Business

CBN’s $1bn monthly diaspora inflow target faces immigration threat

Published

11 months ago

July 15, 2025

CBN Governor, Olayemi Cardoso

CBN’s $1bn monthly diaspora inflow target faces immigration threat

With many countries recalibrating their immigration and international fund remittance frameworks to cement their protectionist posturing, the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) push to secure $1 billion in monthly diaspora remittances now faces fresh headwinds.

Offshore inflows, seen as a cornerstone of the apex bank’s foreign exchange strategy, are now in the midst of policy shifts especially as countries like the United States and the United Kingdom move to tighten immigration controls and remittance regulations.

Diaspora remittances have long served as a critical cushion for Nigeria’s economy.

In 2023 alone, remittances topped $21 billion, according to World Bank data, making Nigeria the largest recipient in Sub-Saharan Africa.

These inflows often exceed foreign direct investment and official development assistance combined and serve as vital source of income for millions of households, especially in rural areas.

Recognising this potential, the CBN prioritised boosting diaspora remittance inflows through a raft of financial and regulatory reforms.

This year, the apex bank in collaboration with the Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBSS) introduced the Non-Resident Bank Verification Number (NRBVN) framework to enable Nigerians abroad remotely open BVN-linked naira and domiciliary accounts.

The move, designed to capture more inflows through official channels, was widely praised by stakeholders and fintech operators alike.

Governor, CBN, Olayemi Cardoso, while fielding questions from newsmen at the last Monetary Policy Meeting (MPC), said the platform will be a game-changer in expanding access to financial services for Nigerians in the diaspora.

READ ALSO:

Cardoso noted that the cost of repatriating funds from overseas to Nigeria and many other emerging markets which stands around 7 per cent is clearly unacceptable.

“One key solution, which we have now begun to pursue, is rooted in the volume business. As we drive up transaction volumes, the cost of remittances will inevitably decline and I must say, the recent bold steps taken in partnership with the Nigerian Regulatory Bank Verification Network (NRBVN) is truly game-changing. This is what our diaspora community has been waiting for, that is, the ability to transact from abroad seamlessly. Now, the opportunity to invest in the country of their birth is wide open. It could not have come at a better time”.

According to him, the apex bank sees itself as facilitators and catalysts clearing the path and letting the private sector take the lead. He noted that the key target of $1 billion a month in diaspora inflows might sound ambitious, but it is not unattainable.

The CBN’s strategy appeared to gain traction. By early 2025, remittances through formal channels had climbed to over $600 million monthly, with a target of hitting $1 billion by the third quarter (Q3) of the year.

“In fact, we have already made remarkable progress moving from just over $200 million to peaking at over $600 million in a single month. That is the Nigerian spirit in action and at work. There is nothing that would stop us from exceeding that. This shows what is possible when we get creative, stay committed, and work together. Other countries like Pakistan, India, and others have done this, so why can’t we? So, this is a reflection and effort that proves what can be achieved when the government steps back and allows the private sector to lead”, the CBN governor remarked.

However, that momentum is now at risk as the U.S President, Donald Trump, at the weekend signed the proposed “One Big Beautiful Bill”. The bill includes a provision to levy a 3.5 per cent surcharge on all outbound remittances by foreign nationals. The funds raised would reportedly go toward enhancing border security and immigration enforcement.

For Nigerian families that rely on modest monthly transfers from relatives abroad often between $100 and $500, a new fee structure could sharply reduce the value of those transfers or deter formal transactions altogether. Already, fintech operators say they are fielding concerns from customers about the potential costs and implications of the policy.

READ ALSO:

Analysts at CardinalStone Partners in a recent brief seen by Daily Sun, warned that such a tax could push many Nigerians abroad to revert to informal and unregulated remittance channels, undermining efforts by the CBN to formalise inflows and improve transparency in the foreign exchange market.

Similarly, the U.S Department of State noted that effective July 8, 2025, most non-immigrant and non-diplomatic visas issued to Nigerians will now be valid for only three months and limited to a single entry.

Across Europe and Asia, governments are implementing tighter immigration controls, increased financial scrutiny, and stricter documentation requirements for money transfers. Specifically, in the UK, another major remittance source country for Nigeria, new rules around immigration process for Nigerians applying for study and work visas, proof of income and recipient verification have increased processing times and compliance burdens for remittance service providers.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has also imposed tougher entry conditions for Nigerian travelers, banning transit visa applications entirely. According to the UAE, Nigerians aged 18-45 will no longer be eligible for tourist visas unless accompanied while those aged 45 and above must provide a 6-month personal bank statement showing at least $10,000 monthly balance before they are granted visas.

