Abuja-Kaduna train breakdown: A taste of the Chinese pudding - Newstrends
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Abuja-Kaduna train breakdown: A taste of the Chinese pudding

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The Abuja-Kaduna train breakdown that happened last week presents a good illustration of the age-old adage that says: the taste of the pudding is in the eating. From all indications, the taste of the pudding which China is cooking for Nigeria is beginning to emerge already.

For over ten hours, some Nigerians were stranded in the middle of no-where, abandoned in the bush as a result of a failed locomotive. The train ride with all the luxury it purports to offer left a very sour taste in the mouths of the passengers, as they were buffeted by hunger and thirst for several hours, not to talk of failed appointments and the deep fear of being kidnapped due to high level of insecurity around that corridor.

There can be no gainsaying the fact that the breakdown of the locomotive is a foretaste of what is to come. The incident seems to tell Nigerians what the situation will be in the next five to ten years. Unfortunately, a taste of it couldn’t wait. As the transportation minister, Rotimi Amaechi, has said the embarrassing incident is so early in the day, and is quite unexpected. We quite agree with him. If this can happen at this time, less than one year of operation, one can imagine what the case will be in the next ten years.

True, the breakdown of the locomotives was not expected at this time by Amaechi and  the government of the day. This is because the Nigerian government officials either trust the Chinese so much or have chosen to underestimate or ignore the famed craftiness and propensity of the Chinese to cut corners. On the other hand, it could be because Nigeria has become a beggar before China, and as the saying goes, a beggar has no choice. In that light, she must take whatever China throws her way.

Indeed, one cannot talk about the train breakdown incident without talking about how the contract that gave birth to it was procured, same with other ongoing rail projects across the country.

These rail projects are being executed with loans from China. The loans are tied to projects and disbursed by the China EXIM Bank, with the interest said to be  subsidized by the country’s Ministry of Commerce. The commerce ministry assigns Chinese contractors to execute projects.

With such an arrangement, the project becomes entirely Chinese affair. The money barely gets into the hands of Nigeria since the loans are offered in the form of projects. Thus, most of the funds given out actually go back to China by way of supplies, salaries, allowances and housing of top and middle-level manpower, construction contracts and the whole equipment which are brought in from China.

With all the equipment, including the locomotives coming from China as part of the loan deal, Nigeria is not in a position to know or determine the competitive cost and  quality of the equipment. Nigerian negotiators will not know if the shiny locomotive is new or refurbished. All they do is to celebrate the arrival of the locomotives from China, and when everything is put together, they assemble to commission it with fun fare. How long the locomotive or equipment will last is another issue as there is no performance bond signed.

With what has begun to emerge so early in the day, one is afraid how Nigeria will be able to repay  the loans, given envisaged breakdowns which might impact on the operation of the railways. The breakdowns, if they become frequent and severe, may render some rail lines unviable, and therefore, disposed to take-over by the Chinese. The story of China loan/infrastructure projects in the developing countries especially, Africa presents a frightening scenario.

Across the African continent, in most of the transactions with China, corruption or kickbacks by government officials have been alleged. The loans are largely concessionary with lots of suspected undercover dealings and perks in favour of African government officials. These come in form of huge kickbacks, which largely do not go through the banking system.

The presence of the kickbacks indicates that the actual cost of investments in the projects will actually fall far short of negotiated loan amounts. This is a cause of worry concerning future default on these Chinese loans.

Another source of worry is the opaqueness of the Chinese projects and loans across all jurisdictions. In every country that China has shown its ‘magnanimity’, all the infrastructure of roads, ports, highways, railways and airports financed with these loans all connect to China in what has been aptly described as the “new silk road.” This means, perhaps, that these infrastructures are forever tied to China.

One curious thing is while China can give Nigeria refurbished locomotives or inferior equipment without batting an eyelid, it is willing to ‘donate’ to her a transport university said to worth $50 million. The amount even a kindergarten pupil knew that might have conveniently built into the inflated cost of the railway projects.

This is similar to its donation of a mighty Secretariat to the African Union Commission in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia – a gesture which has provided it a good launching pad to gain easy access to virtually all African countries, offering them irresistible loans that are tied to projects. The secretariat was also rumoured to be a mine of classified information for Chinese as they allegedly installed high tech spying gadgets all over the building during its construction.

