Concerns mount as inflation rate jumps to 13.71 per cent – Newstrends
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Concerns mount as inflation rate jumps to 13.71 per cent

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There are fears that the Nigerians’ living conditions may not fare better in the coming months following the continued rise in inflation rate. The inflation rate rose to 13.71 per cent in September, which is 0.49 per cent higher than 13.22 per cent recorded in August 2020.

The latest inflation figure was released on Thursday by the National Bureau of Statistics in its Consumer Price Index report.

The rate has been on a steady rise this year. For instance, the inflation rate stood at 12.82 per cent in July, compared to 12.56 per cent in June 2020.

The September figure is noted as the highest level since March 2018 when it hit a record high of 13.34 per cent.

According to the NBS new report, “The consumer price index which measures inflation increased by 13.71 per cent (year-on-year) in September 2020. This is 0.49 per cent points higher than the rate recorded in August 2020 (13.22) per cent.”

Details of the report showed that increases were recorded in all COICOP divisions that yielded the headline index.

On a month-on-month basis, the headline index increased by 1.48 per cent in September 2020, which is 0.14 higher than the August 2020 (1.34) figure.

The percentage change in the average composite CPI for the 12-month period, ending September 2020 over the average of the CPI for the previous 12-month period is 12.44 per cent, showing 0.21 percentage point from 12.23 in August 2020.

The urban inflation rate increased by 14.31 per cent (year-on-year) from 13.83 per cent recorded in August 2020, while the rural inflation rate increased by 13.14 per cent from 12.65 in August 2020.

The urban index rose by 1.56 per cent in September 2020, on a month-on-month basis. This was up by 0.14 from 1.42 per cent in August 2020.

The rural index also rose by 1.40 per cent in September 2020, up by 0.13 from 1.27 in August 2020.

The corresponding 12-month year-on-year average percentage change for the urban index is 13.07 per cent in September 2020.

This is higher than the 12.85 per cent in August 2020, while the corresponding rural inflation rate in September 2020 is 11.86 per cent compared to the 11.66 per cent of August 2020.

The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry has expressed worry at the continued uptrend in headline inflation and urged the government to address issues around the disruption of agriculture value chain including insecurity problem.

Its President, Mrs Toki Mabogunje, said at a recent press briefing on the state of the economy that intense inflationary pressures would exert negative impact on households purchasing power, investment, production cost and business operations.

She noted the currency devaluation and the increase in value added tax rate as likely factors responsible for the higher inflation trend early this year, adding that the COVID-19 pandemic that paralysed the economy compounded the situation in the later months.

Mabogunje urged “the government to stem rising consumer prices through measures aimed at bridging supply gaps and reducing transportation costs. Similarly, there is a need to address the security concerns in the country, especially in the major food-producing areas.”

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FEC okays N27.5tn budget for 2024, $77.9 oil benchmark

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FEC okays N27.5tn budget for 2024, $77.9 oil benchmark 

The Federal Executive Council (FEC) has approved N27.5 trillion expenditure for the 2024 Appropriation Bill.

It also raised its oil price assumption by $4 per barrel to $77.96 and its assumed currency value down to N750 per dollar, compared with N700.

Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Alhaji Atiku Bagudu, disclosed this on Monday in Abuja after the FEC meeting presided over by President Bola Tinubu at the State House.

The minister last month said the country planned to spend N26.01 trillion for its 2024 budget.

Bagudu gave the targeted revenue for next year as N18 trillion.

According to him, further details of the budget will be given when President Tinubu presents the budget to the National Assembly.

He also said the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), which had been passed by the National Assembly, was further reviewed.

Bagudu said, “The Federal Executive Council considered the 2024 Appropriation bill.

“The MTEF was earlier approved by the National Assembly. It has an exchange rate of N700 to a dollar and a crude oil benchmark of $73.

“To improve revenue, the council further reviewed the MTEF, with an exchange rate of N750 to a dollar, and a crude oil benchmark of $77. This will significantly improve revenue.”

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NADDC DG, KPMG economist Kale for LCCI auto industry symposium

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NADDC DG, KPMG economist Kale for LCCI auto industry symposium

 

The Auto & Allied sub-Sectoral Group of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) is set to hold a symposium on the Nigeria’s fledging automotive industry.

The programme holding on November 30, 2023 with the theme: The Auto & Allied Sector, Present-Day Realities in Nigeria’, at the LCCI Commerce House, Victoria Island, Lagos, will be attended by many leading auto industry stakeholders as well as experts from other fields of the economy.

