IMF upgrades Nigeria’s 2023 economic growth projection to 3.2% – Newstrends
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IMF upgrades Nigeria’s 2023 economic growth projection to 3.2%

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised Nigeria’s economic growth projection to 3.2 per cent for this year.

This is 0.1 percentage point higher than the 3.0 per cent earlier projected in its October 2022 report.

The IMF disclosed this in its January 2023 world economic outlook (WEO), saying the slight upward review was due to measures to address insecurity issues in the oil sector.

The report titled ‘Inflation peaking amid low growth’ showed Nigeria’s growth rate would slow to 2.9 per cent in 2024.

The organisation said growth in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to remain moderate at 3.8 per cent in 2023 amid prolonged fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, although with a modest upward revision since October, before picking up to 4.1 percent in 2024.

Unlike sub-Saharan Africa, the IMF said growth in the Middle East and Central Asia would decline from 5.3 percent in 2022 to 3.2 percent in 2023.

According to the organisation, this is attributable to a “steeper-than-expected growth slowdown in Saudi Arabia, from 8.7 per cent (which was stronger than expected by 1.1 percentage points) to 2.6 percent in 2023, with a negative revision of 1.1 percentage points”.

“The downgrade for 2023 reflects mainly lower oil production in line with an agreement through OPEC+ (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, including Russia and other non-OPEC oil exporters), while non-oil growth is expected to remain robust,” the IMF explained.

Overall, the IMF said global growth is projected to fall from an estimated 3.4 per cent in 2022 to 2.9 per cent in 2023, then rise to 3.1 percent in 2024.

“The global economy is poised to slow this year, before rebounding next year. Growth will remain weak by historical standards, as the fight against inflation and Russia’s war in Ukraine weigh on activity,” Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the chief economist and director of IMF’s research department, said.

“Despite these headwinds, the outlook is less gloomy than in our October forecast, and could represent a turning point, with growth bottoming out and inflation declining.”

The IMF said about 84 per cent of countries are expected to have lower headline inflation in 2023.

It said global inflation was set to fall from 8.8 per cent in 2022 to 6.6 per cent in 2023 and 4.3 per cent in 2024 — above pre-pandemic (2017–19) levels of about 3.5 per cent.

Aviation

Air Peace suspends flights nationwide over NiMet strike

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Air Peace suspends flights nationwide over NiMet strike

 

Air Peace has suspended all its flight operations across the country due to the ongoing strike by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet).

The airline said in a statement on Wednesday that it was also suspending operations due to the unavailability of QNH (hazardous weather) reports required for safe landings.

“Due to the ongoing NiMet strike and the unavailability of QNH (hazardous weather) reports required for safe landings, Air Peace has suspended all flight operations nationwide until the strike is over,” Air Peace said.

“Your safety is our top priority. We appreciate your understanding and will share updates as the situation unfolds.”

The airline had earlier announced that the NiMet strike could lead to flight delays and cancellations across its network.

Air Peace added that it was monitoring the situation and working with relevant stakeholders to minimise the impact on customers’ travel plans.

Employees of NiMet commenced a nationwide indefinite strike over welfare issues on Wednesday.

Some of the issues raised involve “NiMet’s refusal to negotiate or implement agreed financial allowances and unresolved entitlements,” including wage awards, peculiar allowances, and outstanding payments from the 2019 minimum wage.

They also accused the management of the agency of withholding important documents, ignoring requests for inclusion of omitted staff in past payments, and neglecting key training programmes in favour of executive retreats.

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Nigeria’s gas production increases by 15.6% to 227,931.65 mscf

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Nigeria’s gas production increases by 15.6% to 227,931.65 mscf

 

Nigeria’s gas output has increased 15,6 percent month-on-month, MoM, to 227,931.65 million standard cubic feet, mscf, in March 2025.

But on year-on-year, YoY basis, the nation’s gas output recorded a marginal increase to 227,931.65 mscf in March 2025, from 198,353.62 mscf, recorded in the corresponding period of 2024.

Data obtained from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, NUPRC, Gas Production Status reports indicated that of the total of 227,931.65 mscf produced in March 2025, 119,552.75 mscf was associated while 108,378.90 mscf was non-associated gas.

