework does not raise tax rates but broadens the tax base, prevents arbitrary assessments, protects small businesses, and supports economic growth.

Mr Joseph Tegbe, Chairman of the National Tax Policy Implementation Committee, said the reforms aim to restore order and replace arbitrary practices with transparency. He highlighted that the informal sector employs over 80% of Nigeria’s workforce, yet its contribution to structured public revenue remains low. The guidelines are intended to encourage compliance while strengthening revenue mobilisation for public services.

The ban on roadblocks, a longstanding method for informal tax enforcement, is expected to reduce harassment of traders and motorists, improve ease of doing business, and foster trust in government tax authorities. Observers say the shift to cashless, digital tax collection will curb corruption, enhance efficiency, and integrate informal operators into the formal economy.

FG Bans Roadblocks, Cash Tax Collection Nationwide

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