According to a statement made available by Austin Akpovili, chairman of the symposium organizing committee, guest speakers expected at the symposium are Joseph Oluwemimo-Osanipin, director-general, National Automotive Design and Development Council (NADDC); Yemi Kale, partner and chief economist at KPMG Professional Services.

Panelists at the programme are Aissatou Diuof, general manager, Suzuki by CFAO Motors Nigeria Limited; Mayokun Fadeyibi, chief operating officer, Autochek Africa; and Diana Chen, chairman and chief executive officer, CIG Motors Limited.

Michael Olawale-Cole, president of LCCI and Kunle Jayesimi are the chief host and host respectively.

Commenting on the forthcoming symposium, Jayesimi, who is chairman of the Auto & Allied sub-Sectoral Group of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, stated that the theme of this year’s symposium reflects the current realities confronting Nigeria’s automotive sector.

He expressed optimism that both the keynote speakers and the panelists invited to the symposium would provide useful insights and frameworks on best ways possible to address the hydra-headed problem confronting the local automotive sector over the years.

On his own submission, Akpovili, chairman of the symposium organising committee stated that, he is very positive that the calibre of the speakers at this year’s symposium would provide quality propositions on the way forward for the automobile industry in the present day realities of Nigeria.

Expected at the all-important symposium are all the major automobile dealers, Association of Motor Dealers of Nigeria (AMDON), the Nigerian Automobile Manufacturers Association (NAMA) and the mechanic bodies.

Others targeted are the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, National Automotive Design and Development Council (NADDC), KPMG and Delloite, the Japanese embassy, the German and United States consulates.

The list also includes the Bureau of Public Enterprise, the Nigeria Customs Service, Publicity and Advocacy group of the of LCCI Chambers, customs clearing agents/association with Frank Aigbogun, publisher of of BusinessDay as the moderator.

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Updated: CBN to introduce new forex guidelines

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Updated: CBN to introduce new forex guidelines

 

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)  Mr says it will soon introduce a new set of foreign exchange laws and guidelines to address naira depreciation.

Governor of the CBN, Mr Yemi Cardoso, said on Friday the measure would help Nigeria achieve exchange rate stability.

The CBN, according to him, will also conduct a new recapitalisation exercise for the banking industry.

He said thus would be done by directing banks to increase their minimum capital base to a level sufficient to support the vision of a $1trillion economy.

Cardoso disclosed this in Lagos in a keynote speech at the 2023 Annual Bankers Dinner of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria.

He also said that the CBN would introduce a new licensing framework for fintechs and payment banks, warning that operators found engaging in activities outside their licenses will be sanctioned.

He cited the need to curtail the challenge of rising inflation, adding that the apex bank would further tighten money supply for the next two quarters.

To further reduce excess cash in the banking system, he said the management of the CBN would soon conduct another round of liquidity mop up via issuance of Open Market Operations, treasury bills.

He said, “Our monetary policies will aim to achieve price stability, foster sustainable economic growth, stabilize the exchange rate of the naira, and reduce interest rates to facilitate borrowing and investments in the real sector.

“In order to ensure the proper functioning of domestic and foreign currency markets, clear, transparent, and harmonized rules governing market operations are essential.

“New foreign exchange guidelines and legislation will be developed, and extensive consultations will be conducted with banks and FX market operators before implementing any new requirements.

“Considering the policy imperatives and the projected economic growth, it is crucial for us to evaluate the adequacy of our banking industry to serve the envisioned larger economy.

“It is not just about the stability of the financial system in the present moment, as we have already established that the current assessment shows stability.

“However, we need to ask ourselves: Will Nigerian banks have sufficient capital relative to the financial system’s needs in servicing a $1.0 trillion economy in the near future? In my opinion, the answer is No, unless we take action.
“Therefore, we must make difficult decisions regarding capital adequacy. As a first step, we will be directing banks to increase their capital.”
On new licensing framework for fintechs, Cardoso said, “Technology will continue to play a critical role in delivering financial services and enhancing financial inclusion. “However, recent developments in the payment services landscape have raised concerns regarding the use of technology and the existing licensing and regulatory framework.

“We have observed that some licensees are operating outside the approved activities, breaching the boundaries set for them.

“Any intentional or unintended noncompliance will be subject to sanctions, as operators have the responsibility to ensure that they are licensed for the activities they undertake. “Concurrently, as we conduct a comprehensive review of the licensing framework for payment services, we will engage in extensive consultations to develop a new regulatory and compliance framework that is suitable for the technology-driven payment services sector.”

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