Politics
2023 elections in jeopardy over in-fighting at INEC
There is palpable tension in the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, over the continued push by the All Progressives Congress, APC, leadership to ensure the participation of Senate President, Ahmad Lawan, and Godswill Akpabio, in the 2023 senatorial elections of Yobe North Senatorial District and Akwa Ibom North West Senatorial District, respectively.
Contrary to what the leadership of INEC had told Nigerians, that the commission is legally bound to stand by the monitoring reports received from “our state offices”, verified pieces of information available to Vanguard suggest that INEC may have ignored these reports in some states of the federation including Kano, Sokoto, Abia, Ogun, Oyo, Akwa lbom.
This has not gone down well with some Resident Electoral Commissioners, RECs, according to Vanguard sources.
In fact, morale of INEC staff at some of the state offices has been dampened because some of the reports of the monitoring committees are either being tampered with or ignored.
As a result of this, INEC has instigated and encouraged so many litigations in various federal high courts across the country. As at the last count, the Commission acknowledged that there are over 300 cases filed in court that it is joined as a party.
That is not all.
The Election and Political Parties’ Monitoring, EPM, and Legal Department of the Commission, under the direction and control of INEC leadership, have become theatres of intrigues, as politicians are preying on both departments to perfect their underhand ploys.
As it is for APC, so it is for PDP
APC and intrigues at INEC Hq
Vanguard was reliably informed by highly strategic sources at INEC headquarters that the Commission accepted from leadership of the APC, particulars of candidates that claimed to have conducted primaries that its State offices did not monitor.
For instance, in Kano, where the REC, Professor Risikuwa Shehu-Arabu, addressed the press recently that the only governorship primary the state office monitored produced Mohammed Abacha, son of maximum dictator General Sani Abacha, this was changed by APC leadership and INEC’s EPM Department for one Ambassador Sadiq Wali.
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In Yobe State, where Senate President Ahmed Lawan has tried unsuccessfully, so far, with APC leadership, to intimidate Bashir Sheriff Machina, the winner of the senatorial election to step down, other forces have been mobilised, with a view to getting the name of the senate president on the ballot.
Vanguard was made to understand that an attempt was made to persuade the immediate past REC in Yobe, Ahmed Makama, who had served as a special adviser to former President Olusegun Obasanjo, to endorse as received, a letter dated June 7, 2022, instead of its original which had a June 22, 2022, date, when the letter allegedly got to the Yobe office of INEC from the leadership of the APC. This happened before the REC handed over upon expiration of his tenure, last month.
REC Makama rebuffed all entreaties.
The letter would have suggested that the APC leadership had earlier given indication to INEC that a fresh senatorial primary was in the offing as early as June 7, 2022, wherein the senate president may have participated in a primary monitored by INEC as stipulated by law.
But the letter itself would have created an impossible scenario as Senator Lawan was contesting for the presidential ticket at the party’s convention in Abuja at about June 7, 2022.
Under section 84(1) of the Electoral Act 2022, monitoring of party primaries by INEC is mandatory. The Act used the word, shall, twice, to underscore the importance.
It states that “A political party seeking to nominate candidates for elections under this Act shall hold primaries for aspirants to all elective positions which shall be monitored by the Commission”
Section 29(1) of the 2022 Act provides that only “candidates that emerged from valid primary” can be submitted to INEC for publication.
Section 84(13) states that where a political party fails to comply with the provision of the Act, INEC shall reject the names submitted to it by political parties.
Just as it happened in Kano, the story is same in Abia, where, in the previously published particulars of NASS candidates, INEC that monitored Abia Central Senatorial District primary won by Hon. Sam Onuigbo, who defeated his closest rival, Chief Henry Okoh, by 157 to 152 votes, INEC has, surprisingly, accepted from APC, one Emeka Atuma, who Onuigbo alleged, did not buy nomination form for senate and never participated in the process, to replace the winner.
Again in the just published particulars of candidates 48 hours ago, APC NWC first wrote a letter for the use of direct mode of primary that was monitored by INEC state office, but another parallel primary with indirect method was allegedly held at another venue not monitored by INEC, yet a former civil servant staff of INEC recently appointed as national commissioner instructed that the name of the individual from the so called indirect primary conducted without ward, LGA and state delegates should be forwarded and the primary monitored by state office ignored.