While the Minister of Transportation, Rotimi Amaechi, and the managing director of NRC Fidet Okhiria, have apologized to Nigerians, with the NRC MD promising that the breakdown will not occur again, Nigerians remain skeptical of what the future holds for all the Chinese largesse for Nigeria.

* Business & Maritime West Africa Saturday Editorial

 

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MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service

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MTN Nigeria Communications PLC

MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service 

MTN Nigeria Communications PLC has temporarily suspended its airtime and data credit service, Xtratime, following new regulatory requirements governing digital consumer lending services in Nigeria.

The company disclosed the development in a corporate filing to the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) on Thursday, stating that the suspension was necessary to comply with the 2025 Digital, Electronic, Online and Non-Traditional Consumer Lending Regulations issued by the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC).

According to MTN, the Xtratime service—which allows prepaid subscribers to borrow airtime or data and repay on their next recharge—falls under the expanded scope of the new regulatory framework and now requires additional compliance and licensing processes before it can resume.

In the regulatory notice signed by Company Secretary Uto Ukpanah, MTN said:
“MTN Nigeria Communications PLC hereby notifies the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the investing public that the company has temporarily suspended its airtime and data credit advance service (‘Xtratime’).”

The telecom operator added that the suspension is tied to ongoing implementation of the FCCPC’s updated rules, which introduce stricter compliance, registration, and licensing obligations for all providers of digital or non-traditional credit services.

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MTN stressed that despite the suspension, customers can still purchase airtime and data through other available channels, including banking platforms, USSD services, and mobile apps, assuring that the decision is not expected to significantly affect earnings.

“Given the scale within the revenue mix, we do not expect the temporary suspension to have a material impact,” the company said, adding that updates would be provided in its Q1 2026 financial report.

The development highlights the widening reach of Nigeria’s consumer credit regulations, which now extend beyond banks and fintech loan apps to include telecommunications companies offering airtime advances.

The FCCPC had earlier introduced a framework for digital lending in 2022 but strengthened enforcement with the 2025 regulations, requiring all operators in the sector to register and obtain approval before continuing operations.

Under the new rules, companies offering short-term digital credit services must meet stricter standards on consumer protection, transparency, data governance, and ethical debt recovery practices. The commission has reportedly set an April 2026 deadline for full compliance by existing operators.

Industry analysts say the move reflects a broader effort by regulators to bring order to Nigeria’s fast-growing digital credit ecosystem, where airtime loans have become a key financial support tool for millions of low-income mobile users.

For now, MTN has not announced a timeline for restoring the Xtratime service, stating only that it will resume once full regulatory compliance is achieved.

MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service

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Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking

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Africa’s richest businessman, Aliko Dangote
Alhaji Aliko Dangote, the CEO of Dangote Group

Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking

Nigerian business magnate Aliko Dangote has been named among the TIME100 Most Influential People in the World for 2026, as TIME Magazine released its latest list recognising individuals shaping global politics, business, technology, and culture.

Dangote, Africa’s richest man and founder of the Dangote Group, is the only Nigerian featured in the 2026 edition. He appears in the Titans category, recognised for his decades-long push to industrialise Africa through investments in cement, sugar, fertiliser, and the landmark Dangote Refinery—one of the largest single-train refineries in the world.

This marks Dangote’s second appearance on the TIME100 list, following his first inclusion in 2014, further cementing his status as one of Africa’s most globally recognised industrialists.

A key highlight of this year’s recognition is the tribute written by fellow Nigerian billionaire Tony Elumelu, who praised Dangote’s entrepreneurial journey and continental impact. Elumelu described him as “indefatigable, resilient, and foresighted,” and lauded him as “one of the greatest African entrepreneurs of our time.”

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He added that Dangote’s work demonstrates that Africans can create large-scale value “with our own resources, on our continent,” reinforcing the philosophy of economic self-reliance that has shaped both businessmen’s careers.

Interestingly, the gesture reflects a role reversal from previous years, as Dangote once wrote Elumelu’s TIME100 tribute when the UBA chairman appeared on the list in 2020.

