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Middle East Crisis: Nigeria Records $4bn Oil Windfall

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Nigerians May Pay More for Fuel as Global Oil Prices Surge Above $100 Per Barrel

Middle East Crisis: Nigeria Records $4bn Oil Windfall

Nigeria and oil companies operating in the country have recorded an estimated $4 billion windfall following a sharp rise in global crude oil prices triggered by the ongoing US–Israel–Iran conflict, which has now lasted about seven weeks and continues to destabilize global energy markets.

The geopolitical tension, which reportedly began on February 28, has pushed oil prices higher amid fears of supply disruptions from the Middle East, a key global energy hub. As a result, Nigeria—one of Africa’s largest crude exporters—has benefited significantly from the rally in international oil markets.

The Central Bank of Nigeria data shows that before the conflict, Nigeria’s benchmark Bonny Light crude oil averaged $70.14 per barrel year-to-date. However, during the 52-day conflict period, the average price surged to $116.84 per barrel, representing a 66.6% increase in crude value.

This sharp rise coincided with improved production levels. Figures from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission indicate that output increased from 1.483 million barrels per day in February to 1.546 million barrels per day in March, boosting Nigeria’s export earnings during the period.

Based on these figures, analysts estimate that at pre-crisis prices, Nigeria would have earned about $5.64 billion in 52 days, while post-crisis pricing pushed revenue to approximately $9.39 billion, resulting in an estimated $4 billion windfall for the government and oil companies.

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Despite the gains, crude oil markets remain highly volatile. Bonny Light crude recently traded around $98 per barrel, rising from about $95 after diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran collapsed over the weekend. Earlier, prices had briefly dropped to around $90 per barrel after peaking near $100, as markets reacted to speculation of a potential breakthrough in negotiations.

Energy analysts say the market is being driven by geopolitical uncertainty, supply concerns, and speculative trading, with further volatility expected in the coming weeks.

According to energy expert and CEO of Petroleumprice.ng, Olatide Jeremiah, oil prices are likely to remain elevated due to ongoing instability.

He noted that the global oil market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical tensions, warning that rising crude prices could also impact Nigeria’s domestic economy. He explained that higher oil prices are likely to spill into the downstream sector, leading to increases in petrol (PMS) prices, transportation costs, and inflationary pressures on goods and services.

Similarly, the National President of the Oil and Gas Services Providers Association of Nigeria (OGSPAN), Mazi Colman Obasi, acknowledged that rising global energy costs could affect Nigeria’s economy. However, he noted that the impact may be moderated by domestic refining capacity, particularly the operations of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery (650,000 barrels per day), which is expected to reduce reliance on imported refined products.

Economists say the current windfall highlights both the opportunities and risks associated with Nigeria’s dependence on crude oil exports. While higher prices strengthen foreign exchange earnings, external reserves, and government revenue, they also expose the economy to global shocks that can quickly reverse gains.

Looking ahead, analysts warn that Nigeria’s oil earnings will remain closely tied to developments in the Middle East. If tensions persist, crude prices could remain elevated, further boosting revenue. However, any resolution to the conflict could lead to a rapid price correction.

For now, Nigeria stands among the key beneficiaries of the global energy shock, as the oil price surge continues to deliver unexpected fiscal gains amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

Middle East Crisis: Nigeria Records $4bn Oil Windfall

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Dangote Refinery IPO approved at ₦525 per share, targets ₦2.15trn

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Dangote Refinery IPO approved at ₦525 per share, targets ₦2.15trn

Dangote Refinery IPO approved at ₦525 per share, targets ₦2.15trn

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved the commencement of the Dangote Refinery initial public offering (IPO), clearing the way for the highly anticipated public sale of shares in one of Africa’s largest industrial projects.

Under the approved offer, Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE will offer 4.1 billion ordinary shares at ₦525 per share, with the transaction capable of raising approximately ₦2.15 trillion if fully subscribed.

The development represents a major milestone for the Dangote Refinery IPO and could make the transaction one of the largest public offerings ever undertaken in Nigeria and potentially one of the biggest in Africa.

The SEC conveyed its approval in a letter to Vetiva Advisory Services Limited, the Lead Issuing House for the transaction. The letter was signed by Abdulkadir Abbas, Director of the SEC’s Securities and Investment Services Department.

