FG projects N6.72tn petrol subsidy for 2023, capital projects threatened - Newstrends
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FG projects N6.72tn petrol subsidy for 2023, capital projects threatened

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Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs Zainab Ahmed

The Federal Government is projecting to spend N6.72 trillion on subsidy for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) otherwise called petrol for the 2023 fiscal year.

The projected expenditure is N2.53trn higher than the current petrol subsidy figure, expected to roll till May next year.

With the amount of subsidy projected, governments at all levels may not get any allocations from oil revenues, which could jeopardise the capital expenditure budget. The situation is also likely to deepen governments’ borrowing spree.

The Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs Zainab Ahmed, who disclosed the projections at the public presentation of the 2023 – 2025 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategic Paper (MTEF and FSP), in Abuja, however, advocated the option of truncating the subsidy payment by May, next year.

She gave two scenarios as to how the 2023 budget will be implemented.

In the first scenario, the minister said, “The subsidy on PMS is estimated at N6.72 trillion for the full year 2023”. This amount, she said, “Will remain and be fully provided for by the NNPC on behalf of the federation”.

This first scenario will leave little or no savings to be shared by the Federal Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) thus limiting the shareable revenue to tax warnings, and royalties. This might impact the health of many states and local governments because of the huge reduction in the monthly FAAC allocations.

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For the second scenario, the minister said: “Petrol subsidy will remain up to mid-2023 based on the 18-month extension announced early 2022, in which case, only N3.36 trillion will be provided for”.

The minister cautioned that “Both scenarios have implications for net accretion to the Federation Account and projected deficit levels”.

She said the government might have a total budgetary estimate of about N17trn for 2022 in one of the scenarios and about N16trn in the other.

The minister noted that “The draft 2023-2025 MTEF/FSP has been prepared against the backdrop of continuing global challenges occasioned by lingering COVID-19 pandemic effects, as well as higher food and fuel prices due to the war in Ukraine”.

On revenue implications, the minister said: “The new arrangement has indicated that NNPC will not be contributing monthly to the Federation as they used to in the past. But NNPC will be paying royalties, dividends and taxes. So, while the revenue might not be monthly, we will work on an arrangement on how this will be paid.

“And it is possible to work out an arrangement where the payments could be monthly or quarterly. So, I was just saying that in a new arrangement regime NNPC will not be contributing to the FAAC on a monthly basis, but NNPC will still be paying taxes, royalties and dividends,” she explained further.

The minister clarified why NNPC has not remitted funds to FAAC for about eight months while it was transiting to NNPC Limited which took effect on Tuesday.

“Why are we not receiving any revenues from the Federation? Because the NNPC has been instructed to cover the cost of fuel subsidy on behalf of the federation. So NNPC is not paying the subsidy on its account and I mean, they were not paying the subsidies that would have been remittances distribution and this is the arena that we seek to continue in 2023,” she said.

To ward off this looming crisis, Ahmed said subsidy removal remains the best option.

“And that’s why it’s important for us to consider this issue of removal of subsidies very seriously because no marketer is willing to buy PMS after sourcing their foreign exchange and competing with subsidies, it can only be a government agency,” she stated.

Daily Trust reports that President Muhammadu Buhari had at various times suggested his disapproval of withdrawing the fuel subsidy, which he said, would worsen the condition of the poor.

Revenue challenges soar as debts, salaries gulp N4.7trn in 4 months

Meanwhile, the government admitted on Thursday that the country is in severe revenue challenges and must find sustainable strategies to boost revenue and revive the economy.

Ahmed, during the consultative forum, said figures so far have shown that Nigeria spends about 90 per cent of its revenue on debt servicing.

This is further compounded by the rising inflation, which is now 18.60 per cent according to the latest figures from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The country’s debt service has also worsened in the first quarter of 2022 as the country’s debt service to revenue ratio rose to 80 per cent, implying an increase of 400 basis points when compared to the 76 per cent obtainable last year.

A debt service to revenue ratio of 8 per cent implies that for every N100 earned by Nigeria, N80 is spent servicing debt.

Further checks by Daily Trust show that Nigeria’s total debt stock as at the first quarter of 2022 had risen to N41.60trn against N39.56trn in December 2021, which represents a N2.04trn increase in three months.

The minister said the federal government has so far released the sum of N4.72trn to finance some of the expenditure items contained in the 2022 budget.

The 2022 N17trn budget was signed into law on December 31 last year by President Muhammadu Buhari.

The breakdown of the budget includes N869bn for statutory allocation, N3.8trn for debt servicing, N6.9trn and N5.4trn for recurrent and capital expenditure respectively.

Speaking during the event, Ahmed said “Out of the N4.72trn spending, the government released N1.9trn for debt service while personnel costs and pensions gulped the sum of N1.26trn,”

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She said the balance of N773.63bn was spent by the federal government on capital projects.

