Naira depreciation: Analysts offer strategies for volatility mitigation - Newstrends
Connect with us

Business

Naira depreciation: Analysts offer strategies for volatility mitigation

Published

on

Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today: Naira Holds Steady as Fuel Importer Demand Mounts

Naira depreciation: Analysts offer strategies for volatility mitigation

Financial analysts are advocating for a re-evaluation of policies to safeguard the Nigerian Naira amid escalating forex rates, despite efforts by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to stabilize its value.

The recent decline in the Naira’s value across official and parallel markets has prompted suggestions from financial experts to mitigate currency volatility and prevent further depreciation.

The CBN had announced a series of measures aimed at enhancing transparency and stability in the foreign exchange market while addressing malpractices.

However, while the analysts acknowledge the positive aspects of the CBN’s recent policies aimed at managing pressures in the foreign exchange market, they highlight that these measures fail to directly address the fundamental issue of limited supply.

Analysts interviewed by Nairametrics in response to the Naira’s sharp decline following exchange rate harmonization propose reassessing the government’s foreign exchange management strategy.

They advocate for shifting towards a managed float system to allow flexibility in implementing initiatives to bolster foreign exchange reserves, such as boosting oil production, enhancing agricultural exports, and incentivizing foreign remittances.

Recent Performance of Naira 

Nairametrics reported that the foreign exchange turnover saw a significant rise of 76.61% to $117.32 million, coinciding with the Nigerian naira’s strengthening against the dollar in the official market on Tuesday, February 20th, 2024.    

READ ALSO:

However, despite this improvement, the intra-day high remained elevated, reaching N1,701 against the dollar by the close of trading.  

  • The exchange rate settled at N1,551.24 to a dollar at the end of the business day. 
  • In contrast, the exchange rate experienced a decline in the black market, slipping to N1,700/$1, representing a 2.65% decrease compared to the previous day’s rate.   
  • The Great British Pound (GBP) closed at £1/N2120, a decline from £1/N2,040 recorded the previous day, this marks a notable decrease of 3.77% compared to the N2,040 rate recorded the previous day.  
  • In the cryptocurrency market where forex is sold using stablecoins, the Naira also settled at N1,802.44/$1.   

What market experts are saying: 

Financial analyst at FSL Securities Limited in an exclusive interview with Nairametrics, expressed concerns regarding the recent liberalization of the foreign exchange market by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). 

Mr. Victor Chiazor, Head of Research and Investment, FSL Securities Limited he believe that the CBN were hasty in their decision to liberalise the foreign exchange market. 

Chiazor noted that the CBN’s approach lacked comprehensive consideration of the market’s dynamics, particularly in light of the persistent low supply.  

He highlighted that while recent policies implemented by the CBN aimed to alleviate pressures in the FX market, they failed to effectively address underlying supply constraints. 

Chiazor suggested that authorities might need to reassess their stance on foreign exchange management, potentially reverting to a more tightly managed floating exchange rate system.  

This approach, he explained, would afford policymakers the opportunity to concentrate on enhancing supply-side factors affecting FX, including increasing oil production, bolstering agricultural export revenues, and fostering foreign remittances.  

He emphasized the necessity for substantial and consistent inflows of FX, along with continuous augmentation of foreign reserves, for the sustainability of a free-floating Naira exchange rate. 

READ ALSO:

Professor Uche Uwaleke, Nigerian First Professor of Capital Market and the Director of the Institute of Capital Market Studies at the Nasarawa State University Keffi who voiced concerns regarding the current state of the exchange rate, in an exclusive chat with Nairametrics suggested that presidential intervention is necessary. 

He highlighted that the increasing FAAC (Federal Account Allocation Committee) receipts are partially accountable for this situation. 

To address this issue, he recommends that the President convene an emergency meeting of the Council of States to collaborate with governors on strategizing how to manage excess FAAC receipts resulting from the devaluation of the naira. 

Uwaleke emphasized the importance of legislative action in this regard, advocating for the Executive to propose a Bill for a “By-Nigerian Law” and commit to enforcing its provisions. 

