AfDB disagrees with Buhari, finance minister on Nigeria’s debt challenge – Newstrends
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AfDB disagrees with Buhari, finance minister on Nigeria’s debt challenge

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  • Says Africa should be producing and not begging for vaccines

African Development Bank has affirmed that Nigeria has a debt challenge, with debt service gulping 73 per cent of government revenue.

President of the AfDB, Dr Akinwumi Adesina, gave the bank’s position, which is completely different from that President Muhammadu Buhari and Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Zainab Ahmed, who interpret the challenge before the nation as revenue generation.

Adesina spoke on Monday at a mid-term retreat for ministers. President Buhari and Vice President Yemi Osinbajo were among the audience.

In his budget presentation to the National Assembly, Buhari in trying to assuage concerns over rising debt said, “Some have expressed concern over our resort to borrowing to finance our fiscal gaps. They are right to be concerned. However, we believe that the debt level of the Federal Government is still within sustainable limits. Borrowings are to specific strategic projects and can be verified publicly…

“Our target over the medium term is to grow our Revenue-to-GDP ratio from about eight per cent currently to 15 per cent by 2025. At that level of revenues, the Debt-Service-to-Revenue ratio will cease to be worrying. Put simply, we do not have a debt sustainability problem, but a revenue challenge which we are determined to tackle to ensure our debts remain sustainable”.

But arguing from a different perspective, Adesina said Nigeria’s debt service to revenue ratio was high at 73 per cent and urged the government to decisively tackle the challenge.

“Nigeria must decisively tackle its debt challenges. The issue is not about debt-to-GDP ratio, as Nigeria’s debt-to-GDP ratio at 35 per cent is still moderate. The big issue is how to service the debt and what that means for resources for domestic investments needed to spur faster economic growth.

“The debt service to revenue ratio of Nigeria is high at 73 per cent. Things will improve as oil prices recover, but the situation has revealed the vulnerability of Nigeria’s economy. To have economic resurgence, we need to fix the structure of the economy and address some fundamentals.

“Nigeria’s challenge is revenue concentration, as the oil sector accounts for 75.4 % of export revenue and 50 % of all government revenue.”

As of June 30, 2021, the country’s external obligations stood at $33.468 billion, according to the Debt Management Office (DMO).Domestic debt was $53.2 billion. In naira terms total national debt was N35.5 trillion.

Akinwumi further stated that what was needed for sustained growth and economic resurgence is to remove the structural bottlenecks that limit the productivity and the revenue earning potential of the huge non-oil sectors.

“Nigeria should significantly boost productivity and revenues from its non-oil sector, with appropriate fiscal and macroeconomic policies, especially flexible exchange rates that will enhance international competitiveness.”

The AfDB President further said Africa should be producing and not begging for vaccines.

According to him, the African Development Bank will invest $3 billion in support of local pharmaceutical industries in Africa, including in Nigeria.

“Nigeria must build quality health care systems that will protect its population, today and well into the future.

“Nigeria must also build world-class local pharmaceutical industries, able to effectively tackle the production of therapeutic drugs and vaccines.

“Nigeria must revamp its local pharmaceutical industry and launch strategic investments for local vaccine manufacturing. Africa should not be begging for vaccines; Africa should be producing vaccines.

Adesina also further stated the government should not be decongesting the ports in Nigeria, rather “we should be transforming the ports.

“This must start with cleaning up administrative bottlenecks, most of which are unnecessary with multiple government agencies at the ports, high transaction costs or even plain extortions from illegal taxes, which do not go into the coffers of the government.

“Nigeria should rapidly modernise and transform its ports. Ports are not there for revenue generation. They are for facilitating business and exports, and stimulating industrial manufacturing, and competitiveness of local businesses and exports,” Adesina said.

 

 

 

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Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

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Sanusi Garba, Chairman, Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC)

Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

The Federal Government has said the reversal of the current increment in electricity tarrif will put more financial pressure on it.

The government said it would need about N3.2 trillion to subsidise and shoulder the cost of electricity this year should the recent hike be canceled.

Sanusi Garba, the chairman, Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), made this known at a stakeholders’ meeting organised by the House of Representatives committee on power in Abuja on Thursday.

He said that the current investments in the power sector were not enough to guarantee a stable electricity supply nationwide.