On revenue generation, the minister explained that “Between January and April this year, the federal government generated the sum of N1.63trn. Out of the N1.63trn, N285.38bn came from oil revenue, which represents 39 per cent performance, while non-oil revenue collection was put at N632.56bn representing about 84 per cent.”

Corroborating the position of the minister, The Director -General of the Budget Office of the Federation, Ben Akabueze said that Nigeria is currently going through significant fiscal challenges.

Akabueze said while Nigeria had improved transparency and accountability in the oil sector, more work needed to be done in boosting revenue.

Nigeria recorded its best performance in the open market improving by 24 points in transparency in the latest Open Budget Initiative Report.

Despite new petrol price, fuel scarcity returns to Abuja

Even with a price increase for petrol, this week, queues for the product have persisted in Abuja.

Daily Trust observed yesterday that vehicular queues have returned at fuel stations said to be selling cheaper and whose pumps are perceived as accurate.

Last weekend, petrol stations in the capital city jerked up the pump price almost uniformly to N185/litre a development, which cleared the long queues suffered by motorists for weeks.

On Tuesday, some petrol marketers released a new price template, which contains official approval for petrol to sell above N165 per litre across the country. The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), which fixes rates, did not confirm or refute the new price regime.

According to the regional price list, the rate rose to N169 in Lagos and N174 for Abuja.

However, there were varied prices for the six geopolitical zones with the South West, South South, southeast and north central regions getting a hike of N14 from N165 to N179/l.

The price was raised to N184 in the North West and N189 in the North East being a N24 increase, the highest in the new adjustment. Petrol will now sell at N179 in the North Central region.

The upward price review also affected ex-depot prices in the Lagos axis, rising from N148.17 to a range of N160 and 162. Depots in Warri/Ogbarra have their rates adjusted to N162-N165 while Port Harcourt depots will sell for N165-167.

However, in spite of this raise, motorists were shocked to see that the queues have sprung up again. According to a cross section of them found along some major stations in the nation’s capital, the resurfacing of the queues was something to worry about.

Hamisu Usman, a mechanic, said he was at a station to buy petrol in the Dutse area of Abuja on Thursday and although he bought the product for N175, he spent two hours in the queue.

In Jabi, some fuel stations sold the product for N175 while others were shut indicating they were yet to receive a fresh consignment of the product. Around the Wuse area, the few stations operating had vehicles besieging both their entrance and exit points.

Just opposite the NNPC Limited headquarters, the stations sold the product for N174/l with a winding queue of vehicles spanning over a kilometre on the Conoil side.

On the cause of the scarcity, a marketer, Samuel Okon, said it was barely 48 hours after the new price template came into effect.

He said, “It will take almost a week for this issue to normalise because the marketers who had stopped buying the product will have to mobilise funds to go to the depots and buy at the new rate knowing that they will get a profit margin.

“So, from next week, some of the stations that were shut earlier will begin to resume operations and that will ease the queues,” noted Okon.

But a pump attendant supervisor in one of the prominent stations in Abuja, Aliyu Musa, gave another view to the rising queue for petrol.

He said this is the first time in years that Nigerians are witnessing separate but ‘official’ prices of petrol and that it will take time for them to adjust.

“You know that the prices in Abuja and Lagos are cheaper than those in all other states and the geopolitical zones. What we have observed among the motorists we serve since Wednesday is that most of them who live in Suleja (Niger State) and Mararaba (Nasarawa) prefer to buy in town because they said stations are selling at N179 there while it is N174 officially in Abuja.”

Musa also said long distance and interstate drivers fill up their vehicles in Abuja rather than buying a little and that was adding to the queue. “If you make your observation in Lagos, you may see this same trend too,” he noted.

DAILY TRUST

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EXEED to Storm Nigeria’s Premium Auto Market in December, courtesy of Versat 

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EXEED to Storm Nigeria’s Premium Auto Market in December, courtesy of Versat 

 

Nigeria’s premium automotive market is set for a new entrant as Versat Automobile Limited prepares to introduce EXEED, the premium mobility brand of Chery Automobile, to the country in December 2026.

The arrival of EXEED is expected to further intensify competition in Nigeria’s fast-evolving premium vehicle segment, with the brand bringing together advanced technology, distinctive design and contemporary luxury under its global philosophy, “Born for More.”

According to Versat, EXEED is designed for consumers who seek more than conventional mobility and are driven by a desire for greater possibilities in life, career and personal achievement.

Drawing on Chery Automobile’s extensive research and development capabilities, the brand is positioned at the intersection of sophisticated design, intelligent technology and premium driving experience—qualities Versat believes align with the expectations of Nigeria’s increasingly discerning automotive consumers.

