Business
Naira hits new low at N820/$, as forex supply gap persists
Naira hits new low at N820/$, as forex supply gap persists
At the backdrop of sustained supply gap in Nigeria’s foreign exchange (forex) market, the local currency, Naira, has hit a new low at the weekend, trading N803.9 to a dollar in the Investors & Exporters (I&E) window which is the official forex market and N822/$ in the parallel market.
Financial Vanguard’s findings indicated a 6.6 per cent decline in volume of dollars traded in the I&E window as dealers said they were disappointed that the increase in supply they expected last week did not materialize.
A week-on-week trend in the parallel market shows a 5.5 percent depreciation to N822/$ as against N779/$ closing rate previous week.
In the I&E window, the local currency depreciated 3.9 percent W-o-W to N803.9/$ from N776.9/$ the previous Friday.
Financial Vanguard currency monitor shows that after the initial massive depreciation on June 14th, 2023 when the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, introduced reforms in the market, exchange rate had remained volatile with daily fluctuations until the record low was hit last weekend.
The reform majorly eliminated multiple exchange rates and reintroduced the ‘Willing Buyer Willing Seller’ market model in the I&E window.
Since the new measures were introduced, the Naira has depreciated cumulatively in the I&E window and parallel market by 70 per cent (N321.23) and 7.0 per cent (N58) respectively.
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Meanwhile last week’s closing rate also indicated that the parallel market margin that narrowed to almost elimination following the new policy has started widening.
While the measures announced by CBN was aimed at increasing transparency and boosting confidence in order to attract increased forex supply, forex market operators who spoke to Financial Vanguard said the expected increase in supply is yet to materialize, adding that this, coupled with rising demand, and hoarding, are the factors driving the renewed depreciation of the naira in both segments of the forex market.
Speaking to Financial Vanguard, Mr. Ahmed Danjuma, a parallel market operator in Lagos Island, said: “I bought a dollar for N810 and sold for N819 and N820.
“People are demanding for the dollar. It is not easy to get dollars from the bank because it is very scarce.
“When you have access to dollars the way buyers demand for the currency is like when you take food to the prison.
“The supply is very low. Even Bureau De Changes have little access to the foreign currency.”
Similarly, Mr. Umoru Mohammed, a parallel market operator at Ikotun area of Lagos, said: “Dollar was very scarce today (last Friday) as we could hardly have access to it even from the banks.
“Every day the demand for dollars increases but the supply is very little. This is really hindering business especially for transactions requiring dollars.”
President, Association of Bureaux De Change Operators of Nigeria, ABCON, Aminu Gwadabe, in a chat with Financial Vanguard on the situation, stated: “The situation is tough, it even traded at N822 in some segments today (last Friday).
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“You know now the restrictions have been removed, there is also competition and surge in demand. Most people are still holding assets in dollars, and we have not seen significant inflows even from the side of the investors.”
Turnover, external reserves fall
Reflecting the paucity of forex supply amidst rising demand, the volume of dollars traded (turnover) in the I&E window fell by 6.6 per cent or $57.06 million to $807.92 million in the first half of July, from $864.98 million in the corresponding period in June.
Following the same trend, the nation’s external reserves fell by $646 million or 1.9% in one month ending July 13th. Data from the CBN showed that the reserves fell to $34.047 billion on July 13th, from $34.693 billion on June 13th.
Analysts’ insight
To reverse this trend and achieve the expected increased forex inflow, analysts said the CBN must introduce further reforms including removing forex restriction on 43 items and incorporating BDCs into the I&E window as well as clearing the forex demand backlog.
In this regard, Managing Director/CEO Financial Derivatives Company, Mr. Bismarck Rewane, in his Monthly Economic News and Views, said: “In the short term the CBN must tighten monetary conditions, eliminate forex restrictions (Ban on 43 items on the I & E window) and move effective interest rates towards the rate of inflation.”
The above, he added,
”must be complemented in the long term with export-oriented policies, elimination of structural bottlenecks that constrain production and export activities”
In the same vein, analysts at Lagos based CardinalStone Research, in their outlook for H2’23, said: “While the current policy reforms bode well for foreign providers of capital, additional investments into the country will also be partly dependent on the following: 1) the willingness of the CBN to clear existing backlogs, which is estimated at $2.5 – $3.0 billion; 2) the FX market reflects a genuine “willing buyers and willing sellers” structure and supply begins to improve notably. If the 2 highlighted points are achieved, we see legroom for a surge in foreign inflows from the multi-year lows of $5.3 billion in 2022 to about $12 billion over the next one year.”
