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Tinubu’s two weeks in office leave investors excited about Nigeria

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Tinubu’s two weeks in office leave investors excited about Nigeria

President Bola Tinubu has pulled the right levers for markets: ridding the country of a costly fuel subsidy, removing a controversial central bank governor, and promising to unify a web of varying exchange rates.
Already, foreign investors have embraced those decisions, sending Nigeria’s dollar debt surging on Monday. Tinubu set the tone in his inauguration speech on May 29, when he announced that the country’s gasoline subsidy was “gone” — a bold move that had set off riots when previous leaders attempted it.
“Overall, President Tinubu has shown that he’s willing to take on two of the most important factors investors are focusing on, which is fuel subsidies and FX reform, in a very short space of time,” said Thys Louw, a portfolio manager at Ninety One in London.
“Reform momentum in Nigeria has picked up considerably, although from a low level and sustaining this will be important given poor economic conditions Tinubu inherited.”
In two major moves, Tinubu suspended central bank Governor Godwin Emefiele on Friday, and on Monday a senior adviser said it would be a matter of months before he unified its exchange rates, a key demand of investors and multilateral institutions like the World Bank. Emefiele is widely considered the chief architect of a set of unorthodox policies — including propping up the naira, allowing a complex regime of multiple exchange rates, and lending tens of billions to the government of Tinubu’s predecessor — that have been blamed for crippling Africa’s largest economy.
Nigeria’s State Security Service detained Emefiele Saturday for “investigative reasons,” and Folashodun Shonubi, a deputy governor in charge of operations at the bank, took over in an acting capacity.
Nigeria’s international bonds due in 2029 jumped the most among emerging-market peers on Monday, a public holiday in Nigeria.

Those notes jumped as much as three cents before closing around 88 cents on the dollar, the highest since January, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The extra yield investors demand to hold the nation’s debt over US Treasuries fell 38 basis points to 7.19 perctange points, according to a JPMorgan index.
The changes at the central bank “could spell the end of unorthodox and often conflicting and confusing monetary policies that held back economic growth and destroyed local and foreign investor confidence,” Ayodeji Dawodu, head of Africa sovereign and corporate credit research at BancTrust & Co in London, said.
Under Emefiele, the CBN offered the US dollar through several windows at tightly controlled rates, with little liquidity, to businesses and individuals.

This forced many to the black market, where the dollar traded more freely but at about a 60% premium to the official rate.
Wale Edun, an influential member of Tinubu’s advisory board, told Bloomberg on the telephone on Monday that the unification of exchange rates was “imminent.”

“I would say it would have to be done within a quarter as rather than within a year,” he said. “ I think you’re talking, think quarters rather than years, that’s where I would put it.”
Emefiele was widely seen as acting in lockstep with the administration of Tinubu’s predecessor, Muhammadu Buhari. That government was perceived to be more statist and socialist in its approach, said Yemi Kale, chief economist for Nigeria at KPMG LLP and the nation’s former statistician general. “The markets will respond positively to an administration it believes to be more market oriented,” Kale said.

Source: Bloomberg

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MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service

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MTN Nigeria Communications PLC

MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service 

MTN Nigeria Communications PLC has temporarily suspended its airtime and data credit service, Xtratime, following new regulatory requirements governing digital consumer lending services in Nigeria.

The company disclosed the development in a corporate filing to the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) on Thursday, stating that the suspension was necessary to comply with the 2025 Digital, Electronic, Online and Non-Traditional Consumer Lending Regulations issued by the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC).

According to MTN, the Xtratime service—which allows prepaid subscribers to borrow airtime or data and repay on their next recharge—falls under the expanded scope of the new regulatory framework and now requires additional compliance and licensing processes before it can resume.

In the regulatory notice signed by Company Secretary Uto Ukpanah, MTN said:
“MTN Nigeria Communications PLC hereby notifies the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the investing public that the company has temporarily suspended its airtime and data credit advance service (‘Xtratime’).”

The telecom operator added that the suspension is tied to ongoing implementation of the FCCPC’s updated rules, which introduce stricter compliance, registration, and licensing obligations for all providers of digital or non-traditional credit services.

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MTN stressed that despite the suspension, customers can still purchase airtime and data through other available channels, including banking platforms, USSD services, and mobile apps, assuring that the decision is not expected to significantly affect earnings.

“Given the scale within the revenue mix, we do not expect the temporary suspension to have a material impact,” the company said, adding that updates would be provided in its Q1 2026 financial report.

The development highlights the widening reach of Nigeria’s consumer credit regulations, which now extend beyond banks and fintech loan apps to include telecommunications companies offering airtime advances.

The FCCPC had earlier introduced a framework for digital lending in 2022 but strengthened enforcement with the 2025 regulations, requiring all operators in the sector to register and obtain approval before continuing operations.

Under the new rules, companies offering short-term digital credit services must meet stricter standards on consumer protection, transparency, data governance, and ethical debt recovery practices. The commission has reportedly set an April 2026 deadline for full compliance by existing operators.

Industry analysts say the move reflects a broader effort by regulators to bring order to Nigeria’s fast-growing digital credit ecosystem, where airtime loans have become a key financial support tool for millions of low-income mobile users.

For now, MTN has not announced a timeline for restoring the Xtratime service, stating only that it will resume once full regulatory compliance is achieved.

MTN Nigeria Suspends Airtime Loan Service

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Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking

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Africa’s richest businessman, Aliko Dangote
Alhaji Aliko Dangote, the CEO of Dangote Group

Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking

Nigerian business magnate Aliko Dangote has been named among the TIME100 Most Influential People in the World for 2026, as TIME Magazine released its latest list recognising individuals shaping global politics, business, technology, and culture.

