Naira in major fall, exchanges N1,000 to dollar at black market – Newstrends
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Naira in major fall, exchanges N1,000 to dollar at black market

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Naira in major fall, exchanges N1,000 to dollar at black market

The foreign exchange crisis in the country worsened on Thursday as a dollar exchanged for over N1,000 at the parallel market, Daily Trust reports.

Survey at popular black markets in Lagos indicated that a dollar exchanged for between N1,000 and N1,050 in the early hours of Thursday, before settling for N990 in the evening, indicating a difference of N252 from the Investors & Exporters FX window, where the naira closed at N738.

The gap between the official and parallel market has steadily widened, since the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) announced unification of all segments of the foreign exchange markets in June.

However, despite the unification policy, the parallel market has continued to witness patronage due to the scarcity of the greenback at the official market, according to operators.

Naira crashes to N970 at black market

“There is scarcity at the market,” said Ismail Muhammed, one of the operators at Allen Roundabout.

“We are now buying dollars for N990 but earlier in the day, it was sold for N1, 000. Some people exchanged it for N1, 050,” he said.

Another operator, Abdullahi Olugbede, said that the surge was caused by the scarcity as most licensed Bureau De Change Operators do not have dollars to trade with.

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“When there is scarcity, the dollar will go up against the naira but we are not happy. We should pray that it will come down because this is not good,” he said.

Implications are negative — Experts

Experts have warned that the implications of the depreciation of the naira in the black market are negative as it will adversely affect the economy.

Professor of Accounting and Financial Development at Lead City University, Ibadan, Godwin Oyedokun, said it will make it difficult to do business in Nigeria because of the relevance of exchange rate in the economy.

“I am not currently in the country. Let me cite an example, I wanted to buy a can of coke today in Jordan. I could buy the same can of coke for $2 that is almost N2, 000 if a dollar exchanges for N990 in Nigeria as you said. This is just because the strength of our currency is very weak.

“The implication is that goods that Nigerians should get from abroad, let’s say if dollar to naira is 1/1, Nigerians will now spend as high as 990 minus 1; that is, goods worth N300,000 will now be worth times 990 of it. So, it makes it so difficult to do business. Every sector of the economy will adjust to this and will make the price of commodities become costly,” he said.

The tax and forensic expert, however, said, the pressure on the naira will reduce if the government implements the right policies and also boost local production so that Nigeria can also earn more foreign exchange.

“The only way to address this is to have the right policies in place which the current government is doing and have things that we can also export to earn foreign exchange. The finance minister and the new CBN governor will need to think about how the fiscal and monetary policies can work together effectively so that we can have a country of our own. It will interest you that Jordan’s currency, Jordanian Dinar, is higher than the dollar, it is about $1.41. If we get the policies right, the pressure on the naira will reduce,” he said.

Economist and former Director General of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), Dr Muda Yusuf, said that among others, it will have an effect on inflation as the economy is very sensitive to exchange rate movement.

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“The implications are very negative to put it mildly because it shows there are some fundamental challenges that we still need to deal with that are driving the exchange rate. We need to further interrogate how deep the parallel market is and what percentage of economic activities are being funded by the parallel market.

“We need that research, we need that data because each time we talk about the exchange rate, people don’t even talk about the official rate anymore, we just talk about the parallel market,” he said.

Citing the likely effects on the different sectors of the economy, he said, “Diesel price has gone up, gas price is likely to go up. The PMS is under pressure and should have gone up if not for the fact that the president said that NNPC should hold on, otherwise petrol price should have jumped to over N800 by now.”

Dr Muda, who is also the Chief Executive Officer, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), said that some extraneous variables including money laundering might be responsible for the pressure on the naira.

“I think there are some extraneous variables that have not been captured in our analysis because this speculative assault on the naira is not looking ordinary anymore. I am beginning to worry that perhaps, there are quite a number of illicit funds that are putting this pressure on the Naira because how many manufacturers can continue to buy dollars at this rate? And yet it keeps going up and people are buying it. How many people with genuine income or resources can do that? It is possible there are factors around money laundering, possibly people have loads of naira they are seeking to convert to dollars,” he said.

While noting that the current pressures have defied the forecasts of many economists when the unification policy was introduced, he counselled the government against jettisoning the policy.

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“The government can’t afford to be chasing the parallel rate at this time because the situation will become worse. It means they have to move the official rate from N700+ to N800 or N850. The situation now is not responding to the kind of forecast that many of us predicted. This is not the kind of impact we thought convergence will have because on the face of it, convergence normally encourages more inflows and should normally reduce demand,” he said.

Financial analyst, Abiola Rasaq, who said that the backlog of demand in the system continues to put pressure on the naira, however, said the positive outlook for oil price will likely strengthen the country’s currency against the dollar.

“The market is still somewhat speculative, especially as autonomous supply of FX is still weak whilst demand remains relatively elevated. More so, the backlog of demand in the system continues to put pressure on price. Interestingly, we are close to the end of the seasonal Q3 demand cycle, thus the naira should have some respite. Even as FX supply may remain relatively weak, moderation in demand should help calm the pressure and provide relative stability to the naira in the rest of the ember months, especially if some of the efforts of the government towards improving oil export comes to fruition.