The regulator also registered the company’s existing 120.13 billion ordinary shares, while approving the refinery’s draft offer documents and authorising it to proceed with the Completion Board Meeting and Signing Ceremony.

The approval brings the refinery significantly closer to its planned entry into the Nigerian capital market, where investors will have an opportunity to acquire a direct stake in one of the country’s most strategically important energy assets.

The Dangote Refinery shares are expected to be offered to a broad range of investors, with the order book scheduled to open on September 14, 2026, according to the latest details surrounding the transaction.

The proposed offer involves 4.1 billion shares priced at ₦525 each, translating to a potential gross fundraising of about ₦2.15 trillion, or roughly $1.5 billion at prevailing exchange rates.

The transaction is also expected to include a 15 per cent greenshoe option, which would give the company the flexibility to sell additional shares if demand exceeds the initial offer.

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The proceeds are expected to support Dangote Group’s ambitious plans to expand the refinery’s capacity from its current 650,000 barrels per day nameplate capacity to approximately 1.4 million barrels per day.

The refinery reached its 650,000-barrel-per-day nameplate capacity earlier in 2026 and has subsequently tested production of up to 700,000 barrels per day.

If the planned expansion to 1.4 million barrels per day is completed, the facility would become the world’s largest refinery, surpassing existing mega-refineries in other parts of the world.

The expansion is expected to strengthen Nigeria’s position in the global refined petroleum products market while further increasing the country’s ability to process crude oil domestically.

Located in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos State, the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals Complex occupies approximately 2,635 hectares and forms part of one of Africa’s largest integrated industrial developments.

The complex combines crude oil refining, petrochemical production, power generation, storage and marine logistics infrastructure.

It includes a 900,000-tonnes-per-annum polypropylene plant and a dedicated 435-megawatt power plant, giving the facility substantial internal energy-generation capacity.

The refinery also has extensive storage infrastructure comprising 177 tanks with a combined capacity of approximately 4.742 billion litres.

Its marine facilities include multiple quays capable of handling large vessels, liquid cargo shipments and roll-on/roll-off operations, while its crude and product-handling infrastructure is designed to support large-scale domestic distribution and exports.

The complex also has five Single Point Moorings (SPMs) designed to facilitate the efficient loading and unloading of crude oil and petroleum products.

The scale of the facility has enabled Dangote Refinery to increasingly serve both the Nigerian market and international destinations as production expands.

Since commencing operations, the refinery has become an increasingly important supplier of refined petroleum products in Nigeria, while also developing an export business serving markets across Africa and Europe.

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Growing exports of refined petroleum products have further strengthened the refinery’s strategic importance, particularly as Nigeria seeks to reduce its historic dependence on imported petroleum products.

The Dangote Refinery IPO is therefore being launched at a significant stage in the company’s development.

The refinery has already undergone major capital investment and is now seeking additional funding to increase its processing capacity and strengthen its position as a major regional energy hub.

Ahead of the IPO, the refinery also completed a major private fundraising exercise and secured additional financial backing to strengthen its position ahead of the public offering.

The proposed listing will also broaden investor participation in the refinery. Until now, ownership of the facility has largely remained within the Dangote Group and associated investors, meaning ordinary investors have had limited opportunities to directly participate in its growth.

The planned NGX listing could change that by opening the refinery’s ownership to a much wider pool of Nigerian and international investors.

Aliko Dangote has previously described the planned listing as an opportunity to broaden participation in the company and allow more Africans to benefit from the growth of one of the continent’s largest industrial investments.

The transaction could also have a significant impact on Nigeria’s capital market because of its sheer size.

A successful ₦2.15 trillion IPO would represent a substantial injection of new capital and could increase the depth, liquidity and attractiveness of the Nigerian equities market.

The listing is also expected to attract considerable attention from institutional investors, pension funds, asset managers, high-net-worth individuals and retail investors seeking exposure to the energy and industrial sectors.

For investors considering the Dangote Refinery shares, however, the ₦525 offer price will be only one part of the investment decision.

Prospective investors will need to examine the company’s final offer documents, financial performance, profitability, debt position, expansion requirements, dividend policy and exposure to changes in crude oil prices, petroleum product prices, exchange rates and global refining margins.

The ability of the refinery to maintain high utilisation rates and generate sufficient cash flow while simultaneously funding its planned expansion will also be closely watched by investors.

