Business

Nigeria May Slip Into Recession as Budget Deficit Hits N30.58trn In Seven Years

Published

4 years ago

August 4, 2022

The budget deficit has risen to at least N30.58tn in the last seven years.
This is according to data from budget implementation reports for the third and fourth quarters of 2015; the four quarters of 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020; the first three quarters of 2021; and the first four months of 2022.
According to Investopedia, a budget deficit occurs when expenses exceed revenue.
An analysis of the reports on the Budget Office of Nigeria’s website revealed that Buhari’s administration had spent at least N54.98tn on budget implementation since its inception but has only financed this spending with N24.39tn, leaving a deficit of N30.58tn.
A breakdown of some of the expenses revealed that the present administration had spent at least N23.66tn on personnel costs, pensions, overhead costs, presidential amnesty programme, other service-wide votes, and special interventions.
A minimum of N14.13tn has been spent servicing domestic and foreign debts, and at least N10.47tn has been spent on capital expenditure.
According to the reports, this deficit financing has been largely financed by government borrowing. The budget implementation report for Q4, 2015 said, “The FGN has arranged to raise short-term credit from the CBN through the mechanism of Ways and Means subject to a ceiling of 12.5 percent of FGN’s revenue.
“This amount will be retired and therefore not considered as new borrowing outside the borrowing approved to finance the budget deficit. However, due to current fiscal challenges, the CBN had agreed to increase the Ways and Means advances threshold hence the FGN’s ability to raise N615.96bn from this source.”
Since allowance for raising the ceiling was made, total borrowing from the CBN has hit N19.01tn in April 2022 from N648.26bn as of June 2015.

READ ALSO:

Also, the nation’s total debt profile hit N41.06tn as of March 2022 from N12.12tn, according to the Debt Management Office.
A document titled ‘Public Consultation on the Draft 2023 – 2025 MTFF/FSP’ presented by the Minister of Finance, Budget & National Planning, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed, said, “Revenue generation remains the major fiscal constraint of the federation. The systemic resource mobilization problem has been compounded by recent economic recessions.”

Recently, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria raised concerns over the nation’s debt sustainability. It said the Federal Government’s debt profile was worrying and noted that there was a need for it to urgently diversify its revenue base.
Commenting on the story, economists stated that a high deficit was not good for the economy and might cause inflation, recession, and slow down growth.
Speaking to a reporter, an economic expert, and seasoned academic at the University of Uyo, Professor Akpan Ekpo, said, “This shows that expenditure has eclipsed the revenue, because they have to borrow, which is why there is a deficit.
“They can’t raise enough domestic resources to finance spending. That gap is a deficit. Talking about GDP, by the rules, it should not be more than a certain percentage of GDP, but it has exceeded that. And when you borrow, you have expectations of borrowing because if you are not transparent, we don’t know what you are borrowing for.
“If you are borrowing to finance recurrent and overhead, it is not good for the economy. If you borrow to finance capital projects, in the long run, even if you have a deficit, it will have a positive multiplier effect. The deficit, if it is used to finance recurrent, is problematic to the economy.

READ ALSO:

“One way of solving that is to raise more of domestic revenue or cut down on expenditure that is not needed, especially, the cost of governance. There is a need to check the expenditure profile and cut down on it. Or we could do expenditure switching, where unimportant items are switched with important items.
“We are spending more than we can raise resources and we are not spending it on hard infrastructure.”
Associate professor of Economics at the Pan-Atlantic University, Lagos, Olalekan Aworinde, added that the deficit was being financed by either government borrowing, sales of government properties, or printing money.
According to him, any of these options had implications for the economy. He stated, “Loans can be good and can be bad. A loan is good if it is used for productive expenditure, but if it is used for recurrent expenditure or consumption expenditure, this is not bringing back any returns.
“If the component of this deficit is majorly recurrent expenditures, it shows that we are unlikely to have any growth. There isn’t going to be any revenue coming out from there. The implication of this is that we are likely going to have stunted growth. Stunted growth in the sense that we are not likely going to have an increase in the total values of goods and services that are produced in the country.
“If care is not taken, we are likely going to slide into recession.”
He added that financing the deficit through sales of government properties would mean the government was reducing its asset base, which did not speak well for the economy.