“Notably, the positive outlook for oil price is also supportive of stronger naira in the months ahead, especially if oil export is complemented with steady rise in non-oil exports,” he said.

President Bola Tinubu recently nominated a banking executive and former civil servant, Olayemi Cardoso to serve as the new governor of CBN.

Tinubu also approved the nomination of Emem Nnana Usoro, Muhammad Sani Abdullahi Dattijo, Philip Ikeazor and Bala Bello as deputy governors of the apex bank, for a term of five years at the first instance, pending their confirmation by the Nigerian Senate.

It is unclear if the former CBN governor, Godwin Emefiele, who was suspended and has been in detention since June, has resigned.

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NCC moves to boost internet speed with 6GHz spectrum

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8 hours ago

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September 19, 2024

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NCC-Nigerian-Communications-Commission

NCC moves to boost internet speed with 6GHz spectrum

The Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) on Thursday said it has begun moves to harness 6GHz spectrum for improved internet speed in Nigeria.

The Executive Vice Chairman of the Commission, Dr. Aminu Maida, disclosed this during a Stakeholders’ Consultative Forum on Emerging Technologies in Lagos.

The 6 GHz spectrum is a band of radio frequencies that offers several benefits for wireless communication, including faster data rates and transmission speeds than previous bands.

According to the EVC, deploying this higher spectrum became necessary as the current 5GHz and 2.4GHz bands are facing capacity constraints.

Growing demands for speed 

Maida, who was represented by the Executive Commissioner of Technical Services at NCC, Abraham Oshadami, said the move would address the growing demand for high-speed internet.

He added that Nigeria would be joining the league of countries already utilizing part of the 6GHz band for Wi-Fi -6 applications.

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“The 6GHz band, spanning from 5925 MHz to 7125 MHz, offers a substantial increase in available spectrum, which is crucial for supporting the growing demand for high-speed internet and advanced applications. 

“Wi-Fi plays a crucial role in the distribution of fixed broadband connectivity in homes, offices, and various other environments. 

“The vast majority of home internet traffic is connected to the end-user through Wi-Fi. 

“In enterprise settings, Wi-Fi is essential for handling large amounts of data and simultaneously connecting large numbers of devices with improved reliability, higher data throughput and lower latencies,” Maida said. 

Overcrowded airwaves 

Similarly, the Head, of Spectrum Administration at the NCC, Atiku Lawal, said that the overcrowded airwaves were currently limiting the potential of Wi-Fi in the 2.4GHz and 5GHz.

  • Lawal said that it was not a surprise that more than seventy countries had already acted, or were considering acting on opening the 6GHz band for unlicensed Wi-Fi use.
  • He noted that depending upon the country’s implementation plan, this decision would provide two to three times the spectrum available today.
  • This is also expected to result in the ability to implement 80MHz and 160 MHz channels being available for the new Wi-Fi 6 standard ideal to support digital transformation efforts and use cases like high definition video and X Reality (XR).

“The commission’s decision to open the 6GHz frequency band for unlicensed Wi-Fi use is poised to revolutionize broadband connectivity in Nigeria. 

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“This move will significantly enhance internet services, providing faster and more reliable connections. With the advent of Wi-Fi 6, users can expect higher data rates and increased capacity, making it ideal for high-demand environments such as stadiums, airports and offices,” he said. 

He added that by offloading devices from cellular networks to Wi-Fi 6, the NCC aims to improve overall quality of service, alleviating capacity constraints and boosting broadband penetration in Nigeria.

Operators’ request 

While commending the NCC, the Chairman of the Association of Licensed Telecoms Operators of Nigeria (ALTON), Gbenga Adebayo, pleaded with the Federal Government to assist operators in upgrading to the new spectrum.

  • He said the appeal was coming because operators struggled to expand their networks.
  • Adebayo, who was represented by the Executive Secretary, ALTON, Gbolahan Awonuga, said the telecom operators are not isolated from the harsh financial ecosystem.

“We need money to upgrade our infrastructure and import equipment, so as for us to benefit from the 6GHz. 

“Our members are struggling to expand their infrastructure. We appeal to the federal government to come to our aid.”  

 

NCC moves to boost internet speed with 6GHz spectrum

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CBN reintroduces controversial cybercrime levy on all e-transactions

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19 hours ago

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September 19, 2024

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CBN reintroduces controversial cybercrime levy on all e-transactions

Bank customers of several commercial banks are in a state of confusion currently following the recent release of the fiscal guidelines of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) which revealed that it will continue to enforce a reduced 0.005% levy on all electronic transactions.

The bank in its Monetary, Credit, Foreign Trade, and Exchange Policy Guidelines for Fiscal Years 2024-2025 document, revealed that as part of its 2024-2025 fiscal year guidelines, reaffirmed its commitment to this charge, requiring banks and other financial institutions to deduct the levy from all electronic transactions.

