Opposition Weakens as Another Governor Eyes APC Move

APC and PDP Flags

Opposition Weakens as Another Governor Eyes APC Move

A new wave of defections from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and other opposition parties to the All Progressives Congress (APC) is reshaping Nigeria’s political landscape, with reports that another sitting governor may soon switch allegiance to the ruling party ahead of the 2027 general elections. Political analysts say these moves are strengthening APC’s dominance while raising concerns about the weakening of opposition parties and the future of Nigeria’s multiparty democracy.

Since May 29, 2023, when governors elected in the general elections were sworn in, the PDP controlled 11 states, cementing its position as the main opposition party. However, successive defections to APC and other parties have dramatically reduced the PDP’s influence, leaving it with just four serving governors — Ahmadu Fintiri (Adamawa), Bala Mohammed (Bauchi), Seyi Makinde (Oyo), and Dauda Lawal (Zamfara). Sources indicate that one of the remaining governors may soon defect to a more viable political platform, highlighting the party’s internal challenges and growing political vulnerability.

Observers attribute the ongoing defections to a mix of internal party crises, leadership tussles, and political survival strategies. Analysts note that the opposition parties’ repeated factional disputes, poor funding, and leadership conflicts have created openings for APC to consolidate power at both state and federal levels. While some argue that defections are a constitutional right and part of democratic choice, critics warn that the trend could erode checks and balances by weakening opposition parties.

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Leaders of smaller opposition parties, including the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), say the defection wave is largely self-inflicted, resulting from internal squabbles rather than pressure from the ruling APC. Comrade Oginni Sunday, NNPP National Secretary in Ogun State, argued that the collapse of party cohesion within the PDP, LP, and NNPP has made defection a rational choice for political survival and access to federal resources.

Former local government officials and political commentators describe the mass defections as both a challenge and an opportunity for Nigerian democracy. While they acknowledge that the trend strengthens the ruling party, they caution that frequent cross-carpeting could undermine institutional stability, weaken legislative opposition, and reduce accountability.

The reported impending defection comes amid a broader pattern of political realignment, following high-profile defections in previous election cycles. Analysts say such moves are likely motivated by strategic calculations, alignment with federal policies, and preparation for the 2027 general elections. With the APC gaining more governors and lawmakers, the party is increasingly seen as the dominant force in several regions, while the remaining opposition parties scramble to reorganize and maintain relevance.

As Nigeria approaches the 2027 polls, the political stakes remain high. Observers stress that the future of multiparty democracy hinges on whether opposition parties can resolve internal conflicts, strengthen cohesion, and present credible alternatives to the ruling party. The potential defection of another sitting governor underscores the ongoing realignment of power across Nigeria’s states and the critical role of political strategy in shaping the nation’s democratic trajectory.