Forex crisis, declining investment threaten Nigeria’s 70% broadband target – Newstrends
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Forex crisis, declining investment threaten Nigeria’s 70% broadband target

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Forex crisis, declining investment threaten Nigeria’s 70% broadband target

Nigeria’s efforts to achieve a 70% broadband penetration by 2025 are facing significant challenges due to the ongoing foreign exchange crisis, which is affecting further investments in telecom infrastructure.  

The capacity of operators to invest in equipment has been diminished by the declining value of the Naira, coupled with a consistent decrease in Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) into the telecom industry. 

According to recent data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), FDIs in the telecom sector experienced a sharp decline of 70.5% in 2023.  

The Minister of Communications, Innovation, and Digital Economy had last year declared that the country would need an estimated $2 billion investment to lay fiber optic cables nationwide to meet the broadband target. However, in the same period, the telecom industry managed to attract only $134.75 million in FDIs. 

Local operators are also struggling to import new equipment for network improvement and expansion, as the dollar-to-naira exchange rate soars. 

Impact of forex instability 

According to Mr. Gbolahan Awonuga, the Head of Operations at the Association of Licensed Telecommunications Operators of Nigeria (ALTON), the significant rise of the dollar from about N460 last year to over N1,600 this year has disrupted the operators’ plans for importing equipment. 

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Furthermore, the Chief Financial Officer of MTN Nigeria, Mr. Modupe Kadri, discussed the company’s infrastructure investment plans for this year, noting the difficulty in justifying new investments to shareholders due to the forex issue. He stated,  

  • “The reality is that as a business, you continue to explore your options. We have a strict capital allocation framework that allows us to determine where we allocate our CapEx. However, the ultimate bottom line is the return to the shareholders.” 
  • “Now, if there is no investment case due to the terrible macroeconomic conditions we face, it becomes challenging to justify the necessary investments at the governance level. Nonetheless, we have made significant investments in enhancing our 4G and 5G networks, and our fiber assets are also increasing, he added. 

Kadri also lamented the current instability in the country’s forex market, emphasizing the critical need for forex stability to enable businesses to plan effectively and mitigate the impact of forex fluctuations on their bottom line. 

Declining FDI 

In a conversation with Nairametrics regarding the dwindling investments in the telecom industry, the Chairman of the Association of Licensed Telecommunications Operators of Nigeria (ALTON), Engineer Gbenga Adebayo, expressed significant concern. He pointed out that the telecom sector in Nigeria requires increased investment to thrive. 

  • “As indicated by last year’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) report, which highlighted a decline in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), we are apprehensive that this trend may persist. The dynamics of the exchange rate are influencing many aspects of the industry,” he explained. 

Adebayo elaborated on the investment downturn, noting,  

  • “The current investment figures are a clear indicator of the challenges facing the industry. This is adversely affecting the expansion of network infrastructure, and we fear that FDIs may continue to decline, further impacting the performance of operators.” 

He also mentioned that, apart from the reduction in investment, the limited access to foreign exchange is impeding the operators’ capability to expand and implement more broadband infrastructure. 

70% broadband penetration doubtful 

With diminishing investments and the current forex issues confronting telecom operators and businesses across the board, it appears improbable that Nigeria will meet its broadband penetration target by next year.  

According to the latest figures from the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), broadband penetration in Nigeria was 43.71% at the end of 2023.  

This indicates that the country must boost penetration by nearly 27% from now until next year to achieve the 70% target outlined in the National Broadband Plan (NBP 2020-2025), a goal that necessitates swift infrastructure deployment nationwide. 

Given the declining Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) and the forex challenges operators are facing, achieving this target within the remaining 21 months of the Broadband Plan’s timeline seems unattainable.  

When the Plan was initiated in March 2020, penetration was at 39.85%, as per NCC data. This means that over the past four years, the country’s broadband access has only improved by 3.86%. 

Why it is important 

A World Bank report has demonstrated that every 10% increase in broadband penetration can enhance a country’s GDP by at least 4.6%.  

This significant finding underscores the importance of swiftly expanding broadband services in Nigeria, aiming to tackle a variety of socio-economic challenges, such as economic growth, broadening the tax base, and enhancing digital literacy and educational standards. 

  • This rationale motivated the Nigerian government to formulate a second National Broadband Plan (NBP 2020-2025) after successfully reaching a 30% penetration milestone with the first plan (NBP 2013-2018).  
  • The NBP 2020-2025 sets ambitious objectives, including achieving internet speeds of 15Mbps in rural areas and 25Mbps in urban areas by 2025.  
  • Additionally, it aims for the interconnection of 90% of all Local Government Areas by fiber and seeks to attain 70% population penetration. Another goal is ensuring that 100% of tertiary institutions are within 5km of a fiber Point of Access. 

Moreover, the plan targets reducing the average cost of data to N390/Gb or less and establishing at least one local assembly or manufacturing plant for smart devices within Nigeria, further promoting the nation’s technological advancement and self-sufficiency. 

Forex crisis, declining investment threaten Nigeria’s 70% broadband target

Railway

NRC suspends Warri-Itakpe train after multiple engine failure

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NRC suspends Warri-Itakpe train after multiple engine failure

 

The Nigerian Railway Corporation (NRC) on Thursday announced the suspension of its Warri-Itakpe train service, after it experienced multiple technical issues.

