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Strait of Hormuz Crisis Threatens Nigeria’s Food Inflation Progress as Oil Prices Surge

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Foodstuffs

Strait of Hormuz Crisis Threatens Nigeria’s Food Inflation Progress as Oil Prices Surge

Escalating military tensions between the United States, Israel and Iran — particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints — are threatening to reverse Nigeria’s recent gains in easing food inflation and stabilising the cost of living. (Reuters)

The Strait of Hormuz links the Persian Gulf to the Arabian Sea and normally handles around 20 per cent of global crude oil and natural gas shipments. Recent disruptions — including the effective closure of the waterway and attacks on vessels and nearby oil infrastructure — have disrupted oil flows, sending crude prices sharply higher and amplifying global supply risks. (Reuters)

These disruptions have reached global markets: Brent crude prices have climbed above $90 per barrel and are showing signs of further increases, with some analysts warning they could top $100 or more if the conflict persists. (The Guardian)

Nigeria’s Hard‑Won Inflation Gains Under Pressure

Just weeks earlier, Nigeria was showing signs of relief from price pressures. According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), headline inflation eased slightly to 15.10 per cent year‑on‑year in January 2026, while food inflation slowed sharply to 8.89 per cent, a rare single‑digit reading representing a notable improvement for Nigerian households. (LinkedIn)

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However, the current tensions in the Middle East threaten to erode these gains quickly by pushing up overall production and distribution costs through higher energy and logistics prices.

Oil Price and Energy Market Shocks

The ongoing conflict has caused significant disruptions in global energy markets, prompting major producers to cut output and halting tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. According to experts, this disruption has already contributed to increased fuel and energy prices worldwide, with downstream effects on inflation and economic costs. (Reuters)

Higher global crude prices — while potentially boosting Nigeria’s oil export earnings and government revenue — have a paradoxical effect on the domestic economy. Because Nigeria still relies heavily on imported refined petroleum products, any surge in international crude prices tends to drive up local fuel costs, which in turn push transportation and food distribution costs upward, adding renewed pressure on inflation. (cedmagazineng.com)

Impact on Transport and Logistics Costs

The disruption of shipping through the Strait has led to rerouting around longer and more expensive routes such as via the Cape of Good Hope, dramatically increasing shipping times and freight costs for global trade. Analysts note that such shifts in transportation patterns can contribute to higher prices for imported goods and agricultural inputs, which feed into the cost of food production and distribution in Nigeria. (Apa.az)

Fertiliser and Agricultural Costs

The conflict has extended beyond energy markets to other global supply chains. For example, reports indicate that Iran has banned food and agricultural exports, which could disrupt supplies of key inputs like fertilisers. Nigeria imports significant volumes of fertiliser, and any spike in fertiliser prices could translate into higher agricultural input costs, potentially reducing crop yields and increasing food prices. (Businessday NG)

Domestic Fuel Prices Set to Rise

In response to higher global crude benchmarks, Nigerian fuel prices have already begun rising. Energy analysts warn that petrol prices could approach ₦1,100 per litre or more if Brent crude remains elevated, adding further cost pressures on households and businesses. (Independent Newspaper Nigeria)

Paradox of Oil Revenues and Consumer Costs

While higher oil prices may bolster government revenue — because Nigeria’s 2026 budget was benchmarked at a much lower crude price — the inflationary impact of rising fuel, transportation and production costs could outweigh revenue gains for ordinary citizens. Analysts stress that unless the government uses any additional revenue to build economic buffers — such as boosting domestic refining capacity and supporting local food production — inflation pressures could resurface strongly. (Independent Newspaper Nigeria)

Economic Risks and Policy Recommendations

Economists are calling on Nigerian policymakers to prepare for wider economic disruptions if the conflict around the Strait of Hormuz persists. Measures proposed include strengthening local agricultural production, reducing dependence on imported fuel, and building strategic food and energy reserves to cushion the domestic economy against global shocks. (Independent Newspaper Nigeria)

Without such interventions, the current geopolitical instability could undo the recent progress Nigeria has made in moderating inflation and improving economic stability.