General Manager, Sales, Versat Automobile Limited, Christopher Irumudomon, described the planned entry as a significant development for the company and Nigeria’s premium automotive market.

“The arrival of EXEED represents an exciting new chapter for premium mobility in Nigeria,” Irumudomon said.

“We are looking forward to introducing Nigerians to a brand that challenges convention, embraces exploration, and is truly Born for More.”

Ahead of the December launch, Versat said it would unveil more details about EXEED, including its technology, design philosophy and performance capabilities, as anticipation builds towards the brand’s official Nigerian debut.

EXEED is Chery Automobile’s premium automotive marque, developed around intelligent technology, sophisticated design and an enhanced driving experience. Guided by its “Born for More” philosophy and Spirit of Exploration, the brand seeks to combine advanced automotive technologies with distinctive styling and a forward-looking approach to premium mobility.

The Nigerian launch also represents a new phase in Versat Automobile’s expansion in the local automotive market.

Established in 2024, the company commenced its Nigerian market operations in 2026 with C&C Trucks, focusing on performance, durability, quality, reliability and customer support.

With the introduction of EXEED, Versat is now positioning itself to play a more prominent role in Nigeria’s passenger vehicle market, particularly the growing premium segment.

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CBN Governor, NADDC DG to Lead LCCI Debate on Vehicle Financing as Alternative to Fuel Subsidy

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CBN Governor, NADDC DG to Lead LCCI Debate on Vehicle Financing as Alternative to Fuel Subsidy

 

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Olayemi Cardoso, and the Director-General of the National Automotive Design and Development Council (NADDC), Joseph Osanipin, are among key stakeholders expected at a high-level symposium examining whether vehicle financing can provide a sustainable alternative to fuel subsidy as a tool for improving mobility in Nigeria.

Organised by the Auto Sectoral and Allied Group of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), the one-day symposium is scheduled for September 17, 2026, at the Henry Fajemirokun Hall, LCCI, Victoria Island, Lagos.

Themed “From Subsidy to Credit: Can Vehicle Financing Replace Fuel Subsidy as Nigeria’s Mobility Equalizer?”, the event will bring together stakeholders across the automotive, financial and transport sectors to examine how affordable credit can expand vehicle ownership, support fleet renewal and reduce the burden of rising transportation costs.

The organisers said the removal of fuel subsidy and its impact on transport costs had made it imperative to rethink how mobility could be made more affordable and sustainable.

Rather than relying largely on interventions aimed at keeping fuel prices low, the symposium will examine whether a robust vehicle-financing ecosystem can enable individuals, transport operators and small businesses to acquire vehicles through affordable and sustainable credit arrangements.

Discussions will focus on automotive lending, leasing, fleet renewal and the role of banks, development finance institutions and other financial players in expanding access to vehicle ownership.

The symposium is also expected to interrogate major barriers to automotive financing, including high interest rates, short loan tenures, foreign exchange pressures, high vehicle prices, credit risks and the limited availability of financing products tailored to Nigeria’s automotive market.

Chairman of the LCCI Auto Sectoral and Allied Group and Deputy Managing Director of R.T. Briscoe Nigeria Plc, Dr Femi Eghuaikhide, said the symposium was coming at a critical time when Nigeria needed to rethink how mobility could be made accessible to a wider population.

“The question before us is no longer simply how to make fuel cheaper, but how to make mobility more affordable and sustainable for Nigerians. Vehicle financing has the potential to become a powerful mobility equalizer if we can develop the right credit structures, realistic repayment terms and strong collaboration between government, financial institutions and automotive industry stakeholders.”

Eghuaikhide said the symposium would provide a platform for stakeholders to move beyond identifying the challenges and develop practical financing solutions capable of supporting vehicle ownership, public transportation and the growth of Nigeria’s automotive industry.

Also speaking, Chairman of the Symposium Organising Committee and Chief Operating Officer of Bras Motors Limited, Austin Akpovili, said the event was designed to generate practical and actionable solutions.

“We are bringing the right stakeholders to one table because mobility is not only an automotive issue; it is an economic issue. Our objective is to examine how access to affordable vehicle credit can transform the lives of individuals, transport operators and businesses, while creating a stronger and more sustainable automotive ecosystem for Nigeria.”

Akpovili said participants would also have the opportunity to examine existing financing models and identify innovative approaches to make vehicle acquisition accessible to a broader segment of the population.

The event is expected to attract automobile manufacturers and dealers, commercial banks, development finance institutions, leasing and insurance companies, transport operators, government agencies, policymakers and other stakeholders across the automotive value chain.

Beyond vehicle ownership, experts will examine how affordable financing could accelerate the renewal of Nigeria’s ageing vehicle fleet, improve public transportation and stimulate demand for locally assembled vehicles and locally manufactured automotive components.

