IMF advises Nigeria to probe NNPC, fuel subsidy – Newstrends
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IMF advises Nigeria to probe NNPC, fuel subsidy

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has called for a probe of Nigerian National Petroleum Company’s details on fuel subsidy and its financial remittance to the federation.

It expressed concern over the volume of fuel consumption and tax write-offs by the NNPC.

IMF made the statement after it concluded its annual mission in Nigeria.

It stated, “Public finance is under stress with elevated fiscal deficits, high debt servicing costs and public debt projected to increase over the medium term.

“It leaves little fiscal room for vital social spending on education and health, where Nigeria fares poorly compared to peer countries in sub-Saharan Africa.

“Despite higher non-oil revenues relative to 2021, the General Government (GG) fiscal deficit is projected to widen to 6.2 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2022, mainly due to fuel subsidy costs. Without bolder revenue mobilization efforts, costly fuel subsidies and rising debt servicing costs will keep overall fiscal deficits above six per cent of GDP in the medium term raising public debt to about 43 per cent of GDP by 2027.”

It recommended strengthening of agriculture, saying in 10 years, about 25 million more jobs would be needed to employ the new labour market entrants.

The IMF also said it was worried about elevated inflation, fuel subsidies and foreign exchange crisis.

It said with the recent flooding, high fertiliser prices and other issues could become more entrenched impacting negatively both agricultural production and food prices in 2023.

Volatility in the parallel forex market and continued dependence on the CBN financing of the budget deficit could exacerbate price pressures, the IMF stated.

As an urgent step, the international body urged revenue mobilization and fuel subsidy reforms, and two other reforms to create fiscal savings of close to 6 percentage points of GDP during 2023-27 while also making room for higher social spending.

IMF urged Nigeria to remove fuel subsidy and address oil theft as the subsidy benefited the rich.

“As a near-term priority, the mission highlighted the urgent need to remove fuel subsidy fully and permanently, which disproportionately benefit the well-off, by mid-2023 as planned.”

“The government should also prioritise addressing oil thefts and governance issues in the oil sector to restore production to pre-pandemic levels.

“Nigeria must also step up tax administration reforms by automating tax, expand coverage, modernise customs operations and improve effectiveness of the State Internal Revenue Service’s administration of the Pay-As-You-Earn (PAYE) system, and strengthen inter-agency coordination and data sharing.”

IMF said Nigeria must adjust tax rates “to levels comparable to the average in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) as compliance improves. This includes further increasing the Value Added Tax (VAT) rate to 15 per cent by 2027 in steps while stop various VAT exemptions. Nigeria should also increase excise rates on alcoholic and tobacco products while broadening the base and cutting waivers.”

IMF also advised Nigeria to increase well-targeted social assistance which will reduce food insecurity and cushion the impact of high inflation and fuel subsidy removal on the poor.

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Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

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Sanusi Garba, Chairman, Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC)

Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

The Federal Government has said the reversal of the current increment in electricity tarrif will put more financial pressure on it.

The government said it would need about N3.2 trillion to subsidise and shoulder the cost of electricity this year should the recent hike be canceled.

Sanusi Garba, the chairman, Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), made this known at a stakeholders’ meeting organised by the House of Representatives committee on power in Abuja on Thursday.

He said that the current investments in the power sector were not enough to guarantee a stable electricity supply nationwide.

He added that if nothing was done to tackle foreign exchange instability and non-payment for gas, the sector would collapse.

Garba disclosed that prior to the tariff review, Electricity Distribution Companies (DisCos) were only obligated to pay 10 per cent of their energy invoices, adding that lack of cash backing for subsidy had created liquidity challenges for the sector.

He added that the inability of the government to pay subsidy led to continuous decline in gas supply and power generation.

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He said that the continued decline in the generation and system collapse were largely linked to liquidity challenges.

He said from January 2020 to 2023, the tariff was increased from 55 per cent to 94 per cent of cost recovery.

He added that “the unification of FX and current inflationary pressures were pushing cost reflective tariff to N184/kWh”

“If sitting back and doing nothing is the way to go, it will mean that the National Assembly and the Executive would have to provide about N3.2 trillion to pay for subsidy in 2024,” he said.

Mr Garba said that only N185 billion out of the N645 billion subsidy in 2023 was cash-backed, leaving a funding gap of N459.5 billion.

The vice-chairman of NERC, Musiliu Oseni, also justified the recent tariff increase, saying the increment was needed to save the sector from total collapse.

Rep. Victor Nwokolo, the chairman of the committee, said the goal of the meeting was to address the increase in tariff and the issue of band A and others.

Mr Nwokolo said the officials of NERC and DISCOS had provided useful Information to the committee.

“We have not concluded with them because the Transmission Company of Nigeria is not here and the Generation Companies too.

“From what they have said which is true, is that without the change in tarrif, which was due since 2022, the industry lacks the capital to bring the needed change.

“Of course, the population explosion in Nigeria, is beyond what they have estimated in the past and because they need to expand their own network, they also needed more money, ” he said

Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

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Naira loses N81 to dollar in one day

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Naira loses N81 to dollar in one day

The naira lost N81.34 against the US dollar at the foreign exchange market on Thursday

FMDQ data showed that the naira fell to N1,154.08 per dollar on Thursday from N1,072.74 on Wednesday.

This represents a 7.04 per cent loss against the dollar compared to N1,072.74 per dollar traded the previous day.

At the parallel market, the naira also depreciated N1,100 per dollar on Thursday from N1, 040 on Wednesday.

This is the second time the naira would be depreciating against the dollar in three days amid fears of depleting foreign exchange reserves.

Nigeria’s foreign reserves dropped to $32.29 billion as of April 15.

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Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

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Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

The CEO of Rainoil Limited, Gabriel Ogbechie, has claimed that the federal government resumed the payment of the controversial fuel subsidy following the devaluation of the Naira in the foreign exchange market.

Ogbechie made this statement on Tuesday during the Stanbic IBTC Energy and Infrastructure Breakfast Session held in Lagos.

He pointed out that with Nigeria’s daily fuel usage at 40 million liters and the foreign exchange rate at N1,300, the government’s subsidy per liter of fuel falls between N400 and N500, culminating in a monthly total of approximately N600 billion.

He said; “When Mr. President came in May last year, one of the things he said was that Subsidy is gone. And  truly, the subsidy was gone, because immediately the price of fuel moved from 200 to 500 per liter. At that point truly, subsidy was gone.

“During that period, Dollar was exchanging for N460, but a few weeks later, the government devalued the exchange rate. And Dollar moved to about N750. At that point, subsidy was beginning to come back.

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“The moment the two markets officially closed, officially the market went to about N1,300. At that point, that conversation was out of the window. Subsidy was fully back on petrol. If you want to know where petrol should be, just look at where diesel is. Diesel is about N1,300 and petrol is still selling for N600.

Furthermore, he said that NNPC being the only petrol importer in the country implies that there is an ongoing subsidy, as prices had to be fixed.

Earlier yesterday, the former governor of Kaduna State, Nasir El Rufai, said the federal government is spending more on petrol subsidy than before.

In addition, the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, Mrs. Olu Veŕheijen, said that the Federal Government reserves the right to pay fuel subsidy intermittently to cushion hardship in the country.

“The subsidy was removed on May 29. However, the government has the prerogative to maintain price stability to address social unrest. They reserve the right to intervene.

“If the government feels that it cannot continue to allow prices to fluctuate due to high inflation and exchange rates, the government reserves the right to intervene intermittently and that does not negate the fact that subsidy has been removed,” she said.

Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

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