He highlighted a potential solution to mitigate the distortionary effects of FAAC receipts on the economy, suggesting the adoption of a separate fixed exchange rate, perhaps at N800/dollar as proposed in the 2024 budget, specifically for the monetization of crude oil sales. 

  • “This approach would essentially establish a dual exchange rate system, with the designated rate also applicable to external debt service.  
  • Meanwhile, all other transactions would continue to utilize the NAFEM rates,” he said. 

Uwaleke noted that he has consistently opposed the idea of floating the naira due to the fundamental weaknesses within the economy that cannot adequately support such a move. 

He pointed out that crude oil sales continue to play a significant role in generating foreign exchange receipts. 

Regarding the current situation, he acknowledged that the sudden unification of exchange rates, along with the subsequent devaluation of the naira and rising inflation, has made an increase in the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) unavoidable. 

However, he suggested that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) should opt for an incremental approach rather than implementing drastic measures. 

Also, in an interview with Nairametrics, Mr. David Adonri, Executive Vice Chairman of Hicap Securities Limited, attributed the current volatility and depreciation of the currency to a significant supply-demand imbalance. 

 Adonri emphasized that bridging the supply gap hinges on increasing crude oil exports to meet OPEC quotas and cater to domestic refinery demands. 

 Additionally, he underscored the importance of diversifying activities that contribute to foreign currency supply and boosting domestic production to reduce reliance on imports. 

Adonri cautioned against the overuse of monetary policy tools, noting their diminishing effectiveness in curbing demand pressures for foreign currency. 

Instead, he advocated for the establishment of a transparent, credible, and market-driven foreign exchange market by the monetary authority. 

 Adonri criticized the current forex market for its inability to achieve exchange rate convergence or eliminate illicit transactions. 

The Chief Executive Officer, of Wyoming Capital and Partners, Mr. Tajudeen Olayinka said that the CBN should understand that the black market they are chasing is a different market for different customers. 

Olayinka noted that it would be difficult to unify the two different markets without eliminating the differences in the two markets. 

  • “Black market is a free fund market or market that is free from documentation. Unless you can create a convergence from those differences, you cannot truly unify the exchange rate in the real sense of it,” he said. 

Naira depreciation: Analysts offer strategies for volatility mitigation

Loading

Advertisement

Auto

No 5% Petrol Tax Plan, Oyedele Says, Amid Public Concerns

Published

on

No 5% Petrol Tax Plan, Oyedele Says, Amid Public Concerns

 

The Federal Government has no plan to introduce a new tax on petrol, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, has said, dismissing reports that the administration of President Bola Tinubu intends to impose a five per cent levy on petroleum products.

Oyedele clarified the issue in a statement posted on his X account on Tuesday, insisting that a fuel tax was not being considered by the government.

“In my interview with ARISE News, I was clear: a fuel tax is not on the table,” he said.

His statement follows reports linking him to the proposed five per cent tax, which sparked concerns about a possible increase in the cost of petrol amid Nigeria’s persistent cost-of-living crisis.

Petrol prices have remained a major driver of transportation and distribution costs since the removal of the fuel subsidy, contributing to higher prices of food and other essential goods and services.

The prospect of an additional levy had raised fears that households and businesses could face further financial pressure.

However, Oyedele’s clarification indicates that the Federal Government is not currently considering the proposed fuel tax, amid broader efforts to reform Nigeria’s tax system and strengthen public finances.

Loading

Continue Reading

Auto

Beyond the Showroom: Why After-Sales Service Will Define Auto Industry Winners

Published

on

Beyond the Showroom: Why After-Sales Service Will Define Auto Industry Winners

Nigeria’s automotive industry must look beyond vehicle prices, specifications and flashy new models if it hopes to win lasting customer confidence. The real test of competition increasingly lies in what happens after the sale — when a vehicle needs servicing, spare parts, repairs or warranty support.