NPO

Related Topics:Budget Deficit Featured Nigeria RECESSION

Up Next

FG, Google agree to tackle YouTube channels of proscribed groups

Don't Miss

NBA to petition NJC over imprisonment of human rights lawyer

Insurance

Lasaco Assurance Launches N18.47bn Rights Issue to Strengthen Capital Base

Published

10 hours ago

April 3, 2026

Trends Admin

L-R: Deputy Managing Director, Rilwan Oshinusi; Non-Executive Director, Biodun Dosunmu; Betridge; Managing Director, Adeyemo Shobo; Non-Executive Director, Oluwatobiloba Lawal; Fola Tinubu, during a signing ceremony on rights issue of N18.47bn.

Lasaco Assurance Launches N18.47bn Rights Issue to Strengthen Capital Base

Lasaco Assurance Plc has unveiled a ₦18.47 billion rights issue, announcing plans to offer 9,236,321,546 ordinary shares as part of efforts to reinforce its capital base and drive future growth.

The announcement was made during a signing ceremony held at the company’s head office in Lagos, following approvals from the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Lasaco Assurance Plc

Prior to this development, the company had secured shareholder backing at an extra general meeting, where investors approved the move to raise fresh capital through a rights issue.

Under the terms of the offer, shares are priced at ₦2.00 per share, with each share having a nominal value of 50 kobo. The rights issue is structured on the basis of five new shares for every six existing shares held by shareholders.

According to details released by the insurer, eligibility is limited to shareholders whose names appeared on the company’s register as of the close of business on February 20, 2026. The acceptance list opened on April 2, 2026, and will close on April 24, 2026.

READ ALSO:

The capital raise is expected to generate approximately ₦18.47 billion, which will be used to strengthen the company’s underwriting capacity and position it for expansion within Nigeria’s highly competitive insurance industry.

In addition, the rights offered will be tradable on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange Limited, allowing shareholders the flexibility to either subscribe to their allotted shares or sell their rights during the offer period.

Financial advisers to the transaction include Meristem Capital Limited as the Lead Issuing House and PAC Capital as Joint Issuing House.

The move aligns with broader efforts across the insurance sector to meet regulatory capital requirements, enhance balance sheets, and improve capacity to underwrite large-ticket risks across various sectors of the economy.

Speaking on the development, the Managing Director of Lasaco Assurance Plc, Mr. Ademoye Shobo, stated:
“At Lasaco, we will continue to ensure that our capital is always robust, so that we’re able to deliver on the mandates to the general public.”

Lasaco Assurance Launches N18.47bn Rights Issue to Strengthen Capital Base

Auto

Soaring Fuel Prices Drive Nigerians Toward Electric Vehicles

Published

1 day ago

April 2, 2026

Trends Admin

Soaring Fuel Prices Drive Nigerians Toward Electric Vehicles

Rising fuel prices in Nigeria are accelerating interest in electric vehicles (EVs) as households, transport operators, and businesses seek cost-effective alternatives to petrol- and diesel-powered cars. Experts say the spike in petrol costs is no longer just an economic concern but a turning point, pushing electric mobility from a futuristic idea into a practical solution for everyday commuting and commercial use.

At the Abuja Compact on Electric Mobility Roundtable, stakeholders highlighted how increasing transport expenses are reshaping decisions, especially among commercial drivers and small business owners. Rising fuel costs are prompting many Nigerians to see EVs as a survival strategy rather than a luxury option.

Chairman of the Presidential Initiative on Compressed Natural Gas and Electric Vehicles (Pi-CNG & EV), Ismaeel Ahmed, explained that the removal of fuel subsidies has widened the cost gap between petrol-powered vehicles and EVs. Charging an EV for a 200-kilometre journey costs around ₦4,500, compared to roughly ₦22,500 for petrol vehicles — a difference that offers a “strong economic incentive” influencing consumer choices. Ahmed added that the federal government is pursuing a balanced transition strategy supporting both compressed natural gas (CNG) and electric vehicles to encourage sustainable energy alternatives.

Financial solutions are helping Nigerians overcome the high upfront costs of EVs. Mohammed Abdul, Divisional Head at Alternative Bank, noted that lease-to-own, pay-as-you-go, and partnership schemes are making EVs accessible to drivers in the informal transport sector. These financing models allow gradual adoption while easing financial burdens.