Worst still is Akwa lbom State, where out of the 26 candidates that emerged from valid primary conducted and monitored by INEC state office, only two names were taken from the report of the state office.
No APC governorship candidate, in line with the state office report.
Instead, the APC leadership chose to pick just two names from the list of primaries monitored by INEC, and uploaded to INEC 24 names of candidates not monitored by INEC.
Curiously, INEC published names of candidates not monitored by its state office. and published by the election management body remains a puzzle.
PDP and INEC’s indifference to court order
In Delta State, where there was a valid Federal High Court judgment served on INEC, with specific unequivocal orders of court that disqualified Mr. Sherrif Oborevwhori and “commanded” both PDP(2nd defendant) and INEC(3rd defendant) separately, as parties, to replace the disqualified Oborevwori with the name of Mr. David Edevbie, both PDP and INEC are yet to comply with the orders of the court.
Instead, INEC wrote a letter merely to remind PDP of the judgment.
The letter completely betrayed INEC’s reluctance to enforce the order of the court, compared to the content of similar letters circulating in the social media in respect of court orders to PDP in the past.
In its letter to the National Chairman of PDP, dated 27th June, 2022, and signed by Rose Oriaran-Anthony, Secretary to the Commission, and titled NOTIFICATION OF PENDING ORDERS IN SUIT NO. FHC/ABJ/CS/807/2022 BETWEEN DR. MICHAEL ONOLEMEMEN & 2ORS. V. INEC, SUIT NO. FHC/ABJ/808/(2022)BETWEEN BARRISTER NOSA ADAMS & 8ORS. V. INEC & SUIT FHC/ABJ/809/2022 BETWEEN CHRISTABEL O. EKWU & 23ORS. V. INEC AND THE NEED TO COMPLY WITH THEM, INEC said
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“The Commission hereby draws the attention of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) to the Orders of Court arising from the three (3) suits listed above.
“2. In line with the Orders of Court, the Commission is restrained from accepting and recognising any list of candidates other than the list containing the names of the plaintiffs as the PDP’s duly nominated candidates for the election of the seats of:
“a. Senators representing the senatorial zones of Edo North, Edo South and Edo Central of Edo State,
“b. Nine Federal House of Representatives of Edo State, and
“c. The twenty four House of Assembly Constituencies across Edo State.
“3. Accordingly, the Commission expects the PDP to forward the nomination forms of the respective candidates as ordered by the Federal High Court, Abuja.
“4. Please accept the assurance of theCOmmission’s warm regards.”
As a reminder last week, INEC again wrote to the PDP National Chairman on 18th July, 2022.
The letter, titled, RE: SUIT NO FHC/ABJ/CS/795/2022 BETWEEN DAVID EDEV(B)IE V. OBOREVWHORI SHERRIF FRANCIS OROWEDOR AND 2ORS., stated thus:
“This is to draw your attention (to the Judgment) Order of the Federal High Court of Nigeria, Abuja, in the above mentioned suit which has been served on the Commission.
“2. While hoping your party takes note of the Judgment Order, please accept the assurance of the Commission’s warm regards.”
The letter was signed by Rose Oriaran-Anthony, Secretary to the Commission. Right now, the Commission is funtus officio in the two cases.
Pressure on INEC
However, its National Chairman, Professor Mahmoud Yakubu, has come under heavy pressure, specifically in the case of Senator Lawan and Akpabio from the leadership of the APC.
He is yet to shift ground.
Although, in a July 9, 2022, press release issued by Festus Okoye, Esq. National Commissioner and Chairman, Information and Voter Education Committee, the Commission made its position clear.
Inter alia, Okoye stated in the release, “…. In relation to the primaries for the Akwa Ibom North West and Yobe North senatorial districts, the Commission stands by the monitoring reports received from our state offices. For this reason, the Commission did not publish the personal particulars of any candidates for the two constituencies at variance with the state reports.”
Sources at INEC informed Vanguard that political parties, particularly the ruling APC, is mounting pressure on the leadership of the Commission.