Associated gas is extracted in the process of producing crude oil while non-associated gas is produced without crude oil after much investment, exploration and development.

 

The Ministry of Petroleum Resources (Gas), which is directly involved in the development of policies, targeted at increasing investment in the sector said efforts have been made to increase investment and production of gas in Nigeria.

Similarly, in its recent report obtained by Vanguard, the Nigerian LNG Limited stated: “We are fully committed to expanding our operations with the NLNG Train 7 Project, which will boost our production capacity by 35%, increasing from 22 Million Tonnes Per Annum (mtpa) to 30 mtpa. This project underscores our role as a key player in the global LNG market and positions Nigeria as a top-tier supplier of LNG, leveraging its vast proven gas reserves of 202 trillion cubic feet (the 9th largest globally).

Vanguard

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Marketers count losses as NNPC slashes petrol price

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Marketers count losses as NNPC slashes petrol price

Petroleum product marketers have expressed frustration over financial losses following the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited’s (NNPC) recent reduction in the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol).

On Easter Monday, NNPC retail outlets across major cities adjusted their pump prices, with Lagos stations dropping from N925 to N880 per litre, while Abuja saw a similar drop to N880. In Kano, the price was revised from N950 to N935 per litre.

The unexpected price cut comes just days after the Dangote Refinery reduced its ex-depot price from N865 to N835 per litre—further intensifying pricing pressure on independent marketers who had stocked up at previous, higher rates.

The $20bn refinery also directed its partners like MRS, Heyden, and Ardova to sell a litre of petrol at the rate of N890 instead of N920 in Lagos, N900 in the South West, N910 in the South-South, and N920 in the North East.

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This newspaper observes that the new NNPC prices in Kano, Abuja, Port Harcourt and Lagos are N10-N15 lower than that of the Dangote refinery, signalling another price war between the two companies.

Our correspondent reports that some NNPC filling stations are still selling at the old rate. But marketers said these stations were given the liberty to exhaust old stock before adjusting to the new prices.

In an interview with our correspondent, the National Vice President of the Independent Marketers Association of Nigeria, Hammed Fashola, confirmed the price reduction, stressing that filling station operators were losing money.

He told our correspondent that NNPC Retail sent a memo to its outlets to effect the new prices.

“It is confirmed that NNPC has reduced PMS prices. It is now N880 per litre in Lagos. They sent messages to their retail outlets. Some of them have already put the price at N880. However, they allow those having old stock to continue selling at the old rate. Some are still selling at N910.

“Those are the ones that still have their old stock. So, the same thing applies to independent marketers. Those that have their old stock are still trying to see how they can dispense it,” he stated.

While acknowledging that the fluctuation in fuel prices is one part of deregulation, Fashola declared that marketers are losing money.

“The price reduction is a welcome development, but at the same time, it has a negative impact on the side of the marketers. We are losing money. That’s just the truth. We are losing money. That’s the bitter truth,” he said.

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According to him, the price cuts are good for the masses, but marketers pay the price.

“On the side of the masses, Nigerians are better for it. People are getting cheaper fuel now, which is good. That’s the beauty of deregulation that we are talking about. There’s nothing anybody can do about it. But marketers are the ones bearing the losses, seriously.

Asked if there is any way to reduce the losses, he replied, “On the part of marketers, what we can do is just to try as much as possible to try and sell. We will reduce prices to a level that, at least, our losses will not be too much. So, you will be able to get rid of your old stock before you go to the market to buy at the new rate and start selling at the new rate.

On whether the petrol price could drop to N800 or N700 soon, Fashola refused to make projections.

“I don’t want to predict that. You know, two major factors determine this – the crude oil price and our exchange rate. So, I don’t want to predict the price. All these things have their implications. If the crude oil comes down to something like $50 per barrel, it has its own implications for our economy. It will affect the government revenue. At the same time, inflation and all that are also there. So, I don’t want to predict that,” he stated.

Recall that the Dangote refinery resumed price cuts after the Federal Government directed that the naira-for-crude deal should continue indefinitely.

Marketers count losses as NNPC slashes petrol price

(Punch)

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