The company’s ability to expand its export markets could become increasingly important as its production capacity grows beyond Nigeria’s domestic requirements.

With the proposed expansion to 1.4 million barrels per day, Dangote Refinery is seeking to move beyond its role as Nigeria’s largest refinery and establish itself as a major global refining and petrochemical hub.

The ₦525 per share Dangote Refinery IPO consequently represents more than another stock market transaction. It could mark a new phase in the development of Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector while giving investors direct access to one of the country’s most ambitious industrial projects.

As the expected September 14 opening approaches, market attention will increasingly focus on investor demand, the final terms of the offering and whether the refinery succeeds in raising the targeted ₦2.15 trillion.

If successfully completed, the IPO would give the Dangote Refinery a new ownership structure, provide additional capital for expansion and potentially establish one of the most significant new listings in the history of Nigeria’s capital market.

Dangote Refinery IPO approved at ₦525 per share, targets ₦2.15trn

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Jetour G700 PHEV Lands in Abuja for 3-Day Luxury Mobility Showcase

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Jetour G700 PHEV Lands in Abuja for 3-Day Luxury Mobility Showcase

Jetour Nigeria is taking its premium mobility campaign to the Federal Capital Territory, with the flagship G700 Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) set to headline a three-day luxury automotive showcase in Abuja from September 22 to 24, 2026.

The Abuja experience, coming on the heels of the brand’s major showcase in Lagos, is part of Jetour Nigeria’s aggressive drive to deepen its presence in the country’s premium automotive market while introducing consumers to a new generation of electrified mobility.

The G700 PHEV, positioned as Jetour’s flagship luxury SUV, combines executive-class comfort with advanced hybrid technology and serious off-road capability.

The model’s arrival in Abuja also comes at a time the brand is gaining increasing recognition in Nigeria’s automotive industry. Jetour Nigeria was recently honoured by the Nigeria Auto Journalists Association (NAJA) as the Fastest Growing Auto Brand of the Year, underscoring its expanding market presence.

At the heart of the G700 is Jetour’s Kunpeng Super Hybrid system, paired with dual electric motors. The powertrain delivers a claimed combined driving range of up to 1,400 kilometres, offering a response to one of the major concerns surrounding electrified vehicles—range anxiety.

The flagship SUV also comes equipped with adaptive suspension, triple differential locks and up to 970mm wading capability, giving it the muscle to handle demanding terrain while retaining the refinement expected of a luxury vehicle.

Inside, the six-seat G700 delivers a premium cabin experience, featuring Nappa leather upholstery, massage seats, a 35.4-inch 3K panoramic display, an 18-speaker Lexicon sound system and an onboard refrigerator.

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The Abuja showcase is expected to attract government officials, corporate executives, fleet managers, motoring enthusiasts and members of the media. Participants will have the opportunity to experience the G700 through an exclusive vehicle reveal, hands-on demonstrations and VIP test drives.

Jetour Nigeria promises ownership support

Beyond the vehicle itself, Jetour Nigeria is highlighting its after-sales support as a key component of the ownership proposition.

Customers purchasing through its authorised network will benefit from a five-year or 150,000-kilometre manufacturer warranty, access to genuine spare parts, software upgrades and certified technical support.

The company currently operates through seven accredited dealerships, including Elizade Nigeria Limited, New Era AutoVehicle Services, Kojo Motors, Germaine Auto Centre, Tab Autos, R.T. Briscoe Motors and Mandilas Motors.

Jetour Nigeria is inviting prospective customers and automotive stakeholders to register for the Abuja experience and secure VIP test-drive slots.

Registration, vehicle specifications and event updates are available through www.jetournigeria.com, Instagram @jetour_nigeria and @Jetourngofficial, or via info@jetournigeria.com.

 

Jetour G700 PHEV Lands in Abuja for 3-Day Luxury Mobility Showcase

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IPMAN Plans Petrol Price Review as Dangote Refinery Raises Depot Cost

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IPMAN Plans Petrol Price Review as Dangote Refinery Raises Depot Cost

IPMAN Plans Petrol Price Review as Dangote Refinery Raises Depot Cost

The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) has said filling stations across the Federal Capital Territory will begin reviewing petrol pump prices in the coming days as new products enter the market. The National Publicity Secretary of IPMANChinedu Ukadike, disclosed this in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria on Thursday in Abuja. He said marketers were preparing to adjust their pricing and sales strategies in response to changes in the cost of petroleum products. Ukadike, however, said the exact timing of the adjustment remained uncertain because marketers were yet to receive a definite date for the arrival of the new products. “Once the new products begin arriving, marketers are expected to respond quickly by reviewing their prices and updating their product offerings,” he said. He added that purchases could commence within the next few days, depending on when the process officially begins, and assured that the adjustments would be made in line with existing rules and regulations.

