Business
Dangote Refinery Threatens to Export Petrol as Import Surge Disrupts Domestic Market
Dangote Refinery Threatens to Export Petrol as Import Surge Disrupts Domestic Market
The Dangote Petroleum Refinery has warned that it may increase petrol exports as rising imports create uncertainty over domestic demand, making production and inventory planning increasingly difficult. The company said imported Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) accounted for approximately 43 per cent of fuel supplied into the Nigerian market in July, despite its capacity to meet and exceed domestic requirements. The refinery said the continued issuance of petroleum product import licences had created uncertainty in demand planning and inventory management, forcing it to reconsider how much petrol it should keep in stock for the domestic market. According to the company, it has consistently maintained sufficient inventory and reserved product volumes to guarantee steady supply since commencing operations, requiring significant investments in storage, logistics and working capital.
The company said the lack of transparency over the volume of imported petrol expected into the country was making it difficult to plan production and inventory efficiently. “As a responsible energy provider, we have always endeavoured to keep adequate reserves to satisfy local demand at all times. However, in an environment where significant volumes of imported PMS continue to enter the market through licences issued by the regulator, and where there is limited visibility on future import volumes, it becomes commercially unsustainable to continue holding excess inventory indefinitely,” the refinery said in a statement. The refinery explained that maintaining large stock positions without clear visibility into import volumes imposes substantial carrying costs and ultimately undermines efficient market operations.
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The refinery said surplus products that were not immediately absorbed by the domestic market would have to be exported to regional and international markets. It stressed that the development should not be interpreted as a withdrawal from the Nigerian market, insisting that it remained committed to ensuring adequate fuel supply across the country. “Consequently, DPRP’s export volumes have increased in recent months, not because local demand cannot be met, but because excess inventory generated by market uncertainty must be evacuated to avoid unnecessary storage and financing costs,” it emphasised. The company said exports had become necessary to avoid unnecessary storage and financing costs associated with holding excess petrol stocks. It mentioned that it remained ready and able to meet and surpass Nigeria’s petroleum product requirements, while continuing to invest in reliable supply.
Official data from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) shows how quickly Nigeria’s petrol supply balance has shifted. In May, imported petrol averaged just 5.9 million litres per day, accounting for about 12 per cent of total supply, while domestic sources provided 41.5 million litres per day. The balance shifted dramatically in June. Imports jumped to 18.1 million litres per day—an increase of more than 200 per cent from May—while domestic supply dropped to 32.5 million litres per day. By July, imports had risen further to 19.7 million litres per day as domestic supply declined again to 25.8 million litres per day. The shift marked a reversal from earlier in the year when Nigeria appeared to be moving rapidly towards eliminating petrol imports. Regulators stopped issuing petrol import licences in February after determining that domestic production was sufficient to meet demand.
The dispute over import licences has escalated into legal action. The Dangote Petroleum Refinery has filed a lawsuit against the Federal Government at the Federal High Court in Lagos, challenging the issuance and renewal of fuel import licences by the NMDPRA. The refinery argues that such approvals violate provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), which permits imports only when domestic production is insufficient. It also claims the licences breach an earlier court order directing parties to maintain the status quo. The licences were granted to six marketers—including NIPCO, AA Rano, Matrix, Shafa, Pinnacle, and Bono—covering the importation of between 600,000 and 720,000 metric tonnes of petrol. The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC) has dismissed Dangote’s assertions, claiming that under the PIA, regulators have the discretion to issue import licences to ensure supply security. It has further accused the refinery of attempting to monopolise the market.