These policy shifts are driven by a combination of factors: anti-money laundering efforts, populist politics, national security concerns, and a push to tax cross-border capital flows. But for developing economies like Nigeria, they represent a new layer of risk in already fragile FX ecosystems.

Economic implications

If diaspora remittances fall significantly, the consequences for Nigeria could be severe. First, it would tighten pressure on the naira, which has already experienced persistent volatility despite CBN interventions and rising oil prices.

The naira depreciated by 0.2 per cent to N1,531/$1 at the official market amid emerging demand pressures which outweighed supply from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) looking to participate in the Open Market Operations (OMO) Primary Market Auction (PMA) despite $50 million intervention from the CBN.

Secondly, household consumption could suffer as remittances are often used to pay for food, school fees, medical bills, and housing. A drop in these flows could worsen poverty, reduce domestic demand, and strain public social services. Finally, Nigeria’s fiscal position could weaken further with the government already grappling with a high debt burden and limited revenue.

READ ALSO:

Hence, reduced FX inflows could hinder its ability to service external debts or finance imports, especially for critical sectors like power and healthcare.

Experts’ views

This has led to several calls for Nigeria to engage in high-level diplomacy to advocate for policies that will not disproportionately hurt its diaspora.

They also called for a diversified strategy that goes beyond remittances. One such option is the issuance of diaspora bonds, which would allow Nigerians abroad to invest in infrastructure and development projects back home in exchange for returns in dollars or naira.

Governor Cardoso has hinted at such a possibility, noting in a recent interview that the CBN and Ministry of Finance are exploring instruments to channel diaspora savings into productive uses.

Founder, Cowry Asset Management Limited, Johnson Chukwu, speaking during a recent forum, noted that this could only work if there is a high level of transparency, security and impact.

“There is no doubt that there is appetite within the diaspora community for investment products but this can only work if there is a high-level of transparency, security, and impact”. Do we need to move beyond consumption driven inflows? The answer is yes. We need to move beyond consumption-driven remittances to investment-driven diaspora engagement”, Chukwu said.

Executive Director at Zenith Bank, Dr Temitope Fasoranti, said, “In the current environment, every dollar counts. Losing even $200–300 million a month in diaspora remittances would be a significant shock to Nigeria’s external balance. There have been calls to diversify our export base which is good but the government needs to also look at creating diaspora funds that will target housing, agriculture, or even renewable energy which can channel long term capital back home”

The CBN’s $1 billion monthly remittance target is not just a financial benchmark, it is a critical lifeline for the Nigerian economy at a time of macroeconomic fragility. But as global migration policies harden and remittance corridors become more expensive and complex, Nigeria faces a new set of external risks that require both nimble diplomacy and domestic resilience.

Whether the country can sustain and grow its diaspora inflows will depend on how effectively it can navigate these emerging global headwinds. For now, the road to $1 billion a month looks steeper than ever.

CBN’s $1bn monthly diaspora inflow target faces immigration threat

Sun

Related Topics:CBN diaspora inflow Featured Immigration

Up Next

Dangote set to reduce cooking gas price, marketers kick

Don't Miss

Bitcoin soars past $121K, hitting fresh record

Auto

Carloha Rides High, Plans New EV for Nigeria After Winning Global Honours

Published

2 hours ago

May 30, 2026

Trends Admin

Carloha Rides High, Plans New EV for Nigeria After Winning Global Honours

Carloha Nigeria, the authorised dealer of Chery vehicles in Nigeria, is strengthening its position in the country’s automotive industry after clinching two prestigious global awards as it unveils plans to introduce another electric vehicle (EV) into the market.

iCAUR (iCAR) is a global youth-oriented electric vehicle brand under the Chery Group, which was developed in partnership with SmartMi Tech. The brand is focused on stylish designs and smart mobility and it is currently expanding across international markets.

Carloha Nigeria received the New Star Award and Brand Leap Contribution Award at the 2026 Chery Global Summit and Beijing International Automotive Exhibition in China. This is in recognition of its rapid market growth, brand development efforts and customer engagement initiatives.

The international recognition comes as Carloha intensifies its push into Nigeria’s growing EV space, buoyed by the positive reception of the iCAUR brand among motorists, technology enthusiasts and environmentally conscious consumers.