A car purchase is not a one-off transaction. It marks the beginning of an ownership journey that could last several years, during which the quality of after-sales service can determine whether a customer remains loyal to a brand or regrets the decision to buy it.

When customers struggle to obtain genuine parts, secure timely repairs or get clear answers to warranty claims, their frustration can damage confidence not only in a dealer but also in the manufacturer and the wider automotive market.

After-sales service must therefore move from the background to the centre of automotive competition in Nigeria.

 

Promises must translate into performance

Effective customer care starts with clear, credible commitments. Buyers deserve to understand warranty coverage, servicing schedules, access to genuine parts, repair procedures and the support available when problems arise.

But promises alone are not enough. A warranty has limited value if customers cannot access a competent service centre. A roadside assistance number means little without an effective response system. And a repair-time guarantee is only as good as the technicians, parts and processes supporting it.

Automotive distributors and dealers must ensure that their marketing promises are matched by the operational capacity to deliver.

Buyers, on their part, should ask questions before committing their money, examine warranty conditions and establish what support they can realistically expect throughout the vehicle’s lifespan.

 

Competing on ownership experience

Nigeria’s automotive market would benefit enormously if brands competed not only on the vehicles they sell but also on the quality of ownership experience they provide.

Such competition could drive improvements in service delivery, warranty transparency, spare-parts availability, technical training, repair turnaround and customer communication.

Some players are already putting more structured after-sales propositions before buyers. Carloha’s CarlohaCare 6-6-7 programme, for instance, combines a six-year warranty, six years of free servicing and a seven-day repair promise, subject to applicable terms and conditions. Its CarlohaCare Rescue service extends the proposition to assistance beyond the workshop.

These offerings illustrate how clearly defined service commitments can become part of a vehicle’s value proposition, rather than an afterthought.

However, the objective should not be to crown a permanent winner or single out one company as the industry benchmark. Every provider must demonstrate that its commitments are practical, transparent and consistently delivered.

The wider industry should embrace continuous improvement, with customers ultimately judging brands by their real-world experiences.

 

Automotive journalism must ask tougher questions

Automotive journalism has a critical role in broadening the conversation.

Coverage of the sector often focuses on vehicle launches, new technologies, prices, specifications and expansion plans. These remain important, but consumers also need independent reporting on the realities of vehicle ownership.

Journalists can examine warranty conditions, investigate spare-parts availability, interview service managers and fleet operators, document consumer experiences and assess how effectively companies resolve complaints.

They should celebrate genuine improvements while holding businesses accountable when their public commitments fall short.

The Nigerian Automotive Journalists Association (NAJA) is well positioned to encourage this conversation through informed reporting, industry analysis, interviews and stakeholder engagement.

The goal should be to bring manufacturers, distributors, dealers, fleet operators and consumers around a fundamental question: What level of care should Nigerians reasonably expect after buying a vehicle?

That conversation must remain independent, balanced and evidence-led, rather than becoming a promotional platform for individual brands.

 

Make after-sales service a buying criterion

The shift towards stronger customer care will gather momentum when Nigerians begin to assess after-sales support as seriously as they consider engine performance, fuel economy, safety features and purchase price.

A private buyer should ask about warranty coverage, servicing costs and the location of authorised workshops. A fleet operator should evaluate parts availability, repair turnaround and vehicle downtime alongside acquisition costs. Families should know what assistance is available when a vehicle breaks down far from home.

Dealers that offer transparent terms and dependable support should earn a competitive advantage. Those that fall short should have a clear incentive to improve.

This is particularly important in a market where vehicle ownership involves significant financial commitment and prolonged exposure to maintenance costs. A seemingly attractive purchase can become expensive if parts are difficult to source or repairs take too long.

The industry must therefore recognise that customer care is not merely a cost centre. Properly managed, it can build loyalty, strengthen brand reputation, generate repeat business and encourage referrals.

 

The real test begins after payment

Nigeria does not need an automotive market in which businesses compete only to sell more vehicles. It needs one in which they also compete to keep customers satisfied long after the keys have been handed over.

