Naira falls across markets •Forex reserves drop to $38.59 billion – Newstrends
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Naira falls across markets •Forex reserves drop to $38.59 billion

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Nigeria’S foreign reserves have dropped to $38.59 billion as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued its currency float management that had seen the apex bank pumping $3.36 billion into the foreign exchange (forex) market over a two-month period.

Latest figures from the apex bank indicated that the forex reserves depreciated $125.53 million to close weekend at $38.63 billion.

The decline in the foreign reserves can be attributed to the continuous intervention by the Central Bank in the forex market in order to ensure the stability of the local currency.

Despite the interventions, the naira has continued to depreciate closing last week at N610 per dollar at the parallel market, a decline of 0.7 per cent. At the official Investors and Exporters (I & E) Window, the naira fell by 0.1 per cent to N419.50 per dollar.

The CBN had committed  $3.36 billion into the foreign exchange market in two months in line with its determination to keep the naira stable.

The apex bank’s January monthly report on ‘Foreign Exchange Market Developments’ showed that $1.71 billion and $1.65 billion were injected in December 2021 and January 2022.

The naira had made marginal gain after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) raised interest rate by 150 basis points.

The local currency appreciated by from N610/$ to N605/$, representing N5 gain after the MPC hiked Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) from 11.5 per cent to 13 per cent per annum.

The naira is, however, still trading weaker than pre MPC  close of N600/$ at the parallel market but remains stable at N415.72/$ at the official market.

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Forex Trader, AZA Finance, Ikenga Kalu said: “We expect the naira to appreciate further in the coming days back to the N600/$. However, strains are likely to persist over the medium term given ongoing dollar supply constraints.”

The CBN said its policies – naira-for-dollar – incentives, stoppage of dollar sales to bureaux de change and restriction of forex sales to 43 items that can be produced locally are meant to boost dollar liquidity and create currency convergence.

The CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele explained that Nigeria, like other emerging market countries reliant on oil exports, the retreat by foreign portfolio investors significantly affected the supply of foreign exchange.

“With the decline in our foreign exchange earnings and successive exchange rate adjustments, the CBN has continued to implement a demand management framework, which is designed to bolster the production of items that can be produced in Nigeria, and aid conservation of our external reserves,” he said.

Emefiele said the the apex bank has continued to favour a gradual liberalisation of the foreign exchange market in order to smoothen exchange rate volatility and mitigate the impact which, rapid changes in the exchange rate could have on key macro-economic variables.

An economist and Managing Director, Financial Derivatives Company Limited, Bismarck Rewane, explained that CBN’s efforts at naira convergence will help reduce the official-parallel market spread which will in turn decrease the incidence of speculative trading at the parallel market.

“A reduced spread will decrease the incentive (arbitrage) for speculators to obtain forex at the official market and resell at the parallel market.This may result in panic dumping of dollars at the parallel market due to the concern of lower demand for forex and appreciation of the dollar at the parallel market,” he said.

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Rewane advised that closing the gap between the official and parallel market rates is likely to reduce the demand for forex at the parallel market, pushing investors and traders to the official market.This will lead to increased forex transactions at the official market.

He explained that the wide official-parallel market spread and the low forex supply at the official market have been the main factors driving investors and traders to source forex at an expensive rate from the parallel market.

For him, reducing this spread, coupled with an improved forex supply at the official market, will decrease uncertainty (volatility) at the forex market and bolster the ability of the official window to meet a higher demand for dollars.

The resulting impact of this is that a reduced exchange rate volatility and improved forex supply will make it easier for foreign investors to repatriate their funds.

It will also ensure that traders and manufacturers can access forex at a uniform rate from both the official and parallel markets.

“Reduced naira volatility and improved forex supply are positive for foreign direct investments and foreign portfolio investments as well as the country’s external trade. This is because of the increase in the volume of dollar available for foreign trade and investment,” he said.

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Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

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Sanusi Garba, Chairman, Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC)

Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

The Federal Government has said the reversal of the current increment in electricity tarrif will put more financial pressure on it.

The government said it would need about N3.2 trillion to subsidise and shoulder the cost of electricity this year should the recent hike be canceled.

Sanusi Garba, the chairman, Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), made this known at a stakeholders’ meeting organised by the House of Representatives committee on power in Abuja on Thursday.

He said that the current investments in the power sector were not enough to guarantee a stable electricity supply nationwide.

