Business
Recession looming over naira scarcity, state governors warn
Governors of the 36 states in Nigeria have warned of a possible recession arising from the devastating effects of the current scarcity of naira notes to the small-scale businesses and by extension the nation’s economy.
They therefore asked President Muhammadu Buhari and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to listen to the voice of reason from the nation and the international community concerning the naira issue.
The Council of State had last Friday advised the CBN to print more naira notes or release the old ones to the system to ease the sufferings of Nigerians.
This was after the governors of Kogi, Kaduna, Zamfara and Kano states had dragged the Federal Government to Supreme Court, seeking cancellation of the CBN deadline for the new naira policy which they said had caused untold hardship to their citizens.
The apex court had last week ruled in favour of the governors, ordering the suspension of the February 10 deadline.
The state governors, rising from their meeting on Saturday under the aegis of the Nigeria Governors Forum (NGF) asked the FG and CBN to reconsider their stand on the naira issue.
They expressed sympathy and support for Nigerians who they said were experiencing great difficulties under the current CBN naira redesign and cash withdrawal restrictions policy.
Chairman of the NGF and Sokoto State governor, Aminu Tambuwal, said they felt the pains of Nigerians and that they were determined to employ all legitimate channels to ease the situation.
He said, “The current approach of the CBN raises concerns about the respect for the civil liberties and rights of Nigerians as it relates to their freedom to use legitimately earned income as they so wish.
“The Forum believes that to deploy a cashless policy and deepen digital transactions, the best practice around the world is to create a suite of incentives to attract customers; rather than a draconian approach as we have witnessed in the last three months.
“The argument by the CBN for what it describes as the astronomical increase in the currency in circulation as the basis for this policy is not supported by its own data. According to the CBN, the currency in circulation increased from N1.4 trillion in 2015 to N3.23 trillion in October 2022.
“The bank appears not to have taken into consideration the increase in the size of the country’s nominal GDP over this period, the doubling of consumer prices, rising population, and the impact of the humongous Ways & Means advances to the federal government by the Central Bank of Nigeria over this period.
“In the circumstances, it is safe to draw either of two conclusions – the CBN data may be incomplete or in fact, Nigerians may have done exceptionally well in the transition to a cashless economy.
“In addition, considering the sizable informal sector in the nation, the amount of banknotes created in exchange so far by the CBN implies it vastly underestimated the economy’s actual cash needs.
“The inability to use the new notes has had far-reaching economic effects, leading to the emergence of the Naira black market, severe food inflation, variable commodities prices based on the method of exchange, and long queues as well as crowds around Automated Teller Machines (ATMs); and banking halls across the country with individuals hoping to get a fraction of their money in new notes to meet their daily livelihood; the country runs the risk of a CBN-induced recession.
“While we acknowledge the submission of the attorney-general of the federation that the federal government will comply with the ruling of the Supreme Court which calls for the halting of CBN’s plan to end the use of the old currency notes, we are yet to observe changes in the financial system.
“Consequently, we call on the federal government and the CBN to respect the Rule of Law and listen to the voice of reason expressed by Nigerians and several other stakeholders including the Council of State, before the damage to our economy becomes too great to fix by the next administration.
“Members rose from the meeting agreeing to direct their attorneys-general to review the suit at the Supreme Court with a view to consolidating the legal reliefs pursued by states.”
Business
Naira exchanges N1,650/$ in parallel market
Naira exchanges N1,650/$ in parallel market
Yesterday, the Naira appreciated N1,650 per dollar in the parallel market, compared to N1,655 on Monday.
Similarly, the Naira appreciated to N1,535 per dollar in the official foreign exchange market.
Data published by the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, showed that the exchange rate for the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) fell to N1,535 per dollar from N1,537 per dollar on Monday, indicating N2 appreciation for the naira.
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Consequently, the margin between the parallel market and NFEM rate narrowed to N115 per dollar from N118 per dollar on Monday.
Naira exchanges N1,650/$ in parallel market
Business
Exchange rate ends 2024 at N1,535/$1, marking a 40.9% depreciation
Exchange rate ends 2024 at N1,535/$1, marking a 40.9% depreciation
The exchange rate between the naira and the dollar ended the year at N1,535/$1 representing a 40.9% depreciation for 2024.
The official exchange rate between the naira and dollar closed in 2023 at N907.11/$1 thus depreciating by 40.9% for the year which compares to a 49.1% devaluation at the end of 2023.
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Nigeria introduced several foreign exchange policies in 2024 as the central bank expanded on market-friendly forex policies to attract foreign investors.
Meanwhile, on the parallel market where the exchange rate is sold unofficially, the naira exchanged for N1,660 to the dollar when compared to N1,215/$ according to Nairametrics tracking records. This represents a 26.8% depreciation.
Exchange rate ends 2024 at N1,535/$1, marking a 40.9% depreciation
Business
Warri refinery: Marketers hopeful of further petrol price drop
Warri refinery: Marketers hopeful of further petrol price drop
There was excitement on Monday as the Warri Refining and Petrochemical Company (WRPC) commenced partial production.
This is coming after nearly a decade of dormancy as the 125,000 barrels per day refinery was confirmed to be working at 60 per cent capacity, according to the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL).
The refinery, inactive since 2015 due to prolonged repairs, reportedly began refining activities last Saturday at its Area 1 plant, where crude oil was successfully pumped into the system.
This was coming about a month after the commencement of operations at the 60,000-barrel-per-day-old Port Harcourt Refinery.
The NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, announced the resumption of operation at the Warri Refinery during a tour of the facility on Monday.
Kyari was seen in a video posted by Channels TV addressing a tour team, which included the Chief Executive Officer of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, Farouk Ahmed.
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Earlier, Kyari explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.
He said though the repairs on the facility were not 100 per cent complete, operations had commenced.
He said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”
With the addition of Warri Refinery, Nigeria’s refining capacity has further increased with marketers anticipating a further reduction in price of premium motor spirit (PMS).
The 650,000-barrel Dangote Refinery has commenced production in addition to the Port Harcourt Refinery with a total capacity of 210,000 barrels per day (bpd) comprising 60,000 bpd for the old plant and 150,000 bpd for the new plant.
It’s good for business, prices may reduce – Marketers
Major Energy Marketers’ Association of Nigeria (MEMAN) and the Independent Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) welcomed the revival of the Warri refinery, saying it would deepen competition, diversify supply and ultimately resort to price reduction.
Executive Secretary of MEMAN, Clem Isong in a chat with our correspondent stated that the Warri Refinery is the shortest route to the North, describing its revival as good news.
“The market becomes more competitive and we are diversifying supply,” he said.
On whether it would lead to price reduction, he stated, “There are many factors that affect price, competition is always good and you can always get your product at the best price.”
National Public Relations Officer of IPMAN, Alhaji Olanrewaju Okanlawon in a chat with our correspondent said, “If there is excess supply, it will keep bringing down the price. We now run a free market and it is about demand and supply. It will continue bringing down the price. It will decongest Lagos.”
Energy expert, Dr. Ayodele Oni said the resumption of Warri Refinery would boost the local refining capacity in addition to enabling the country to sell to other neighbouring countries.
“We can refine more and even have some to sell. We now stop being hewers of wood and drawers of water. We add value to what we produce and can make/ do more with our base resources. This is very pleasant news,” he said.
Warri refinery: Marketers hopeful of further petrol price drop
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