The LCCI Auto Sectoral and Allied Group has traditionally used its annual symposium to bring government, business leaders, financial institutions and automotive stakeholders together to address critical issues confronting the industry.

With this year’s theme shifting the conversation “from subsidy to credit,” the symposium is expected to examine whether Nigeria can move from short-term consumption support to a sustainable financing model that promotes asset ownership, productivity and economic empowerment.

The organisers said recommendations from the symposium would be presented as possible policy and industry solutions for making vehicle financing a stronger component of Nigeria’s broader mobility and economic development strategy.

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Just When You Thought Fuel Prices Were Falling – Dangote Refinery Pulls the Trigger Again

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Just When You Thought Fuel Prices Were Falling – Dangote Refinery Pulls the Trigger Again

Just When You Thought Fuel Prices Were Falling – Dangote Refinery Pulls the Trigger Again

Lagos, Nigeria – Barely two weeks after slashing its petrol price to N1,165 per litre, the Dangote Petroleum Refinery has increased its Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) gantry price by N20 to N1,185 per litre, effective midnight on Friday, August 21, 2026. The adjustment comes amid a sustained rally in global crude oil prices, with Brent futures climbing above $93 per barrel as tensions between the United States and Iran continue to unsettle energy markets.

The price review, reported by Petroleumprice.ng, comes as competition among fuel suppliers continues to reshape the Lagos depot market. At N1,185 per litre, Dangote’s petrol remains N15 cheaper than the N1,200 being quoted at Integrated Oil and Gas, African Terminals and NIPCO, while Pinnacle Oil and Gas sells at N1,190. More significantly, the new price remains below the current import-related benchmark of approximately N1,218 per litre as reported by the Major Energy Marketers Association of Nigeria (MEMAN), meaning Dangote’s revised gantry price is still N33 below the cost of importing the product.

The refinery’s decision comes against a backdrop of persistent global crude supply fears. Brent crude extended its rally for a fifth consecutive day on Thursday, reaching a three-week high as diplomatic efforts between Washington and Tehran remained stalled. The international benchmark rose 1.95 per cent to $93.48 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained two per cent to $86.12 per barrel. The sustained rally has pushed crude prices to their strongest levels since July, with Brent climbing more than seven per cent over five sessions.

US President Donald Trump’s recent threat of “the most crushing economic operation ever taken against any country” has heightened fears of stricter sanctions enforcement against Iran. ING commodities strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey noted that the warning signals “further escalation in US efforts to isolate Iran.” The UAE has also suspended all financial and economic transactions with Iran, adding another layer of uncertainty for energy markets already dealing with disruptions across the Gulf region.

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Despite the rise in crude futures, analysts observe that the real stress in the oil market is downstream. Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, noted that “crude is available, diesel is not,” emphasising that the market continues to underestimate the extent of supply disruptions affecting refined fuel markets. The diesel crack spread in the United States crossed the $100-per-barrel mark this week for the first time, reaching as high as $102 per barrel on Monday before easing to about $100.

The refinery’s latest price increase also coincides with a rise in the price of diesel. Dangote raised its Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) gantry price by N100 to N1,670 per litre, effective from midnight Friday. This places the refinery’s diesel price N21 above the current landing cost of N1,649, though still N30 below rates quoted by several Lagos depots, including African Terminal, Integrated, Duport, Ibachem, Gulf Treasure and Pivot. The diesel price hike is expected to impact transport, manufacturing, and power generation costs across the economy.

For Nigerian consumers, the key question remains whether movements in depot prices will translate into corresponding changes at the pump. Following Dangote’s August 6 price reduction to N1,165, checks in Lagos showed several filling stations continuing to sell petrol at between N1,240 and N1,260 per litre, raising fresh questions about how quickly changes in refinery and depot prices are transmitted to consumers. A lower gantry price does not automatically determine the final retail price, which also reflects transportation, logistics, dealer margins and other operating costs.

The refinery’s entry into the domestic fuels market has fundamentally altered the competitive dynamics of Nigeria’s downstream petroleum industry. Rather than simply competing with imported products, the facility—with its 650,000 barrels-per-day capacity—is increasingly competing directly with independent depots and other suppliers for the same pool of marketers. Officials of the Dangote Group had yet to comment on the reported price increases as of press time.

As global crude prices remain elevated amid geopolitical uncertainty and the refinery assumes an increasingly dominant position in Nigeria’s fuel supply chain, its pricing moves are being closely watched as a barometer for the downstream petroleum market. The potential for further price volatility persists as analysts warn that Brent could approach $95 and potentially $100 per barrel if disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continue.

Just When You Thought Fuel Prices Were Falling – Dangote Refinery Pulls the Trigger Again

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