He added that if nothing was done to tackle foreign exchange instability and non-payment for gas, the sector would collapse.

Garba disclosed that prior to the tariff review, Electricity Distribution Companies (DisCos) were only obligated to pay 10 per cent of their energy invoices, adding that lack of cash backing for subsidy had created liquidity challenges for the sector.

He added that the inability of the government to pay subsidy led to continuous decline in gas supply and power generation.

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He said that the continued decline in the generation and system collapse were largely linked to liquidity challenges.

He said from January 2020 to 2023, the tariff was increased from 55 per cent to 94 per cent of cost recovery.

He added that “the unification of FX and current inflationary pressures were pushing cost reflective tariff to N184/kWh”

“If sitting back and doing nothing is the way to go, it will mean that the National Assembly and the Executive would have to provide about N3.2 trillion to pay for subsidy in 2024,” he said.

Mr Garba said that only N185 billion out of the N645 billion subsidy in 2023 was cash-backed, leaving a funding gap of N459.5 billion.

The vice-chairman of NERC, Musiliu Oseni, also justified the recent tariff increase, saying the increment was needed to save the sector from total collapse.

Rep. Victor Nwokolo, the chairman of the committee, said the goal of the meeting was to address the increase in tariff and the issue of band A and others.

Mr Nwokolo said the officials of NERC and DISCOS had provided useful Information to the committee.

“We have not concluded with them because the Transmission Company of Nigeria is not here and the Generation Companies too.

“From what they have said which is true, is that without the change in tarrif, which was due since 2022, the industry lacks the capital to bring the needed change.

“Of course, the population explosion in Nigeria, is beyond what they have estimated in the past and because they need to expand their own network, they also needed more money, ” he said

Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

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Naira loses N81 to dollar in one day

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Naira loses N81 to dollar in one day

The naira lost N81.34 against the US dollar at the foreign exchange market on Thursday

FMDQ data showed that the naira fell to N1,154.08 per dollar on Thursday from N1,072.74 on Wednesday.

This represents a 7.04 per cent loss against the dollar compared to N1,072.74 per dollar traded the previous day.

At the parallel market, the naira also depreciated N1,100 per dollar on Thursday from N1, 040 on Wednesday.

This is the second time the naira would be depreciating against the dollar in three days amid fears of depleting foreign exchange reserves.

Nigeria’s foreign reserves dropped to $32.29 billion as of April 15.

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Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

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Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

The CEO of Rainoil Limited, Gabriel Ogbechie, has claimed that the federal government resumed the payment of the controversial fuel subsidy following the devaluation of the Naira in the foreign exchange market.

Ogbechie made this statement on Tuesday during the Stanbic IBTC Energy and Infrastructure Breakfast Session held in Lagos.

He pointed out that with Nigeria’s daily fuel usage at 40 million liters and the foreign exchange rate at N1,300, the government’s subsidy per liter of fuel falls between N400 and N500, culminating in a monthly total of approximately N600 billion.

He said; “When Mr. President came in May last year, one of the things he said was that Subsidy is gone. And  truly, the subsidy was gone, because immediately the price of fuel moved from 200 to 500 per liter. At that point truly, subsidy was gone.

“During that period, Dollar was exchanging for N460, but a few weeks later, the government devalued the exchange rate. And Dollar moved to about N750. At that point, subsidy was beginning to come back.

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“The moment the two markets officially closed, officially the market went to about N1,300. At that point, that conversation was out of the window. Subsidy was fully back on petrol. If you want to know where petrol should be, just look at where diesel is. Diesel is about N1,300 and petrol is still selling for N600.

Furthermore, he said that NNPC being the only petrol importer in the country implies that there is an ongoing subsidy, as prices had to be fixed.

Earlier yesterday, the former governor of Kaduna State, Nasir El Rufai, said the federal government is spending more on petrol subsidy than before.

In addition, the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, Mrs. Olu Veŕheijen, said that the Federal Government reserves the right to pay fuel subsidy intermittently to cushion hardship in the country.

“The subsidy was removed on May 29. However, the government has the prerogative to maintain price stability to address social unrest. They reserve the right to intervene.

“If the government feels that it cannot continue to allow prices to fluctuate due to high inflation and exchange rates, the government reserves the right to intervene intermittently and that does not negate the fact that subsidy has been removed,” she said.

Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

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