Managing Director, Sola Adigun, said the awards validate the company’s commitment to delivering world-class automotive solutions, while the growing acceptance of iCAUR reflects increasing consumer interest in innovative and sustainable mobility options.

“The Nigerian automotive market is evolving, and consumers are becoming increasingly receptive to innovation, sustainability and smart mobility solutions.

“The success of iCAUR has encouraged us to continue investing in the future of electric mobility in Nigeria,” he said.

Adigun disclosed that plans for the launch of a new EV are at an advanced stage, describing the move as part of a broader strategy to expand consumer choice and support Nigeria’s transition to cleaner transportation.

He added, “Winning these awards on the global stage is a strong endorsement of the work our team has done in building the Chery brand in Nigeria.

“It also demonstrates that Nigerian automotive businesses can compete successfully with the best across the world.”

According to him, Nigerian customers are increasingly demanding vehicles that combine intelligent safety technologies, premium comfort, fuel efficiency and modern design, noting that these qualities were prominently showcased by Chery at the Beijing exhibition.

“Beyond selling vehicles, our goal is to provide mobility solutions that meet the evolving needs of Nigerian families and businesses while aligning with global trends in sustainability, innovation and customer experience,” Adigun said.

At Auto China 2026, Chery also showcased its latest safety and intelligent mobility technologies, including the all-new TIGGO V and its AiMOGA robotics innovations, under its new global brand philosophy, “For Family.”
General Manager, Felix Mahan, said the awards underscore Carloha Nigeria’s commitment to excellence and customer satisfaction, adding that the company’s CarlohaCare 6-6-7 package continues to offer customers industry-leading aftersales support through a six-year warranty, six years of free service and a seven-day repair promise.
“This recognition reflects growing international confidence in both the Nigerian market and our ability to deliver world-class customer experience. We remain committed to making vehicle ownership easier, more affordable and more rewarding for our customers,” Mahan said.
With fresh global recognition and an expanded EV strategy, Carloha is positioning itself as one of the key players driving the future of sustainable mobility in Nigeria.

Business

BREAKING: Dangote Refinery Announces New Petrol, Diesel Prices

Published

6 hours ago

May 30, 2026

Trends Admin

BREAKING: Dangote Refinery Announces New Petrol, Diesel Prices

LAGOS, NIGERIA – The Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals has announced fresh reductions in the prices of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, and Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), also known as diesel, in a move that is expected to reshape pricing dynamics across Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector . Information made available to the Nigerian Tribune on Saturday by a source familiar with the development showed that the refinery has lowered the gantry price of petrol by N25 per litre, bringing it down from N1,275 to N1,250 per litre . A senior Dangote Group official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, confirmed the development and attributed the price adjustment to the recent decline in global crude oil prices. “We have reduced the petrol price to N1,250 at our gantry. This has to do with the current reduction in global oil prices, though everything is still volatile and requires caution,” the official said .

The reduction comes as depot prices were already responding to shifting supply dynamics. Market checks by Petroleumprice.ng showed that Aiteo and NIPCO were selling petrol at N1,272 per litre, while Integrated Energy, Ascon, and African Terminal were trading around N1,274 per litre, all below Dangote Refinery’s previous gantry price of N1,275 per litre . The latest price reduction comes about three weeks after reports emerged that Dangote Refinery had increased the ex-gantry price of petrol. At the time, a credible inside source disclosed that petrol continued to sell at N1,275 per litre at the refinery, hours after reports claimed that the company had raised its petrol price by N75 amid fluctuations in global crude oil prices .

The refinery has also reduced the price of Automotive Gas Oil (diesel) by N100 per litre, setting the ex-depot price at N1,700 per litre, down from the previous N1,800 per litre, according to a refinery communique sighted by petroleumprice.ng effective May 27, 2026 . However, this followed a brief reduction attempt on May 26 when the refinery had adjusted diesel prices by N200 to N1,600 per litre but retracted the announcement later the same day . Industry operators said the reversal was aimed at preventing losses among marketers and ensuring a fair adjustment across the supply chain.

READ ALSO:

Confirming the diesel price development, the National Public Relations Officer of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN) , Mr. Joseph Obele, said the reduction followed the arrival of imported petroleum cargoes into the country. “Dangote Refinery recently instituted legal action after the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) approved import licences for some marketers to bring petroleum products into the country,” Obele said . “Over the weekend, some of the vessels carrying imported products reportedly arrived, and shortly after, the refinery reduced the gantry price of diesel from N1,800 to N1,600 per litre” . He described the development as a direct result of market rivalry: “All hail competition and say no to monopoly in the petroleum industry. The more the competition, the better prices consumers will enjoy” .