The dispute comes at a particularly significant moment for Nigeria’s petroleum industry. Just days before Dangote’s latest statement, the US Energy Information Administration said Nigeria’s seaborne petroleum product exports had increased more than sevenfold since 2023, driven largely by production from the Dangote refinery. Nigeria exported an average of 350,000 barrels of petroleum products per day during the second quarter of 2026, compared with just 46,000 barrels per day in 2023. At the same time, Nigeria’s seaborne petroleum product imports have fallen substantially from nearly 400,000 barrels per day in 2023 to less than 130,000 barrels per day in the second quarter of this year. The refinery, with a nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, is expected to play a central role in Nigeria’s energy security and foreign exchange earnings as global fuel trade patterns shift amid geopolitical tensions.
The refinery called for greater transparency, improved market coordination, and policies that support local refining, enhance energy security, conserve foreign exchange, and maximise the economic benefits of Nigeria’s investments in domestic refining capacity. It also warned that any future supply shortfalls resulting from market distortions caused by excessive imports and the inability of local refiners to accurately forecast demand should not be blamed on Dangote Refinery.
Dangote Refinery Threatens to Export Petrol as Import Surge Disrupts Domestic Market
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Business
NNPC Petrol Discount: Motorists Must Download App to Save ₦66 Per Litre
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC) has made access to its ₦66-per-litre petrol discount conditional on customers downloading its mobile application and paying digitally, meaning motorists who pay directly at the pump may have to pay the higher displayed price.
Checks at NNPC retail outlets in Abuja showed that petrol was selling for ₦1,405 per litre for customers paying directly at the pump, while motorists using the company’s mobile application paid ₦1,339 per litre, according to a report by Saturday PUNCH published on October 10, 2026.
The difference of ₦66 per litre means motorists must complete the required digital payment process to benefit from the discount. The price reduction is not automatically applied to customers paying directly at the pump.
A fuel attendant at the NNPC mega station along Obasanjo Way in Abuja reportedly confirmed that customers had to download the application and pay through it to qualify for the lower price. Similar arrangements were observed at other NNPC outlets in the Federal Capital Territory.
The payment condition has raised questions about access to the relief initiative, particularly for motorists who prefer cash transactions or do not have smartphones, reliable internet access or experience using mobile payment applications.
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NNPC introduced the petrol discount on October 1, 2026, as part of activities marking Nigeria’s 66th Independence Anniversary. The company subsequently announced that the offer would continue until October 31, 2026, at its retail stations nationwide.
The company said the initiative was intended to provide temporary relief to households and businesses facing rising fuel costs amid increases in global crude oil prices linked to tensions and conflict in the Middle East.
The Federal Government also announced a 30-day relief measure under which NNPC Retail would forgo its retail profit margin and sell petrol at cost. Finance Minister and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, said the intervention was designed to cushion the impact of rising fuel prices on Nigerians, particularly vulnerable households and commercial transport operators.
NNPC has maintained that the discount is a temporary relief measure and does not represent a return to the petrol subsidy regime.
However, requiring motorists to use a mobile application to access the price reduction means that customers’ ability to benefit depends on their access to and use of the approved digital payment channel.
For commercial drivers and other frequent petrol buyers, the difference could add up over time. A motorist purchasing 20 litres, for example, would save ₦1,320 at the discounted rate compared with the higher price reported at the Abuja outlets.
The discount also carries a financial cost for NNPC. According to Saturday PUNCH, the company could forgo an estimated ₦4.62 billion in gross revenue if its average monthly petrol sales qualified for the reduction.
The observed prices in Abuja do not necessarily represent the pump price at every NNPC station nationwide, as retail prices may vary by location and prevailing supply conditions.
Motorists intending to benefit from the offer before its scheduled end on October 31 should confirm the payment requirements at participating NNPC stations and ensure they are using the company’s approved application.
The initiative comes as Nigerians continue to face pressure from petrol prices and the resulting effects on transport fares, food distribution, household expenses and business operating costs.
