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Fourth Mainland Bridge Stalls in 2026 Despite N220.73m Budget Spend

Fourth Mainland Bridge Stalls in 2026 Despite N220.73m Budget Spend

The Lagos State Government has spent N220.73 million on the long-delayed Fourth Mainland Bridge project in 2026, even though construction of the 38-kilometre infrastructure has yet to commence. The expenditure represents 22.1 per cent of the N1 billion budgeted for the project this year, according to the Lagos State Budget Implementation Report for the second quarter of 2026. The report, under the Office of Infrastructure, shows that while the project recorded zero performance in the second quarter, its year-to-date expenditure stood at N220,730,307.65, leaving a balance of N779.27 million against the original budget. This spending comes despite the project remaining on paper nearly two decades after it was first proposed in 2006.

The Fourth Mainland Bridge has been a recurring promise across multiple administrations in Lagos State. The ambitious infrastructure is designed to connect Abraham Adesanya in Ajah with the northwest axis of Lagos, linking to the Lagos-Ibadan Expressway through Owutu/Isawo in Ikorodu. It is expected to feature three toll plazas, nine interchanges, and a 4.5-kilometre crossing of the Lagos Lagoon. Originally slated for construction in 2017 with a projected completion date of 2019, the bridge has failed to materialise despite repeated assurances from successive governors. The project has been a talking point for every Lagos governor from President Bola Tinubu’s tenure to Babatunde Fashola, Akinwunmi Ambode, and now Babajide Sanwo-Olu.

In December 2022, the Lagos State Government announced the Chinese CCECC-CRCCIG Consortium as the preferred bidder for the project. The bidding process began in November 2019, with 52 responses received, of which 32 were deemed responsive. Six bidders met the criteria to progress to the Request for Proposal stage, with the CCECC-CRCCIG Consortium emerging as the preferred bidder. Governor Sanwo-Olu made repeated commitments that construction would commence in early 2023, and later shifted the date to March-April 2024. However, over 15 months after the last announced work commencement date, no flag-off ceremony has taken place, and the preferred bidder has yet to move to site. The project was also scheduled to be completed by 2027, before the end of Sanwo-Olu’s tenure, but that timeline appears increasingly unrealistic.

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The project’s estimated cost has escalated significantly over the years. Originally budgeted at $2.2 billion**, the cost has now been revised to approximately **$2.5 billion. In November 2023, the Lagos State Government secured a **$1.35 billion loan commitment** from the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) and Access Bank for the Fourth Mainland Bridge and related infrastructure. However, financing challenges have continued to hamper the project. Governor Sanwo-Olu has attributed the delay to the requirement for a **sovereign guarantee from the Federal Government**. In an interview, he explained: “Everybody that has raised funding to help us develop that project—that’s a $2 billion project—they’re asking for a sovereign guarantee. They are asking for you to get a commitment from the central government. We are not the central government, so we have not been able to push that because that would mean going to the Federal Executive Council (FEC) and the National Assembly.” The governor emphasized that Lagos is being cautious about its debt profile, especially with current currency fluctuations. “Part of the things we’re looking at is how far down can we get a sustainable funding model that can still help Lagos to be able to plan. With the currency movement, we need to be careful with our debt profile,” Sanwo-Olu said.

The project, first proposed in 2006, has undergone several attempts at financing and execution across multiple administrations. In May 2016, former Governor Akinwunmi Ambode signed a Memorandum of Understanding with a consortium comprising the Africa Finance Corporation, Access Bank, Julius Berger Nigeria Plc, Nigerian Westminster Dredging and Marine, J.P. Morgan, Hi-Tech Construction Limited, Eldorado Nigeria Limited, and Visible Asset Limited for an N844 billion PPP arrangement. However, the arrangement was cancelled in May 2017 after the Lagos State Government cited delays by the consortium in commencing the project. The Sanwo-Olu administration later revived the project under a new PPP arrangement, selecting the CCECC-CRCCIG Consortium as preferred bidder in December 2022.

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Despite the project remaining stalled, it continues to feature in political discourse. President Bola Tinubu, while congratulating Governor Sanwo-Olu on his 60th birthday, urged the governor to prioritise the long-awaited Fourth Mainland Bridge, saying: “I urge you to sustain this trajectory by prioritising impactful projects for Lagosians, notably the long-awaited Fourth Mainland Bridge and the Freedom Way to Victoria Garden City (VGC) Road.” Interestingly, during the 2026 new year thanksgiving service, Governor Sanwo-Olu listed a number of projects that would receive state government attention, including provisions for them in the 2026 budget, but he never mentioned the Fourth Mainland Bridge. Even during subsequent project commissioning ceremonies, the bridge was not a talking point, unlike in previous years, suggesting a shift in the administration’s public focus.

Efforts to get comment from the Commissioner of Information and Strategy, Gbenga Omotoso, proved abortive as he did not respond to calls or text messages. Questions were sent asking for details on what the N220.73 million was spent on, considering that construction has not yet commenced. The budget allocation for the project in 2026 is part of the state’s N4.44 trillion “Budget of Sustainable Transformation,” which dedicates approximately N2.64 trillion (60 per cent) to capital expenditure, with a strong emphasis on infrastructure. The Lagos State House of Assembly increased the original budget proposal to fund “mega-projects” like the Fourth Mainland Bridge, with Speaker Mudashiru Obasa emphasizing the need to avoid project abandonment.

The Fourth Mainland Bridge remains one of Nigeria’s most ambitious infrastructure projects. Upon completion, it is expected to emerge as the second longest bridge in Africa. The bridge is intended to serve as an alternative route connecting Lagos Island, Baiyeku (Ikorodu), Langbasa (Lekki), and other areas of the mainland. It will be a four-lane, two-way carriageway with facilities for a BRT lane and future road expansion, expected to ease congestion on the Third Mainland Bridge and other major routes. The project’s future hinges on resolving the sovereign guarantee impasse with the Federal Government. About 800 houses are expected to be demolished when construction eventually commences, adding to the complexity of the project. The government is exploring creative approaches to dimension the project in a more consumable manner, including potential redesigns to reduce the number of lanes or bridge levels. With Governor Sanwo-Olu approaching the end of his tenure, questions remain whether the Fourth Mainland Bridge will finally transition from a dream to reality, or continue to exist only on paper as it has for nearly two decades.

 

Fourth Mainland Bridge Stalls in 2026 Despite N220.73m Budget Spend

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