The standard gauge train was said to have broken down midway on Tuesday, creating some panic situation among passengers on board.
It said in a statement that the decision to suspend the train operation would allow its technical team “to conduct a full audit, resolve all identified issues, and restore safe and reliable service.”
The NRC statement signed by Henrietta Eregare of the NRC Public Relations Department, read in part, “The Nigerian Railway Corporation (NRC) wishes to inform the general public and our valued passengers that a significant disruption occurred on the Warri-Itakpe rail line on Tuesday, April 9, 2025, due to multiple technical issues involving a train engine failure.
“Management has consequently suspended train services on the route for 72 hours.
“The disruption commenced at approximately 1:38pm and affected both the 8am departure from Warri and the 2pm train from Itakpe.
“Emergency recovery protocols were immediately activated but also suffered a setback due to engine failures.”
It recalled how the corporation swiftly arranged for the safe evacuation of all passengers through road transportation with adequate security presence.
“Passengers were guided off the affected train to waiting cars approximately 500 meters from the track.
It stated, “Some Passengers chose to arrange their own transportation before the arrival of official recovery vehicles—a decision NRC understands given the delay.”
The corporation also disclosed that adequate arrangements had been made for a full refund of the value of tickets to passengers involved in the disrupted trains.
Those interested in using their tickets for future trips can take advantage of the revalidation option, according to the NRC.
“Refund and revalidation process is available on our online ticketing platforms, via our customer service lines, and at all NRC stations,” the statement added.
It expressed regret for the inconvenience caused by the unexpected disruption.
It said, “The Nigerian Railway Corporation takes full responsibility and is actively working to restore normal operations as quickly as possible. We remain committed to the safety, reliability, and comfort of our passengers.”

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BREAKING: Dangote Refinery slashes petrol price to ₦865

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BREAKING: Dangote Refinery slashes petrol price to ₦865

The Dangote refinery has informed marketers and its customers of a downward review of its ex-gantry loading cost to ₦865 per litre.

The new price is N15 less than the facility’s previous price of N880 per litre sold Wednesday.

Our correspondent learnt that the refinery alerted its clients via a notification sent out on Thursday morning.

Our correspondent gathered that the Dangote refinery informed its customers in a notice sent out on Thursday morning.

Remember that marketers had exclusively informed that the 650,000-barrel Dangote refinery was expected to reduce its petrol loading costs by the end of this week, further adding to the decline in fuel prices.

Chinedu Ukadike, the National Publicity Secretary of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, reassured the public about the price drop while responding to the Federal Executive Council’s direction on the naira-for-crude arrangement.

Following an initial delay, the Federal Executive Council directed on Wednesday that the suspended Naira-for-Crude arrangement with local refiners be fully implemented.

It stated that the initiative with local refineries is not a temporary measure but a “key policy directive designed to support sustainable local refining”.

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The Ministry of Finance announced this in a statement published on its official X handle titled “Update on the Crude and Refined Product Sales in Naira Initiative”.

The statement was released following a meeting on Tuesday between the Minister of Finance, Wale Edun, and representatives from Dangote Refinery, a major beneficiary of the agreement, to review progress and address ongoing implementation matters.

The committee stated that the policy is not a temporary measure but rather a long-term strategy to reduce Nigeria’s reliance on foreign currency for petroleum.

It further stated that the effort is not a one-time or limited intervention but rather a fundamental policy direction aimed at promoting sustainable local refining and bolstering energy security.

The statement read, “The Technical Sub-Committee on the Crude and Refined Product Sales in Naira initiative convened an update meeting on Tuesday to review progress and address ongoing implementation matters.

“The stakeholders reaffirmed the government’s continued commitment to the full implementation of this strategic initiative, as directed by the Federal Executive Council.

“Thus, the Crude and Refined Product Sales in Naira initiative is not a temporary or time-bound intervention but a key policy directive designed to support sustainable local refining, bolster energy security, and reduce reliance on foreign exchange in the domestic petroleum market.”

BREAKING: Dangote Refinery slashes petrol price to ₦865

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Naira down to N1,620 in parallel market

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Naira down to N1,620 in parallel market

The naira yesterday depreciated to N1,620 per dollar in the parallel market from N1,575 per dollar on Tuesday.
But the Naira appreciated to N1,611.55 per dollar in the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM). Data published by FMDQ, showed that the indicative exchange rate for the naira fell to N1,611.55 per dollar from N1,612.24 per dollar on Tuesday, indicating 69 kobo appreciation for the naira.

Consequently, the margin between the parallel market and NFEM rate narrowed to N8.45 per dollar from N37.24 per dollar on Tuesday. Currency traders attributed the depreciation of the naira to increased demand and low supply factors.

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Mr. Danjuma Sanni, a currency trader, told Vanguard that there had been a continuous increase in demand for the dollar, which intensified yesterday. “There has been increasing demand for the dollar with low supply. Though people still sell their dollars, the demand is still increasing more than the supply.
“Today, I bought a dollar at N1,600 and sold it for N1,620.

“This morning a dollar was sold at N1,650 and closed between N1,610 and N1,620.” The trader envisages the exchange rate to trade below N1,600 per dollar at the end of the week.”

 

Naira down to N1,620 in parallel market

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