NNPC Petrol Discount: Motorists Must Download App to Save ₦66 Per Litre
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Business
Fitch Gives Tinubu Fresh Economic Boost as Nigeria’s Outlook Turns Positive
Fitch Ratings has revised Nigeria’s economic outlook from stable to positive, citing improvements in foreign exchange reserves, monetary policy, exchange rate reforms and moderating inflation under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
The international credit rating agency announced the decision on Friday, October 9, 2026, while affirming Nigeria’s long-term issuer default ratings at ‘B’. The revised outlook signals the possibility of a future credit rating upgrade if the country sustains its economic reforms and strengthens its financial position.
The Federal Government disclosed the development on Saturday through the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, who described the assessment as an endorsement of the administration’s economic reform programme.
Fitch’s decision reflects growing confidence in Nigeria’s macroeconomic policy framework and external financial position. The agency also expressed confidence that the government would maintain its reform momentum despite the approach of the 2027 general elections.
One of the key factors behind the positive outlook is the significant improvement in Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves, which reportedly reached $54.9 billion as of September 25, 2026, compared with approximately $32 billion in mid-April 2024.
Fitch attributed the increase to stronger activity in the formal foreign exchange market, portfolio investment inflows, higher export receipts and remittances from Nigerians living abroad.
The agency projected that Nigeria’s current account surplus would reach 6.4 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2026. It also expects foreign exchange reserves to cover approximately 6.3 months of current external payments by the end of the year, providing a stronger buffer against external economic shocks.
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Nigeria’s economic growth prospects also informed the revised outlook. Fitch forecast that the country’s real GDP would expand by 4.3 per cent in 2026, up from 4.0 per cent in 2025, with growth expected to remain above four per cent in 2027 and 2028.
The agency expects non-oil activities to remain a major driver of economic expansion, reflecting the importance of sectors beyond crude oil to Nigeria’s long-term economic prospects.
On inflation, Fitch projected average annual inflation of 15.4 per cent in 2026, significantly below the levels recorded in 2024. It attributed the expected moderation partly to greater stability in the naira and the effects of restrictive monetary policy.
However, the agency cautioned that inflation would remain high compared with countries with similar credit ratings, meaning that the cost of living and pressure on household budgets would continue to pose challenges.
Developments in the oil sector also contributed to the improved assessment. Fitch reported that crude oil production, excluding condensates, increased by 10 per cent quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter of 2026, while output reportedly met Nigeria’s OPEC target of 1.5 million barrels per day from May.
The expansion of domestic refining capacity, particularly the ramp-up of the Dangote refinery and the rehabilitation of other facilities, has also helped reduce reliance on imported refined petroleum products and associated foreign exchange demand.
The Federal Government attributed the improved outlook to major policy decisions introduced under Tinubu, including the removal of the petrol subsidy, foreign exchange market reforms and changes to the tax system.
Oyedele said the administration would continue implementing the reforms to reduce Nigeria’s cost of borrowing, attract private investment and encourage job creation.
The government also pledged to sustain a transparent, market-reflective foreign exchange regime, improve tax administration, strengthen debt management and increase non-oil revenue.
Despite the positive assessment, Fitch identified several risks that could limit Nigeria’s economic progress. These include weak governance indicators, dependence on hydrocarbons, persistent inflation, security challenges and low government revenue relative to the size of the economy.
The agency also projected that Nigeria’s general government fiscal deficit would widen to 3.6 per cent of GDP in 2026 amid spending pressures. Although tax reforms could improve revenue collection, implementation challenges may limit the gains.
Fitch forecast that general government debt would average 32 per cent of GDP between 2026 and 2028, below the 56 per cent median for countries in the ‘B’ rating category.
The positive outlook does not amount to an immediate upgrade of Nigeria’s credit rating. Rather, it indicates that Fitch could raise the rating in the future if economic reforms continue, macroeconomic stability improves and fiscal pressures ease.
The latest assessment follows other positive developments in Nigeria’s credit standing in 2026. S&P Global Ratings upgraded Nigeria’s rating from ‘B-’ to ‘B’ in May, while Moody’s Ratings revised its outlook on the country to positive in August, according to the Federal Government.