READ ALSO:

Industry leaders also see wider economic benefits from EV adoption. Yusuf Suleiman, CEO of Bankrol Camel EV and Blue Camel Energy Ltd, said EV investments could improve energy access, boost industrial growth, and reduce Nigeria’s reliance on imported fossil fuels. Ahmed Garba Ahmed, COO of Bankrol Camel EV, added that EVs can cut energy costs per kilometre by up to 60%, benefiting ride-hailing drivers, logistics companies, and fleet operators.

Dapo Adesina, President of the Electric Mobility Promoters Association of Nigeria (EMPAN), explained that EV adoption can strengthen Nigeria’s power sector. Solar-powered charging hubs can simultaneously power vehicles and supply electricity to nearby communities, particularly in underserved areas. Private sector initiatives are also supporting Nigeria’s EV transition. Companies like SolarCity Gas are deploying superfast EV charging stations across key urban hubs and petrol stations, expanding the country’s charging infrastructure to meet growing demand.

Despite growing adoption, electric mobility in Nigeria faces challenges such as limited electricity infrastructure and inconsistent power supply. Analysts warn that significant investments in charging networks and supportive policies are necessary for sustainable EV growth. Nevertheless, with fuel prices remaining high, EVs are increasingly viewed as economically smart and environmentally friendly alternatives, offering Nigerians a viable solution to rising transport costs.

Soaring Fuel Prices Drive Nigerians Toward Electric Vehicles

Business

Rite Foods, BJAN champion consumer safety at Ososa factory tour

Published

1 day ago

April 2, 2026

Trends Admin

Rite Foods, BJAN champion consumer safety at Ososa factory tour

By Daphne Uduneje

To commemorate World Consumer Rights Day 2026, the Brand Journalists’ Association of Nigeria (BJAN) partnered with Rite Foods Limited to host a high-level stakeholder engagement at the company’s ultra-modern manufacturing plant in Ososa, Ogun State.

Under the theme “Safe Products, Confident Consumers,” the event combined rigorous policy discourse with a firsthand look at the cutting-edge technology behind one of Nigeria’s leading indigenous brands.

The journey began at Rite Foods’ Lagos office, transitioning from the city’s urban bustle to the expansive, scenic greenery of the Ososa facility. For the journalists in attendance, the factory’s exterior—a sprawling, sophisticated complex—signalled a facility capable of competing on a global scale.

Inside, the hum of precision machinery served as the backdrop for the day’s discussions. Olufemi Ajileye, General Manager for Operations at Rite Foods, welcomed guests by emphasizing that safety is the bedrock of their market strategy.

Since breaking into the carbonated soft drink sector, Rite Foods has leveraged advanced technology and stringent quality controls—including international laboratory testing for water purity—to earn and maintain public trust.

Despite improvements in legislation, speakers noted a persistent gap in consumer awareness. Sola Salako-Ajulo, founder of the Consumer Advocacy Foundation of Nigeria (CAFON), described consumer confidence as the “oxygen of any market.”

To empower the public, she unveiled the CAFON Consumers Companion (3C), an AI-powered platform designed to educate Nigerians on their rights and provide a roadmap for dispute resolution.

“Consumers often feel powerless,” she noted, “but technology can bridge the gap between grievance and redress.”

The Regulatory Stance

The Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC) and NAFDAC reaffirmed their commitment to enforcement:

FCCPC: Executive Vice Chairman Tunji Bello (represented by Olubunmi Dorcas Otti) urged businesses to maintain transparency, noting that economic participation thrives only when safety is guaranteed.

NAFDAC: Director-General Mojisola Adeyeye (represented by Tinuola Akinnubi) reminded attendees that consumer rights are legally enforceable obligations, highlighting the importance of “technological traceability” in the modern market.

BJAN Chairman Daniel Obi emphasized that the association had sustained this initiative for over a decade because consumer protection is a collective burden.

“It is not the responsibility of regulators alone,” Obi stated. “Businesses, media, and civil society must work in harmony.”

The event concluded with a guided tour of the production floor. Journalists observed a seamless, automated “dance” of technology where drinks were corked, labeled, and packaged with surgical precision.

As the delegation departed Ososa, the takeaway was clear: building a “confident consumer” requires more than just marketing—it requires the transparency of the factory floor and the accountability of the boardroom.