He added that if nothing was done to tackle foreign exchange instability and non-payment for gas, the sector would collapse.

Garba disclosed that prior to the tariff review, Electricity Distribution Companies (DisCos) were only obligated to pay 10 per cent of their energy invoices, adding that lack of cash backing for subsidy had created liquidity challenges for the sector.

He added that the inability of the government to pay subsidy led to continuous decline in gas supply and power generation.

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He said that the continued decline in the generation and system collapse were largely linked to liquidity challenges.

He said from January 2020 to 2023, the tariff was increased from 55 per cent to 94 per cent of cost recovery.

He added that “the unification of FX and current inflationary pressures were pushing cost reflective tariff to N184/kWh”

“If sitting back and doing nothing is the way to go, it will mean that the National Assembly and the Executive would have to provide about N3.2 trillion to pay for subsidy in 2024,” he said.

Mr Garba said that only N185 billion out of the N645 billion subsidy in 2023 was cash-backed, leaving a funding gap of N459.5 billion.

The vice-chairman of NERC, Musiliu Oseni, also justified the recent tariff increase, saying the increment was needed to save the sector from total collapse.

Rep. Victor Nwokolo, the chairman of the committee, said the goal of the meeting was to address the increase in tariff and the issue of band A and others.

Mr Nwokolo said the officials of NERC and DISCOS had provided useful Information to the committee.

“We have not concluded with them because the Transmission Company of Nigeria is not here and the Generation Companies too.

“From what they have said which is true, is that without the change in tarrif, which was due since 2022, the industry lacks the capital to bring the needed change.

“Of course, the population explosion in Nigeria, is beyond what they have estimated in the past and because they need to expand their own network, they also needed more money, ” he said

Reversing electricity tariff hike will cost us N3.2 trillion – FG

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Naira loses N81 to dollar in one day

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Naira loses N81 to dollar in one day

The naira lost N81.34 against the US dollar at the foreign exchange market on Thursday

FMDQ data showed that the naira fell to N1,154.08 per dollar on Thursday from N1,072.74 on Wednesday.

This represents a 7.04 per cent loss against the dollar compared to N1,072.74 per dollar traded the previous day.

At the parallel market, the naira also depreciated N1,100 per dollar on Thursday from N1, 040 on Wednesday.

This is the second time the naira would be depreciating against the dollar in three days amid fears of depleting foreign exchange reserves.

Nigeria’s foreign reserves dropped to $32.29 billion as of April 15.

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Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

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Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

The CEO of Rainoil Limited, Gabriel Ogbechie, has claimed that the federal government resumed the payment of the controversial fuel subsidy following the devaluation of the Naira in the foreign exchange market.

Ogbechie made this statement on Tuesday during the Stanbic IBTC Energy and Infrastructure Breakfast Session held in Lagos.

He pointed out that with Nigeria’s daily fuel usage at 40 million liters and the foreign exchange rate at N1,300, the government’s subsidy per liter of fuel falls between N400 and N500, culminating in a monthly total of approximately N600 billion.

He said; “When Mr. President came in May last year, one of the things he said was that Subsidy is gone. And  truly, the subsidy was gone, because immediately the price of fuel moved from 200 to 500 per liter. At that point truly, subsidy was gone.

“During that period, Dollar was exchanging for N460, but a few weeks later, the government devalued the exchange rate. And Dollar moved to about N750. At that point, subsidy was beginning to come back.

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“The moment the two markets officially closed, officially the market went to about N1,300. At that point, that conversation was out of the window. Subsidy was fully back on petrol. If you want to know where petrol should be, just look at where diesel is. Diesel is about N1,300 and petrol is still selling for N600.

Furthermore, he said that NNPC being the only petrol importer in the country implies that there is an ongoing subsidy, as prices had to be fixed.

Earlier yesterday, the former governor of Kaduna State, Nasir El Rufai, said the federal government is spending more on petrol subsidy than before.

In addition, the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, Mrs. Olu Veŕheijen, said that the Federal Government reserves the right to pay fuel subsidy intermittently to cushion hardship in the country.

“The subsidy was removed on May 29. However, the government has the prerogative to maintain price stability to address social unrest. They reserve the right to intervene.

“If the government feels that it cannot continue to allow prices to fluctuate due to high inflation and exchange rates, the government reserves the right to intervene intermittently and that does not negate the fact that subsidy has been removed,” she said.

Govt paying N600bn for fuel subsidy monthly — Rainoil CEO

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