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On this Gwadabe averred that the CBN must increase participation in the official market to include BDC who can play the moderating role needed to stabilise the market.
“The trend will continue except if there is a turnaround, and there are changes in the I&E to bring in more players like BDCs to enhance competition. Once you have competition there will be stability, there will be availability
“They need to wear their thinking cap, because it is like the CBN is not in control of the market, it is the FMDQ. “We are still appealing to the CBN to include BDCs in order to increase liquidity, transparency, and ensure we stop the volatility in the market competition.”
Corroborating this position, a former top management staff of the CBN, who spoke on condition of anonymity said: “We must find a way out to stabilise the exchange rate and still keep the third leg (BDC) as part of the moderator of the market.
“We must eliminate abuses, corrupt practices and police the market for sustainability. We also need to restructure the BDC to trade in the market and not by allocation to moderate the rates.”
According to analysts at Cowry Assets Management Limited, “The Naira hit a new low in 2023 in the face of pressure demand for the dollar across various forex segments as forex demand and supply mismatch continue to play as an underlying driver with more backlog of unmet forex demand.”
Naira hits new low at N820/$, as forex supply gap persists
Business
MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service
MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service
MTN Nigeria Communications PLC has temporarily suspended its airtime and data credit service, Xtratime, following new regulatory requirements governing digital consumer lending services in Nigeria.
The company disclosed the development in a corporate filing to the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) on Thursday, stating that the suspension was necessary to comply with the 2025 Digital, Electronic, Online and Non-Traditional Consumer Lending Regulations issued by the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC).
According to MTN, the Xtratime service—which allows prepaid subscribers to borrow airtime or data and repay on their next recharge—falls under the expanded scope of the new regulatory framework and now requires additional compliance and licensing processes before it can resume.
In the regulatory notice signed by Company Secretary Uto Ukpanah, MTN said:
“MTN Nigeria Communications PLC hereby notifies the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the investing public that the company has temporarily suspended its airtime and data credit advance service (‘Xtratime’).”
The telecom operator added that the suspension is tied to ongoing implementation of the FCCPC’s updated rules, which introduce stricter compliance, registration, and licensing obligations for all providers of digital or non-traditional credit services.
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MTN stressed that despite the suspension, customers can still purchase airtime and data through other available channels, including banking platforms, USSD services, and mobile apps, assuring that the decision is not expected to significantly affect earnings.
“Given the scale within the revenue mix, we do not expect the temporary suspension to have a material impact,” the company said, adding that updates would be provided in its Q1 2026 financial report.
The development highlights the widening reach of Nigeria’s consumer credit regulations, which now extend beyond banks and fintech loan apps to include telecommunications companies offering airtime advances.
The FCCPC had earlier introduced a framework for digital lending in 2022 but strengthened enforcement with the 2025 regulations, requiring all operators in the sector to register and obtain approval before continuing operations.
Under the new rules, companies offering short-term digital credit services must meet stricter standards on consumer protection, transparency, data governance, and ethical debt recovery practices. The commission has reportedly set an April 2026 deadline for full compliance by existing operators.
Industry analysts say the move reflects a broader effort by regulators to bring order to Nigeria’s fast-growing digital credit ecosystem, where airtime loans have become a key financial support tool for millions of low-income mobile users.
For now, MTN has not announced a timeline for restoring the Xtratime service, stating only that it will resume once full regulatory compliance is achieved.
MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service
Business
Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking
Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking
Nigerian business magnate Aliko Dangote has been named among the TIME100 Most Influential People in the World for 2026, as TIME Magazine released its latest list recognising individuals shaping global politics, business, technology, and culture.
Dangote, Africa’s richest man and founder of the Dangote Group, is the only Nigerian featured in the 2026 edition. He appears in the Titans category, recognised for his decades-long push to industrialise Africa through investments in cement, sugar, fertiliser, and the landmark Dangote Refinery—one of the largest single-train refineries in the world.
This marks Dangote’s second appearance on the TIME100 list, following his first inclusion in 2014, further cementing his status as one of Africa’s most globally recognised industrialists.
A key highlight of this year’s recognition is the tribute written by fellow Nigerian billionaire Tony Elumelu, who praised Dangote’s entrepreneurial journey and continental impact. Elumelu described him as “indefatigable, resilient, and foresighted,” and lauded him as “one of the greatest African entrepreneurs of our time.”