For the Tinubu administration, the latest Fitch decision provides an important boost to its economic reform agenda. However, the ultimate test will be whether improvements in economic indicators translate into tangible benefits for Nigerians through lower inflation, stronger purchasing power, increased employment and sustainable business growth.
Fitch Gives Tinubu Fresh Economic Boost as Nigeria’s Outlook Turns Positive
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Auto
Electric Mobility: Spiro Unveils Expansion Plan, Names Nigeria New MD
Electric Mobility: Spiro Unveils Expansion Plan, Names Nigeria New MD
Spiro, Africa’s leading electric mobility company, is stepping up plans to expand its footprint in Nigeria, strengthen its battery-swapping infrastructure and deepen partnerships to make electric motorcycles more accessible and affordable to riders.
The company unveiled the growth strategy at the second edition of its Media Connect event in Lagos, where it formally introduced its new Country Head and Managing Director, Mr Prasad Sane, who will lead its operations and expansion drive in the country.
Sane said Spiro would consolidate its presence in Lagos, Ogun and Oyo states while exploring opportunities to extend its operations to additional markets, as it seeks to accelerate Nigeria’s transition to cleaner and more sustainable transportation.
The event brought together journalists covering business, technology, mobility and sustainability to discuss the company’s progress, infrastructure development and long-term ambitions for Nigeria’s electric mobility market.
Addressing the gathering, Sane said the company was moving beyond the deployment of electric motorcycles to building an integrated mobility ecosystem designed to improve riders’ earnings, reduce operating costs and create economic opportunities.
“Today is about progress, partnership and purpose. A year ago, we shared our vision for electric mobility in Nigeria. Today, we are demonstrating tangible results and a clear path forward,” he said.
He added that his mandate was to make Spiro one of the most trusted, affordable and accessible electric mobility solutions for Nigerians, beginning with its existing focus markets.
“My mandate is simple: to make Spiro the most trusted, affordable and accessible electric mobility solution for Nigerians, beginning with Lagos, Ogun and Oyo states.
“We are moving beyond electric bikes to build a complete ecosystem centred on our promise of ‘Energy on the Move’,” Sane stated.
A major pillar of the company’s strategy is its battery-swapping technology, which allows riders to exchange depleted batteries for fully charged ones in under a minute, reducing downtime and eliminating the need to wait for conventional recharging.
According to Sane, the model offers riders an alternative to rising fuel and maintenance costs while supporting efforts to reduce carbon emissions and improve the economics of commercial motorcycle operations.
“Electric mobility is no longer the future. It is the present, and Nigeria is poised to lead the transition,” he said.
Under its expansion plan, Spiro intends to accelerate the deployment of battery-swapping stations and service centres across Lagos, Ogun and Oyo states to improve accessibility, operational efficiency and customer support.
The company also plans to extend its geographical reach beyond the three states, bringing its electric motorcycles and related services to more Nigerian markets.
Another priority is strengthening partnerships with financial institutions, logistics companies and rider communities to improve access to electric motorcycles and its Battery-as-a-Service solutions.
The approach is expected to support wider adoption by riders who may face financial barriers to acquiring electric motorcycles outright, while helping businesses explore cleaner and potentially more cost-effective transportation options.
Spiro also plans to scale up local assembly operations, technical training and after-sales support, with a focus on creating employment opportunities, particularly for young Nigerians and women.
The company said the measures would help strengthen its operational capacity while developing local skills and supporting the growth of Nigeria’s electric mobility ecosystem.
The Media Connect event featured live product demonstrations and operational showcases, alongside the unveiling of the Spiro Ekon M1 Version 3, highlighting the company’s efforts to develop its electric motorcycle offerings for the Nigerian market.
Spiro, which received the West Africa Sustainable Award (WASA), is positioning its expansion around electric motorcycles and battery-swapping infrastructure as it seeks to contribute to the growth of sustainable mobility across Nigeria.

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