The true measure of a brand is not simply how attractively it markets a vehicle or how efficiently it closes a sale. It is how responsibly it responds when the customer needs help most.

As competition intensifies, the companies that combine good products with reliable service, accessible parts and transparent customer support will have a stronger foundation for lasting success.

For buyers, the message is equally clear: look beyond the showroom, ask the difficult questions and compare the support behind the badge.

Buy the car. Demand the care.

Loading

Continue Reading

Auto

Omoda, Jaecoo Storm Europe as Global Sales Surge 123% to 73,421

Published

on

Omoda, Jaecoo Storm Europe as Global Sales Surge 123% to 73,421

Chinese automotive brands strengthen foothold in UK, Spain, Italy and France as new-energy vehicles drive growth

Omoda and Jaecoo are accelerating their European expansion, buoyed by surging demand in key markets and a growing appetite for electrified vehicles, as the automotive brands recorded a 123 per cent year-on-year increase in global sales to 73,421 units in September 2026.

The latest performance underscores the brands’ growing international reach, with cumulative sales for the first nine months of the year reaching 587,846 units, according to figures released by the company.

The United Kingdom emerged as a major growth driver, with the brands recording 22,296 registrations in September, more than double their performance in the corresponding period of 2025. The volume translated into a 6.37 per cent market share and second place among automotive brands in the country for the month.

A standout performer was the Jaecoo 7, which recorded 10,813 registrations in the UK during September to become the country’s best-selling new-car model for the month. Its cumulative registrations for the first nine months of the year stood at 39,473 units.

The model’s performance highlights the growing competitive presence of the Chinese automotive brands in a market traditionally dominated by established European, Japanese and South Korean manufacturers.

READ ALSO:

Beyond sales, Omoda and Jaecoo are also deepening their long-term commitment to the UK through plans to establish a research and development centre at UTAC Millbrook in Bedfordshire. The proposed facility will focus on areas such as chassis tuning and advanced driver-assistance systems, enabling the brands to tailor their vehicles more closely to European driving conditions and customer expectations.

Spain, Italy and France also delivered strong performances, reinforcing the brands’ broader European growth strategy.

In Spain, September registrations increased by 91.5 per cent year-on-year to 4,010 units, lifting the brands’ market share to a record 4.3 per cent. Electrified vehicles accounted for 98 per cent of their sales in the country, highlighting the importance of alternative-powertrain models to their European strategy.

Italy recorded 4,678 registrations in September, giving the brands a 3.31 per cent market share. Their cumulative registrations between January and September rose by 256.23 per cent to 32,945 units, reflecting a rapid expansion in one of Europe’s important automotive markets.

France, another market in which the brands are building their presence, recorded combined September registrations of 3,003 units. Jaecoo contributed 2,589 units, an impressive showing approximately six months after its entry into the French market.

The gains across these countries point to an increasingly coordinated European push, with Omoda and Jaecoo seeking to translate their expanding product portfolios into stronger market positions.

Electrification drives global growth

New-energy vehicles (NEVs) remained a major contributor to the brands’ worldwide performance, with sales reaching 53,957 units in September, representing an 184 per cent increase year-on-year.

The volume accounted for approximately 73.5 per cent of total monthly sales, underlining the growing contribution of electrified models to the brands’ global business.

The figures suggest that electrification is becoming central to Omoda and Jaecoo’s expansion, particularly in markets where consumers are increasingly considering hybrid and other electrified powertrains alongside conventional petrol vehicles.

With rising registrations in major European markets, expanding technical development plans and strong demand for the Jaecoo 7, the brands are seeking to consolidate their position in an increasingly competitive automotive landscape.

Sustaining the momentum will depend on their ability to maintain product appeal, strengthen dealer and after-sales networks, and respond to the differing regulatory requirements and consumer preferences across Europe.\

 

Omoda, Jaecoo Storm Europe as Global Sales Surge 123% to 73,421

Loading

Continue Reading

Trending