The development follows a series of adjustments to the gantry, or ex-depot, price of Premium Motor Spirit by the Dangote Refinery. According to the News Agency of Nigeria, the refinery raised its petrol ex-depot price from N1,165 per litre to N1,185, then N1,200 and subsequently N1,265 within the last week. The latest adjustment, which took effect on August 29, represented a N65 per litre increase from the previous N1,200 price. It was the third price adjustment by the refinery in eight days, adding N100 to the price of petrol at the refinery’s gantry—an 8.6 per cent increase within just eight days. The repeated adjustments have created uncertainty for both marketers and consumers, as the cost of replacing products could change substantially within a short period.

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The increases have already been reflected in pump prices across filling stations in the FCT. Checks in Abuja showed NNPC Retail stations increased their price from N1,250 to N1,270 per litre, while TotalEnergies and Bovas stations adjusted to about N1,275 per litre. In some areas, petrol prices have reportedly climbed to between N1,310 and N1,350 per litre. In parts of Lagos and Ogun, petrol has been reported at about N1,310 per litre, while prices in some northern states and areas farther from the refinery have climbed to N1,350 and above. IPMAN had previously explained that marketers could not continue selling petrol below their replacement cost, particularly amid frequent changes in the cost of replenishing their stocks. “Every time Dangote increases his price, our price will also rise,” Ukadike said. He noted that the volatility was making it difficult for both marketers and consumers to plan, as the cost of replacing products could change substantially within a short period.

The frequent price movements have raised concerns among motorists, who have urged the Federal Government to take steps to stabilise petrol prices. The impact extends beyond motorists, as higher petrol prices could increase transportation and operating costs for households and businesses, potentially putting additional pressure on the prices of goods and services. IPMAN’s latest position indicates that further price adjustments could occur once marketers begin taking delivery of new products, with the final pump prices expected to vary depending on supply costs, transportation and other distribution expenses.

Beyond the planned price review, IPMAN has also appealed to the Federal Government to intervene in the operations of Dangote Refinery to help reduce retail fuel prices. The National President of IPMAN, Abubakar Maigandi, urged the government to broker a deal with Dangote Refinery as part of its intervention to reduce fuel pump prices nationwide. He stressed that government intervention in the downstream petroleum sector should not be seen as a return to fuel subsidy. “We are appealing to the Federal Government to broker a deal with Dangote Refinery to reduce fuel prices. The government should intervene with Nigerian refiners, and this will lead to a reduction in fuel prices. It is different from fuel subsidy. In a situation where there is difficulty, the government should step in,” Maigandi said.

The development has also attracted criticism from the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) , which condemned the latest price hike, describing it as “avoidable and unacceptable.” The acting General Secretary of the NLC, Benson Upah, questioned why the Federal Government has not done more to ensure that the Dangote Refinery receives adequate supplies of Nigerian crude. “The latest increase is avoidable and unacceptable in light of falling prices in the international market and our local capacity to sell more crude oil to Dangote. Why are we not doing so?” he said. The debate comes as figures from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission showed that oil producers offered 68.1 million barrels of crude to Dangote Refinery in the second quarter of 2026, against the refinery’s requirement of 63 million barrels, but the refinery accepted only 52.6 million barrels, highlighting the complexity of the domestic crude supply debate.

The price changes have continued to generate debate because they occurred alongside a decline in international crude oil prices in the period under review. The development underscores the sensitivity of Nigeria’s downstream petroleum market to changes in product acquisition and replacement costs, even as consumers continue to monitor pump prices across the country. Ukadike expressed optimism that the Dangote Refinery’s free transportation initiative for petroleum marketers could reduce distribution costs and eventually ease pump prices if sustained. He also welcomed the inclusion of Imo and Anambra states in the initiative, describing the two states as important gateway markets in the South-East.

IPMAN Plans Petrol Price Review as Dangote Refinery Raises Depot Cost

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