Business
IMF upgrades Nigeria’s 2023 economic growth projection to 3.2%


The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised Nigeria’s economic growth projection to 3.2 per cent for this year.
This is 0.1 percentage point higher than the 3.0 per cent earlier projected in its October 2022 report.
The IMF disclosed this in its January 2023 world economic outlook (WEO), saying the slight upward review was due to measures to address insecurity issues in the oil sector.
The report titled ‘Inflation peaking amid low growth’ showed Nigeria’s growth rate would slow to 2.9 per cent in 2024.
The organisation said growth in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to remain moderate at 3.8 per cent in 2023 amid prolonged fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, although with a modest upward revision since October, before picking up to 4.1 percent in 2024.
Unlike sub-Saharan Africa, the IMF said growth in the Middle East and Central Asia would decline from 5.3 percent in 2022 to 3.2 percent in 2023.
According to the organisation, this is attributable to a “steeper-than-expected growth slowdown in Saudi Arabia, from 8.7 per cent (which was stronger than expected by 1.1 percentage points) to 2.6 percent in 2023, with a negative revision of 1.1 percentage points”.
“The downgrade for 2023 reflects mainly lower oil production in line with an agreement through OPEC+ (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, including Russia and other non-OPEC oil exporters), while non-oil growth is expected to remain robust,” the IMF explained.
Overall, the IMF said global growth is projected to fall from an estimated 3.4 per cent in 2022 to 2.9 per cent in 2023, then rise to 3.1 percent in 2024.
“The global economy is poised to slow this year, before rebounding next year. Growth will remain weak by historical standards, as the fight against inflation and Russia’s war in Ukraine weigh on activity,” Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the chief economist and director of IMF’s research department, said.
“Despite these headwinds, the outlook is less gloomy than in our October forecast, and could represent a turning point, with growth bottoming out and inflation declining.”
The IMF said about 84 per cent of countries are expected to have lower headline inflation in 2023.
It said global inflation was set to fall from 8.8 per cent in 2022 to 6.6 per cent in 2023 and 4.3 per cent in 2024 — above pre-pandemic (2017–19) levels of about 3.5 per cent.
Business
How N4.8tn annual fuel subsidy made Nigeria poorer – NNPC


Nigeria’s petrol subsidy regime has been “fuelling the vicious cycle of poverty” , the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has said.
A total of 133 million Nigerians are said to be living in poverty.
Lawal Musa, Senior Business Advisor to Mele Kyari, group chief executive officer (GCEO) of NNPC, said the Federal Government spends as much as N4.8 trillion annually on petrol subsidy — at the expense of the wellbeing of Nigerians.
He stated this at a joint National Association of Nigerian Students (NANS)/Civil Society Organisations (CSOs).
In a presentation titled, “Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and the Nigerian economy’’, he said the amount spent on petrol subsidy payments could deliver infrastructural projects to the citizens.
Musa said deregulation of petrol prices could deliver 500,000 new houses and skill up of 2 million Nigerian students, among others.
According to him, the amount spent on subsidy could provide 7,500 kilometers of road network at N400 million per kilometre and 37 well-equipped 120-bed tertiary health centres at N32 billion per hospital annually.
He added that the subsidy spend could deliver N12 trillion in four years to Nigeria, adding that the cost of petrol subsidy surpasses the direct benefits to the masses.
In addition, the NNPC GCEO adviser said deregulation of PMS prices could also provide additional 27,000 megawatts of electricity to Nigerians as well as build and equip 2,400 hospitals in 774 local government areas.
Nigeria is the largest producer of crude oil in Africa, possessing 28 percent of Africa’s reserve, with petroleum contributing significantly to the country’s economy,” he said.
“The benefits derived have over the years been eroded due to the amount paid on subsidy, a regime [that] has been fuelling the vicious circle (sic) of poverty in the country.”
Musa explained that petrol was sold at the lowest price in Nigeria, among most West African countries, in spite of the average cost of $2.7 per litre globally, which amounted to about N570 per litre.
He noted that verifiable petrol demand data is critical to national planning and energy security.
On his part, Garba Deen Muhammad, NNPC’s spokesperson, said the organisation was engaging with students as critical stakeholders in the new organisation, which he said belonged to over 200 million Nigerians — including the students.
Muhammad said the engagement, which would be done annually, was aimed at enlightening the students and CSOs on NNPC as a new entity, registered by the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC), under the Company and Allied Matters Act (CAMA).
Aviation
Nigeria Air will commence operation before May 29 – FG


The Federal Government says the new national carrier, Nigeria Air, will commence operation before the end of the current administration on May 29.
Minister of Aviation, Hadi Sirika, disclosed this in Abuja on Thursday.
He spoke amid worry about a lingering court case instituted against the project by airline operators of Nigeria.
Sirika gave the assurances during the National Aviation Stakeholders Forum 2023.
He said the Federal Government was already taking measures to overcome the hurdles introduced by the indigenous airlines.
According to him, the project is 98 per cent completed.
“All of the road map items except, perhaps the airline, which in my opinion is at 98 per cent completion, and we will fly within the remaining two months by the grace of God,” the minister said.
“We will also finish the concessions. So, all those things we said we would do when we came in, we did them.”
The minister described as unfair the action of the local airlines, adding that the Buhari government had supported local airlines more than all previous governments.
He accused them of constituting a stumbling block to the actualisation of the national carrier expected to generate new jobs and better opportunities in the industry.
He said the Nigerian Aviation industry is the only one in the world where qualified pilots are without jobs.
He said 50 pilots had come to him complaining about their unemployment status, adding that the national carrier should be able to employ more pilots and create other job opportunities.
He said Ethiopian Airlines, the offered bidder for the national carrier, is highly competent and profitable enough to add value to the Nigerian aviation sector.
Business
FAAC shares to FG, states, LGs drop by N27.4bn


The Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) has shared N722.677 billion among the three tiers of government for February 2023.
This is a drop of N27.497 billion compared to January’s allocation of N750.174 billion.
FAAC disclosed this in a communique issued at the end of its meeting for March 2023 in Abuja on Wednesday.
The committee said the N722.677 billion total distributable revenue comprised statutory revenue of N366.800 billion, value-added tax (VAT) revenue of N224.232 billion, electronic money transfer levy (EMTL) of N11.645 billion, and N120 billion augmentation from forex equalisation account.
According to the comminiqué, in February 2023, the total deductions for cost of collection was N27.449 billion, while total deductions for transfers, savings, recoveries and refunds was N109.909 billion.
From the total distributable revenue of N722.677 billion, FAAC said the Federal Government received N269.063 billion, states got N236.464 billion and N173.936 billion went to the local governments.
A total sum of N43.214 billion was also shared with the relevant states as 13 per cent derivation revenue.
FAAC said a statutory revenue of N487.106 billion was received for the month of February 2023.
This, it said, was lower than the N653.704 billion received in the previous month by N166.598 billion.
From the balance of N366.800 billion distributable statutory revenue, the committee noted that the FG received N178.683 billion, states collected N90.630 billion, and local governments got N69.872 billion.
It added that the sum of N27.614 billion was shared as 13 per cent derivation revenue among the concerned states.
According to FAAC, the gross revenue available from the value-added tax (VAT) for February was N240.799 billion, which is lower than the previous month’s.
The committee said from the N224.232 billion value-added tax (VAT), FG was given N33.635 billion, states received N112.116 billion and local governments were paid N78.481 billion.
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