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He added that Dangote’s work demonstrates that Africans can create large-scale value “with our own resources, on our continent,” reinforcing the philosophy of economic self-reliance that has shaped both businessmen’s careers.
Interestingly, the gesture reflects a role reversal from previous years, as Dangote once wrote Elumelu’s TIME100 tribute when the UBA chairman appeared on the list in 2020.
The 2026 TIME100 list, now in its 23rd edition, features global figures across multiple categories, including Titans, Leaders, Innovators, Icons, Artists, and Pioneers. High-profile names this year include U.S. President Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and major technology leaders such as Google CEO Sundar Pichai and YouTube CEO Neal Mohan.
Other political figures featured include Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, alongside global leaders in health, finance, and multilateral institutions.
Analysts say Dangote’s inclusion carries strong symbolic significance for Africa, particularly at a time of economic restructuring and renewed calls for industrialisation and self-sufficiency across the continent. His multi-billion-dollar refinery project, in particular, is seen as a strategic asset aimed at reducing Nigeria’s reliance on imported refined petroleum products, boosting local production, and creating thousands of jobs.
The recognition also reinforces Dangote’s global reputation as a leading figure in African entrepreneurship, with his business empire spanning critical sectors of the economy and influencing industrial policy conversations across the region.
The TIME100 announcement precedes the annual TIME100 Summit scheduled for April 22 in New York, where selected honourees are expected to participate in discussions on global leadership and innovation.
The full list and tributes are available via TIME Magazine’s official platforms.
Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking
Business
Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria
Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria
Energy experts have strongly criticised recent recommendations attributed to the World Bank urging Nigeria to deepen fuel importation and further liberalise its downstream petroleum sector, warning that the proposal is economically risky, poorly timed, and inconsistent with Nigeria’s petroleum law.
The criticism comes amid growing debate over the findings of the World Bank’s latest Nigeria Development Update, which some stakeholders say suggests a return to higher fuel import dependence as part of broader market reforms aimed at stabilising prices and improving efficiency.
However, energy economist Prof. Ken Ife faulted the recommendation, arguing that it contradicts Nigeria’s long-term goal of energy self-sufficiency and undermines ongoing investments in domestic refining capacity.
“You cannot advise a country struggling to achieve economic self-reliance to return to fuel importation,” Ife said, warning that such a policy shift would reverse gains made under the Petroleum Industry framework.
He stressed that the proposal runs counter to the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act, particularly the Domestic Crude Supply Obligation, which prioritises crude allocation to local refineries to support domestic production.
According to him, abandoning this structure would weaken Nigeria’s refining ambitions, increase exposure to global oil shocks, and worsen pressure on foreign exchange reserves.
“We are building capacity that could exceed domestic demand. Reversing course now would discourage investors and destabilise the downstream sector,” he added.
Ife further questioned the empirical basis of the recommendation, describing it as inconsistent with the broader analytical strength of the World Bank report.
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Other energy analysts echoed similar concerns, arguing that Nigeria is already at a critical stage of expanding domestic refining, including private-sector-led investments that are expected to reduce dependence on imported petrol in the coming years.
Energy analyst Kelvin Emmanuel also criticised the proposal, insisting that it is disconnected from current global pricing realities and supply chain risks.
He argued that landing imported petrol in Nigeria is already significantly expensive when freight, insurance, and exchange rate factors are considered, making large-scale import reliance economically unsustainable.
Emmanuel further noted that rising crude oil prices—driven partly by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—have pushed global energy markets into volatility, reinforcing the need for domestic refining resilience rather than import dependence.
He also disputed claims that imported fuel could be cheaper than locally refined products, arguing that such assumptions ignore structural cost realities in the global supply chain.
On inflation and fuel pricing, Emmanuel maintained that Nigeria’s challenges are linked more to policy implementation gaps than production shortages, particularly in crude allocation to local refineries as outlined in the Petroleum Industry Act.
“If domestic supply obligations are properly enforced, price stability will improve and market volatility will reduce,” he said.
He also criticised proposals suggesting that Nigeria should expand social safety nets through borrowing, arguing that such measures could worsen fiscal pressure and contradict responsible debt management principles.
While acknowledging that social protection is important, he insisted that funding should prioritise grants or targeted revenue sources rather than additional debt obligations.
The debate highlights growing tension between international policy advice and Nigeria’s domestic energy strategy at a time when the country is attempting to stabilise fuel supply, reduce import dependence, and strengthen local refining capacity.
Industry observers say the outcome of this policy direction could significantly shape Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector, foreign exchange stability, and long-term energy security.
Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria
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