Strait of Hormuz Crisis Threatens Nigeria’s Food Inflation Progress as Oil Prices Surge

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BREAKING : President Tinubu Seeks Fresh $516m Loan

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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu

BREAKING : President Tinubu Seeks Fresh $516m Loan

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has formally requested Senate approval for a $516,333,007 external loan to finance key sections of the ambitious Sokoto–Badagry Superhighway project, a flagship infrastructure initiative aimed at boosting national connectivity.

The request was conveyed in a letter addressed to Senate President Godswill Akpabio and read during Thursday’s plenary session.

According to the President, the proposed funding will support the execution of Section 1, Phase 1a and 1b, covering about 120 kilometres of the planned 1,000km highway corridor linking Nigeria’s Northwest to the Southwest.

Tinubu explained that the highway will originate from Illela in Sokoto State and pass through Kebbi, Niger, Kwara, Oyo, and Ogun states before terminating in Badagry, Lagos State—creating a strategic economic route connecting inland production zones to coastal trade hubs.

The financing arrangement, the President noted, is structured as a syndicated loan from Deutsche Bank, backed by a partial risk guarantee from the Islamic Corporation for the Insurance of Investment and Export Credit, an arm of the Islamic Development Bank Group.

He added that the Federal Government will provide counterpart funding of ₦265.54 billion to cover land acquisition, compensation, and other ancillary infrastructure tied to the project.

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Details of the loan show a nine-year tenor, including a grace period of up to three years, with an interest rate capped at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) SOFR plus 5.3 percent annually.

Tinubu informed lawmakers that the Federal Executive Council (FEC) has already approved the financing structure and urged the Senate to incorporate the loan into Nigeria’s rolling borrowing plan.

The President emphasized that the Sokoto–Badagry Superhighway is expected to significantly enhance North-South connectivity, improve road safety, and reduce logistics and transportation costs across the country. He added that the project would strengthen trade, boost food security, and promote national cohesion by linking agricultural production zones to markets and ports.

The design also includes provisions for future development, with the central median reserved for rail integration and utility corridors, positioning the route as a multi-modal transport backbone.

Following the presentation, Akpabio referred the request to the Senate Committee on Foreign and Local Debts for further legislative scrutiny, with a report expected within one week.

Speaking in support of the project, Senator Mohammed Adamu Aliero (Kebbi Central) described the highway as a long-awaited development, noting that it had been under consideration for over five decades.

Aliero said he had personally inspected ongoing work and expressed satisfaction with the progress, revealing that sections of the road are being constructed using both concrete and asphalt, alongside modern features such as solar-powered streetlights.

He projected that upon completion, travel time between Sokoto and Lagos could be reduced by more than 70 percent, cutting a typical 13-hour journey to about six hours.

The proposed loan forms part of the Tinubu administration’s broader strategy to leverage external financing for large-scale infrastructure projects considered critical to Nigeria’s economic growth and regional integration.

BREAKING : President Tinubu Seeks Fresh $516m Loan

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Lai Mohammed Rejects Christian Genocide Claims, Says Boko Haram Kills More Muslims

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former Minister of Information and Culture, Alhaji Lai Mohammed
Former Minister of Information and Culture, Lai Mohammed

Lai Mohammed Rejects Christian Genocide Claims, Says Boko Haram Kills More Muslims

Former Minister of Information and Culture, Lai Mohammed, has dismissed allegations of a Christian genocide in Nigeria, insisting that insurgent groups such as Boko Haram have killed more Muslims than Christians in their attacks across the country.

Mohammed made the remarks in the United Kingdom during a question-and-answer session with students of Abbey College, Cambridge, where he spoke on governance, insecurity, and youth participation in Nigeria’s political development.

Responding to questions on religious violence, Mohammed said suggestions that Christians are being systematically targeted in Nigeria were “false” and misleading. He argued that Nigeria’s security challenges are complex and should not be reduced to a single religious narrative. “There should be more understanding on the part of the developed world. People say there is religious persecution in Nigeria and genocide against Christians. It’s not true. It is fake news,” he said.