The 2026 TIME100 list, now in its 23rd edition, features global figures across multiple categories, including Titans, Leaders, Innovators, Icons, Artists, and Pioneers. High-profile names this year include U.S. President Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and major technology leaders such as Google CEO Sundar Pichai and YouTube CEO Neal Mohan.

Other political figures featured include Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, alongside global leaders in health, finance, and multilateral institutions.

Analysts say Dangote’s inclusion carries strong symbolic significance for Africa, particularly at a time of economic restructuring and renewed calls for industrialisation and self-sufficiency across the continent. His multi-billion-dollar refinery project, in particular, is seen as a strategic asset aimed at reducing Nigeria’s reliance on imported refined petroleum products, boosting local production, and creating thousands of jobs.

The recognition also reinforces Dangote’s global reputation as a leading figure in African entrepreneurship, with his business empire spanning critical sectors of the economy and influencing industrial policy conversations across the region.

The TIME100 announcement precedes the annual TIME100 Summit scheduled for April 22 in New York, where selected honourees are expected to participate in discussions on global leadership and innovation.

The full list and tributes are available via TIME Magazine’s official platforms.

Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking

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Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria

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World Bank

Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria

Energy experts have strongly criticised recent recommendations attributed to the World Bank urging Nigeria to deepen fuel importation and further liberalise its downstream petroleum sector, warning that the proposal is economically risky, poorly timed, and inconsistent with Nigeria’s petroleum law.

The criticism comes amid growing debate over the findings of the World Bank’s latest Nigeria Development Update, which some stakeholders say suggests a return to higher fuel import dependence as part of broader market reforms aimed at stabilising prices and improving efficiency.

However, energy economist Prof. Ken Ife faulted the recommendation, arguing that it contradicts Nigeria’s long-term goal of energy self-sufficiency and undermines ongoing investments in domestic refining capacity.

“You cannot advise a country struggling to achieve economic self-reliance to return to fuel importation,” Ife said, warning that such a policy shift would reverse gains made under the Petroleum Industry framework.

He stressed that the proposal runs counter to the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act, particularly the Domestic Crude Supply Obligation, which prioritises crude allocation to local refineries to support domestic production.

According to him, abandoning this structure would weaken Nigeria’s refining ambitions, increase exposure to global oil shocks, and worsen pressure on foreign exchange reserves.

“We are building capacity that could exceed domestic demand. Reversing course now would discourage investors and destabilise the downstream sector,” he added.

Ife further questioned the empirical basis of the recommendation, describing it as inconsistent with the broader analytical strength of the World Bank report.

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Other energy analysts echoed similar concerns, arguing that Nigeria is already at a critical stage of expanding domestic refining, including private-sector-led investments that are expected to reduce dependence on imported petrol in the coming years.

Energy analyst Kelvin Emmanuel also criticised the proposal, insisting that it is disconnected from current global pricing realities and supply chain risks.

He argued that landing imported petrol in Nigeria is already significantly expensive when freight, insurance, and exchange rate factors are considered, making large-scale import reliance economically unsustainable.

Emmanuel further noted that rising crude oil prices—driven partly by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—have pushed global energy markets into volatility, reinforcing the need for domestic refining resilience rather than import dependence.

He also disputed claims that imported fuel could be cheaper than locally refined products, arguing that such assumptions ignore structural cost realities in the global supply chain.

On inflation and fuel pricing, Emmanuel maintained that Nigeria’s challenges are linked more to policy implementation gaps than production shortages, particularly in crude allocation to local refineries as outlined in the Petroleum Industry Act.

“If domestic supply obligations are properly enforced, price stability will improve and market volatility will reduce,” he said.

He also criticised proposals suggesting that Nigeria should expand social safety nets through borrowing, arguing that such measures could worsen fiscal pressure and contradict responsible debt management principles.

While acknowledging that social protection is important, he insisted that funding should prioritise grants or targeted revenue sources rather than additional debt obligations.

The debate highlights growing tension between international policy advice and Nigeria’s domestic energy strategy at a time when the country is attempting to stabilise fuel supply, reduce import dependence, and strengthen local refining capacity.

Industry observers say the outcome of this policy direction could significantly shape Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector, foreign exchange stability, and long-term energy security.

Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria

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