Dangote, Africa’s richest man and founder of the Dangote Group, is the only Nigerian featured in the 2026 edition. He appears in the Titans category, recognised for his decades-long push to industrialise Africa through investments in cement, sugar, fertiliser, and the landmark Dangote Refinery—one of the largest single-train refineries in the world.

This marks Dangote’s second appearance on the TIME100 list, following his first inclusion in 2014, further cementing his status as one of Africa’s most globally recognised industrialists.

A key highlight of this year’s recognition is the tribute written by fellow Nigerian billionaire Tony Elumelu, who praised Dangote’s entrepreneurial journey and continental impact. Elumelu described him as “indefatigable, resilient, and foresighted,” and lauded him as “one of the greatest African entrepreneurs of our time.”

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He added that Dangote’s work demonstrates that Africans can create large-scale value “with our own resources, on our continent,” reinforcing the philosophy of economic self-reliance that has shaped both businessmen’s careers.

Interestingly, the gesture reflects a role reversal from previous years, as Dangote once wrote Elumelu’s TIME100 tribute when the UBA chairman appeared on the list in 2020.

The 2026 TIME100 list, now in its 23rd edition, features global figures across multiple categories, including Titans, Leaders, Innovators, Icons, Artists, and Pioneers. High-profile names this year include U.S. President Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping, and major technology leaders such as Google CEO Sundar Pichai and YouTube CEO Neal Mohan.

Other political figures featured include Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, alongside global leaders in health, finance, and multilateral institutions.

Analysts say Dangote’s inclusion carries strong symbolic significance for Africa, particularly at a time of economic restructuring and renewed calls for industrialisation and self-sufficiency across the continent. His multi-billion-dollar refinery project, in particular, is seen as a strategic asset aimed at reducing Nigeria’s reliance on imported refined petroleum products, boosting local production, and creating thousands of jobs.

The recognition also reinforces Dangote’s global reputation as a leading figure in African entrepreneurship, with his business empire spanning critical sectors of the economy and influencing industrial policy conversations across the region.

The TIME100 announcement precedes the annual TIME100 Summit scheduled for April 22 in New York, where selected honourees are expected to participate in discussions on global leadership and innovation.

The full list and tributes are available via TIME Magazine’s official platforms.

Dangote Named Only Nigerian on TIME100 2026 Global Influence Ranking

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Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria

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World Bank

Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria

Energy experts have strongly criticised recent recommendations attributed to the World Bank urging Nigeria to deepen fuel importation and further liberalise its downstream petroleum sector, warning that the proposal is economically risky, poorly timed, and inconsistent with Nigeria’s petroleum law.

The criticism comes amid growing debate over the findings of the World Bank’s latest Nigeria Development Update, which some stakeholders say suggests a return to higher fuel import dependence as part of broader market reforms aimed at stabilising prices and improving efficiency.

However, energy economist Prof. Ken Ife faulted the recommendation, arguing that it contradicts Nigeria’s long-term goal of energy self-sufficiency and undermines ongoing investments in domestic refining capacity.

“You cannot advise a country struggling to achieve economic self-reliance to return to fuel importation,” Ife said, warning that such a policy shift would reverse gains made under the Petroleum Industry framework.

He stressed that the proposal runs counter to the provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act, particularly the Domestic Crude Supply Obligation, which prioritises crude allocation to local refineries to support domestic production.

According to him, abandoning this structure would weaken Nigeria’s refining ambitions, increase exposure to global oil shocks, and worsen pressure on foreign exchange reserves.

“We are building capacity that could exceed domestic demand. Reversing course now would discourage investors and destabilise the downstream sector,” he added.

Ife further questioned the empirical basis of the recommendation, describing it as inconsistent with the broader analytical strength of the World Bank report.

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Other energy analysts echoed similar concerns, arguing that Nigeria is already at a critical stage of expanding domestic refining, including private-sector-led investments that are expected to reduce dependence on imported petrol in the coming years.

Energy analyst Kelvin Emmanuel also criticised the proposal, insisting that it is disconnected from current global pricing realities and supply chain risks.

He argued that landing imported petrol in Nigeria is already significantly expensive when freight, insurance, and exchange rate factors are considered, making large-scale import reliance economically unsustainable.

Emmanuel further noted that rising crude oil prices—driven partly by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—have pushed global energy markets into volatility, reinforcing the need for domestic refining resilience rather than import dependence.

He also disputed claims that imported fuel could be cheaper than locally refined products, arguing that such assumptions ignore structural cost realities in the global supply chain.

On inflation and fuel pricing, Emmanuel maintained that Nigeria’s challenges are linked more to policy implementation gaps than production shortages, particularly in crude allocation to local refineries as outlined in the Petroleum Industry Act.

“If domestic supply obligations are properly enforced, price stability will improve and market volatility will reduce,” he said.

He also criticised proposals suggesting that Nigeria should expand social safety nets through borrowing, arguing that such measures could worsen fiscal pressure and contradict responsible debt management principles.

While acknowledging that social protection is important, he insisted that funding should prioritise grants or targeted revenue sources rather than additional debt obligations.

The debate highlights growing tension between international policy advice and Nigeria’s domestic energy strategy at a time when the country is attempting to stabilise fuel supply, reduce import dependence, and strengthen local refining capacity.

Industry observers say the outcome of this policy direction could significantly shape Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector, foreign exchange stability, and long-term energy security.

Experts Reject World Bank Fuel Import Advice, Warn of Economic Setback for Nigeria

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