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The former minister explained that the terrorist group Boko Haram initially emerged as a radical movement opposing Western education, noting that its early victims were largely Muslims. He said the group originally targeted those it considered opposed to its ideology, adding that “at the beginning, the victims of Boko Haram were largely Muslims, not Christians.” According to him, the group’s name reflects its ideology, loosely meaning opposition to Western education.

Mohammed also addressed insecurity linked to banditry, describing it as a criminal enterprise rather than a religious conflict. He said many of the attackers and victims belong to the same ethnic and religious groups, particularly in northern Nigeria. “The bandits are Muslims, they are Hausa-Fulanis. Their victims are Muslims. So how can you say it is about religion? It has nothing to do with religion,” he said.

He further argued that Nigeria has a strong tradition of religious tolerance, stating that ordinary citizens are more concerned about economic survival than religious differences. “In Nigeria, the average Muslim and Christian only disagree over money, not theology,” he said, adding that interfaith marriages are common across the country.

Mohammed urged stronger communication efforts to challenge what he described as misleading international narratives about religious conflict in Nigeria.

Nigeria continues to battle insecurity involving Boko Haram, ISWAP insurgents, armed banditry, and communal clashes across several regions. While religious identity is sometimes present in these conflicts, analysts often describe the violence as multi-dimensional, driven by terrorism, poverty, and criminal networks.

The federal government has consistently denied claims of state-sponsored religious persecution, insisting that security forces are engaged in combating terrorism and protecting all citizens regardless of faith.

Lai Mohammed Rejects Christian Genocide Claims, Says Boko Haram Kills More Muslims

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Ted Cruz Accuses Nigerian Officials Over Alleged Attacks on Christians

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US Senator Ted Cruz
United States Senator Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz Accuses Nigerian Officials Over Alleged Attacks on Christians

United States Senator Ted Cruz has accused Nigerian government officials of being complicit in attacks against Christians in Nigeria, making the allegation during a Senate Foreign Relations Subcommittee hearing on U.S. counterterrorism strategy in Africa.

Cruz said Nigeria has recorded what he described as one of the highest numbers of Christian deaths globally, claiming that since 2009, more than 50,000 Christians have been killed and over 20,000 churches, schools, and religious facilities destroyed in attacks across the country. He alleged that “Nigerian officials had been complicit in facilitating these atrocities,” and linked part of the insecurity to the implementation of Sharia law in some northern states, while also criticising what he described as a slow government response to worsening insecurity.

The senator also revealed that he has introduced the Nigeria Religious Freedom Accountability Act of 2025, a proposed legislation designed to hold Nigerian officials accountable over alleged involvement in or failure to prevent attacks on Christians. Cruz said he had previously engaged Nigerian defence and security officials who assured him that the violence would be addressed, but argued that those commitments have not yet delivered results. “I told them I would judge their commitment by the results. Those results have yet to materialise,” he said.

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During the hearing, a senior official from the U.S. State Department’s Bureau of African Affairs, Nick Chèeker, responded by acknowledging ongoing cooperation between the United States and Nigeria on security matters. He noted improvements such as restructuring within Nigeria’s security agencies, increased troop recruitment, deployment of forest guards to vulnerable areas, and the establishment of a bilateral high-level working group following discussions between Nigeria’s National Security Adviser, Nuhu Ribadu, and U.S. officials.

The U.S. official also pointed to increased prosecution of suspected terrorists and continued American support for Nigerian security forces, while stressing that “more can be done” to improve security outcomes in the country.

The Nigerian federal government has not yet issued an official response to Cruz’s latest comments. However, former Information Minister, Lai Mohammed, has previously stated that more Muslims than Christians have been killed in violence linked to terrorist groups such as Boko Haram.

Nigeria continues to face complex security challenges involving Boko Haram, ISWAP insurgents, banditry, and communal conflicts affecting both Christians and Muslims, particularly in the North and Middle Belt regions. Analysts say the crisis is driven by multiple factors, including terrorism and criminality, rather than a single religious cause.

Ted Cruz Accuses Nigerian Officials Over Alleged Attacks on Christians

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