Meanwhile, the volume of dollars traded (turnover) in the NAFEM rose year-on-year (YoY) by 61 per cent to $33.7 billion in the first nine months of 2024 (9M’24) from $20.9 billion in 9M’ 24.
Naira faces fresh pressure, exchanges at N1,705/$ in parallel market
There are indications that the nation’s currency has come under fresh demand pressure in the parallel market with significant depreciation recorded in the past week.
Yesterday, parallel market dealers traded at N1,705/ $1.00 down from N1,655/$1.00 a week ago, with sustained day-to-day slide.
Vanguard’s Naira watch indicates the steady slide is happening for the first time in several weeks unlike the daily fluctuation within a narrow band of between N1645 and N1,655/$1.00 recorded in the past two months.
Dealers in the parallel market told Vanguard that there was an indication of supply shortfalls in the past two weeks which may have sparked the depreciation in the market.
The development may have also affected the official market segment as data from FMDQ, shows the indicative exchange rate for Nigeria Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market, NAFEM, depreciated to N1541.94/$1.0 yesterday from N1540.78/ $1.0 over the weekend, indicating a 96 kobo depreciation.
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The exchange rate development in the third quarter of 2024, Q4’24, also indicated a reversal of the positive trend recorded towards the end of last year.
In a surprising positive trend, the Naira closed last year in the parallel market at N1,215/$1.00, after it had previously hit N1,800/$1.0 quarter average in the third quarter of 2023.
The local currency further resumed the new year 2024 in a positive trend with an appreciation at N1,220/$1.0.
However, the trend reversed in the second quarter of the year with steady depreciation to a quarterly average of N1,620/$1.00 at the end of the second quarter, 2024.
After two months of stability at N1,630/$1.00 in most parts of the third quarter, the latest round of depreciation may have now started, with the fears that the high point of depreciation in Q4’23 may be underway for a repeat.
However, stakeholders in the economy have projected further rises in prices due to the continuous depreciation of the naira against the dollar especially in the parallel market.
CBN permits BDCs to buy up to $25,000 FX weekly from NFEM
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has granted Bureau de Change (BDC) operators temporary permission to purchase up to $25,000 weekly in foreign exchange (FX) from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM).
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has granted Bureau de Change (BDC) operators temporary permission to purchase up to $25,000 weekly in foreign exchange (FX) from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM).
This move, detailed in a circular dated December 19, 2024, is designed to meet seasonal retail demand for FX during the holiday period.
The circular was signed by T.G. Allu, on behalf of the Acting Director of the Trade and Exchange Department.
The arrangement will be in effect from December 19, 2024, to January 30, 2025.
Under the directive, BDCs may purchase FX from a single Authorized Dealer of their choice, provided they fully fund their accounts before accessing the market.
The transactions will occur at the prevailing NFEM rate, and BDCs are required to adhere to a maximum 1% spread when pricing FX for retail end-users.
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All transactions conducted under this scheme must be reported to the CBN’s Trade and Exchange Department.
The circular read in part:
“In order to meet expected seasonal demand for foreign exchange, the CBN is allowing a temporary access for all existing BDCs to the NFEM for the purchase of FX from Authorised Dealers, subject to a weekly cap of USD 25,000.00 (Twenty-five thousand dollars only).
This window will be open between December 19, 2024 to January 30, 2025.
“BDC operators can purchase FX under this arrangement from only one Authorized Dealer of their choice and will be required to fully fund their account before accessing the market at the prevailing NFEM rate. All transactions with BDCs should be reported to the Trade and Exchange department, and a maximum spread of 1% is allowed on the pricing offered by BDCs to retail end-users.”
The CBN assured the general public that PTA (Personal Travel Allowance) and BTA (Business Travel Allowance) remain available through banks for legitimate travel and business needs.”
These transactions are to be conducted at “market-determined exchange rates” within the NFEM framework.
This initiative reflects the CBN’s strategy to stabilize the FX market and manage seasonal surges in demand.
Bitcoin price crashes to $95,000
The cryptocurrency market experienced sharp declines after the United States Federal Reserve announced a 25-basis point rate cut.
Bitcoin’s price dropped from its record high of $108,267 to a multi-day low of $95,000 within 36 hours.
Amid this turmoil, Paper-hand traders are rushing to sell their assets while the experienced ones are taking advantage of the dip to increase their portfolios.
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time this year.
“Today was a closer call, but we decided it was the right move,” Powell said during a press conference. While rate cuts typically benefit cryptocurrencies due to their risky asset status, this decision appears to have introduced caution among buyers.
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Crypto analysts predict that Bitcoin could face increased volatility in the short term. On-chain data reveals selling pressure has eased since November, but caution remains high. Buyers are closely monitoring Bitcoin’s support levels, particularly around the $100,000 mark, with potential resistance seen at $110,000 in the coming weeks.
Some buyers anticipate a “Santa Rally” a term used to describe the Bullish performance of bitcoin during the Christmas holidays. Historical data on this notion has given mixed outcomes.
In previous halving years, Bitcoin often surged during Christmas week, with price moves of 11% to 25% recorded in 2017, 2020, and 2024.
However, analysts warn that current market conditions, including macroeconomic uncertainty and a cautious Fed, could dampen such expectations.
Aside from the federal rate cuts announced by Powell. He also mentioned that the Central Bank is not allowed to hold Bitcoin unless approved by Congress.
Dangote reduces petrol price to ₦899.50/litre
Dangote Petroleum Refinery has slashed the price of its petrol t to ₦899.50 per litre.
Making this known in a statement on Thursday was Anthony Chiejina, Chief Branding and Communications Officer of the Dangote Group.
He said, “Africa’s first privately-owned oil refinery, which previously lowered the price to N970 per litre on November 24, has now announced a new price of N899.50 per litre. This reduction is designed to ease transport costs during the festive period.”
Adding, Chiejina said, “In addition to the holiday discount, Dangote Petroleum Refinery is allowing consumers to purchase an additional litre of fuel on credit for every litre bought on a cash basis.”
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“To alleviate transport costs during this holiday season, Dangote Refinery is offering a holiday discount on PMS. From today, our petrol will be available at N899.50 per litre at our truck loading gantry or SPM. Furthermore, for every litre purchased on a cash basis, consumers will have the opportunity to buy another litre on credit, backed by a bank guarantee from Access Bank, First Bank, or Zenith Bank.”
The statement said the refinery was committed to making sure Nigerians have access to premium quality petroleum products that are competitively priced which are also environmentally and engine friendly.
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