Scrutinizing the document, Daily Sun observed that the percentage has been reduced from 0.5% earlier announced in May 2024 to 0.005% in the new guidelines.

The apex bank noted that the levy is mandated by the Cybercrime (Prohibition, Prevention, etc.) Act of 2015 and added that the revenue generated from the levy supports a cybersecurity fund aimed at bolstering Nigeria’s defense against cyber threats, particularly in the banking sector. “The CBN shall continue to enforce the payment of the mandatory levy of 0.005% on all electronic transactions by banks and other financial institutions, in accordance with the Cybercrime (Prohibition, Prevention, etc.) Act, 2015”, it said.

The CBN’s guidelines also include provisions to ensure banks, Other Financial Institutions (OFIs), and Payment Service Providers (PSPs) comply with minimum cybersecurity standards, such as appointing Chief Information Security Officers (CISOs). These requirements stem from a 2022 risk-based cybersecurity framework that targets the growing threat of cyber attacks.

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It will be recalled that the introduction of the levy had sparked controversy, with critics arguing that it adds unnecessary costs to businesses and could fuel inflation. The Centre for the Promotion of Public Enterprise (CPPE) and the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (NACCIMA) had urged the government to cap the levy to mitigate its economic impact.

In response to these criticisms, the Federal government, through the Minister of Information, and the Federal House of Representatives called for a suspension of the levy pending further review.

Similarly, the CBN pulled the plug on the collection of levy, but the latest guidelines suggest that the CBN is determined to press forward with the levy despite the opposition.

An economic experts, who did not want his name printed, stated that the CBN could have released such guidelines as part of broader measures aimed at bolstering cybersecurity across financial institutions, especially given the rise in cyber attacks targeting the financial sector.

He however stated that it would be unusual for a central bank to impose such levies directly, as cybersecurity measures are generally handled through regulatory requirements or sector-specific compliance measures.

“I have looked at the guidelines too and I am a bit confused as to whether this has been reviewed thoroughly by the Federal Executive Council because the confusion could arise from how these guidelines were communicated or interpreted by different stakeholders like me.

Also, like I had said before, financial institutions, businesses, and perhaps even customers could be affected by this levy, depending on how it’s structured. Hence, further clarification from the CBN or the Federal Executive Council may be necessary to resolve the confusion surrounding the implementation of the levy”, he said.

CBN reintroduces controversial cybercrime levy on all e-transactions

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Suspend VAT, other policies impoverishing Nigerians – SMEs tell FG

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20 hours ago

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September 19, 2024

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Suspend VAT, other policies impoverishing Nigerians – SMEs tell FG

The National Association of Small and Medium Scale Enterprises (NASME) and financial experts have called on the Federal Government (FG) to suspend any new policy that may further impoverish Nigerians.

The unanimous call was made by respondents in separate interviews with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) in Ibadan on Tuesday.

The interview focused on the need to stabilise the economy as an increase in Value Added Tax (VAT) is being anticipated from 7.5 per cent to 10 per cent.

The Oyo State chairman NASME, Prince John Karunwi, said VAT, being a consumer tax, would make prices of goods and services shoot up.

According to him, the increase will deplete consumers’ purchasing power and reduce the quantity of items they can buy.

Karunwi said that the present situation had left most Nigerians without disposable income.

“The situation now is that after transportation, maybe people have little for feeding.

“If they now discover that for some certain products, the prices will go high, the demand for products that are not essential will, definitely, drop,” said the chairman.

He said the government should be patient and allow the economy to stabilise despite its drive to increase its internally generated revenue.

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An economist, Samson Olalere, said the idea to increase VAT at this point would further deepen the hardship of the common man.

According to him, people are already grumbling about the unwarranted fuel price increase and the high cost of living, as the new minimum wage increase is grossly inadequate.

He said the government should look inward and come up with ideas that would benefit the populace and reduce the hunger of common Nigerians.

“I say no to the increase in VAT. It is an abuse of the sensitivity of Nigerians,” said the economist.

Olalere wondered why the common Nigerian would be asked to sacrifice, tighten his belt, and keep faith in the government without enough consideration for him from the same government.

A financial expert, Sola Famakinwa, corroborated the opinions of others that an increase in VAT would amount to an increase in the prices of goods and services.

“There is no way the manufacturing industries would bear the cost of increased VAT; it would be passed down to the consumers.

“If what we hear about the proposed VAT increment is true, I do not think Nigerians can bear to have more burden added to their shoulders now,” Famakinwa said.

He noted that the government needed to reduce the economic hardship by introducing subsidies for necessities that directly affect Nigerians, considering that not all are government workers.

Recall that VAT was increased from 5 per cent to 7.5 per cent on Feb. 1, 2020.

However, the Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms recently recommended an increase to 10 per cent from 2025, and to 15 per cent by 2027 or 2030.

Suspend VAT, other policies impoverishing Nigerians – SMEs tell FG

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