The development comes amid an ongoing dispute over the issuance and renewal of import licences by the NMDPRA to marketers and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL). Industry observers say the timing of the diesel price cut is significant, as the new selling price from Dangote Refinery competes directly with imported products . Industry analysts said the diesel price cut could ease transportation and logistics costs if sustained, especially for manufacturers and businesses heavily dependent on diesel-powered operations .

Falling crude oil prices have strengthened market expectations of lower refined product prices. Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, has declined amid reports that the United States and Iran were close to reaching a ceasefire agreement . The easing of tensions between the two countries immediately impacted the oil market, with traders reacting positively to expectations of improved crude supply and reduced geopolitical risks in the Middle East . Despite the reductions at the refinery gate, checks indicate that retail prices have remained largely unchanged in many parts of the country, with several filling stations still dispensing petrol at prices above N1,350 per litre . Industry observers say the gap between ex-depot and retail prices may persist for some time as marketers work through existing stock purchased at higher rates before implementing any fresh pricing changes . The latest cuts come as competition continues to grow within Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector following the removal of fuel subsidies and the full deregulation of the market.

BREAKING: Dangote Refinery Announces New Petrol, Diesel Prices

Auto

FG Deepens CNG Expansion with 1,100-Vehicle Capacity Gas Station in Abuja

Published

12 hours ago

May 30, 2026

Trends Admin

FG Deepens CNG Expansion with 1,100-Vehicle Capacity Gas Station in Abuja

The Federal Government has intensified efforts to deepen the adoption of Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) in Nigeria with the commissioning of a high-capacity refuelling station in Abuja capable of serving more than 1,100 vehicles daily.

The newly inaugurated facility, developed by Rolling Energy Limited in partnership with the Midstream and Downstream Gas Infrastructure Fund (MDGIF), is located in Jahi, Abuja, and is expected to significantly boost access to cleaner and more affordable transportation energy.

The project forms part of the Federal Government’s broader strategy to expand Nigeria’s gas infrastructure, reduce reliance on petrol and diesel, and accelerate the transition to cleaner fuel alternatives under the Presidential Initiative on Compressed Natural Gas (Pi-CNG).

The High Capacity CNG Daughter Booster Station has a sales capacity of 1,000 Standard Cubic Metres (SCM) per hour, supported by two CNG tube skids with a combined storage capacity of 17,000 SCM.

The station also features a Mass Conversion Centre staffed by trained technicians and equipped with conversion kits capable of converting up to 20 vehicles and 25 tricycles daily, providing practical support for motorists and commercial operators seeking to switch to gas-powered transportation.

Speaking during the commissioning ceremony on Friday, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), Rt. Hon. Ekperikpe Ekpo, described the project as a major milestone in Nigeria’s drive to deepen gas utilisation and strengthen access to affordable energy solutions.

Ekpo said the facility would play a strategic role in supporting the nationwide rollout of CNG adoption, particularly as the government continues efforts to cushion the impact of rising fuel costs following the removal of petrol subsidy.

READ ALSO:

He said, “Facilities such as this are essential for building the backbone infrastructure required to support widespread CNG penetration in Nigeria.”

The minister commended Rolling Energy Limited and MDGIF for delivering the project, describing it as one of four strategic gas infrastructure projects currently being commissioned across the country.

According to him, similar projects by Ibile Oil and Gas, Portland Energy and Femadec are also being commissioned in Lagos and Owerri, signalling increased private sector confidence in the Federal Government’s gas commercialisation agenda.

Ekpo said the projects align with the Federal Government’s Decade of Gas Initiative, launched to leverage Nigeria’s estimated 215 trillion cubic feet of proven gas reserves to drive industrialisation, transportation reform, economic diversification and long-term energy security.

The minister noted that expanding gas infrastructure remains central to President Bola Tinubu’s energy transition agenda, which aims to provide Nigerians with cleaner, cheaper and more sustainable alternatives to conventional fuels.

Stakeholders in the energy sector have welcomed the development, noting that improved CNG station availability is crucial to encouraging wider adoption among private motorists, commercial transport operators and industrial users.

Analysts also say the establishment of more conversion centres and refuelling stations will help address one of the biggest barriers to mass CNG adoption — inadequate infrastructure.

The Federal Government has reiterated its commitment to supporting private-sector-led investments to ensure that CNG refuelling stations become accessible across major cities and transport corridors nationwide.