Vanguard was made to understand that some of the back and forth that has gone on in recent days about names published by INEC as candidates, some of who did not participate in primaries monitored by INEC, or did not even purchase nomination forms, may not be unconnected with underhand moves going on at the Commission.Vanguad was told that some of INEC’s recent publications containing names of those whose nomination fell short of legal requirement is a “testing of the waters because the Lawan and Akpabio situations have become very notorious and delicate”.
An aggrieved INEC Commissioner at its national headquarters expressed worry that “if the Commission is allowing itself to be seen as complicit in party affairs, this will erode the confidence of the people in INEC’s own electioneering activities when it takes charge of general elections. Does it mean INEC would become unreliable?”
Femi Falana’s position
In an ARISE television interview, Femi Falana, SAN, expressed worry at the lack-lustre attitude of the political leadership in the country to obey simple laws.
According to him, Section 115(D) of the Electoral Act, 2022, which Senate President Lawan helped package “has criminalised double nomination.
“So, you can’t say that you took part in the presidential primary and you took part in the senatorial primary at the same time. Under that section of the law, double nomination attracts two years imprisonment.
“Again, I will expect INEC to draw the attention of the APC to the provision of the law that ‘you’re playing with fire’”.
Falana’s position came against the background of the moves by the APC leadership to seek to ensure that the names of Lawan and Akpabio are forwarded as senatorial candidates in Akwa Ibom and Yobe State.
Section 115(D), in respect of nomination offences, states that it is an offence when “a person…signs a nomination paper or result form as a candidate in more than one constituency at the same election”.
VANGUARD
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Politics
Accord Party, Governor Adeleke Adopt Tinubu as 2027 Presidential Candidate
Accord Party, Governor Adeleke Adopt Tinubu as 2027 Presidential Candidate
President Bola Tinubu has been adopted as the preferred presidential candidate for the 2027 election by Osun State Governor Ademola Adeleke and the national leadership of the Accord Party. The decision was reached during a meeting held on Saturday night in Osogbo, the Osun State capital, bringing together top officials of the party from across the country, including members of the National Working Committee and state chairmen. According to a statement issued on Sunday by Adeleke’s re-election campaign spokesman, Pelumi Olajengbesi, discussions at the meeting focused on the future of the party, national development issues and preparations ahead of the forthcoming Osun governorship election. Party leaders said their support for Tinubu was influenced by the need for continuity in ongoing infrastructure projects being executed by the Federal Government, stressing that major road projects across the country should be completed without interruption.
Among the projects highlighted were the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway and the Sokoto-Badagry Super Highway. The party leadership maintained that continuity would help ensure the successful delivery of the projects and their expected economic benefits. According to the party, it is crucial for the Tinubu administration to complete these ongoing legacy projects as they are critical to the country’s development. The meeting also reviewed the political atmosphere ahead of the August governorship election in Osun State. Leaders of the party called for a peaceful electoral process and urged all stakeholders to avoid actions capable of undermining the credibility of the poll. They warned against violence, intimidation of political opponents, electoral malpractice and the alleged use of security agencies to harass members of the party during the election period. The party further appealed to the Independent National Electoral Commission, security agencies and other relevant institutions to ensure a level playing field for all contestants.
Several national officers attended the meeting. They included the National Chairman of the Accord Party, Maxwell Mgbudem; Deputy National Chairman, Maryam Sale; National Secretary, Ajaja Abiola Adebukola; National Treasurer, Abdulazeez Oyeniyi Salaudeen; National Organising Secretary, Ibe Thankgod; and National Publicity Secretary, Omorogbe Joseph. Also present were state chairmen and other senior party officials drawn from different parts of the country. The endorsement marks another significant political development in the growing relationship between Adeleke and the Accord Party following the governor’s alignment with the platform ahead of the Osun governorship election. Party leaders at the meeting expressed confidence in Adeleke’s chances in the forthcoming poll and pledged to mobilise support structures across the state to secure victory. They also reaffirmed their commitment to strengthening the party nationwide while positioning it for future political contests.
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Governor Ademola Adeleke publicly reaffirmed his support for President Bola Tinubu’s second-term ambition on several occasions, describing the move as being in the interest of Osun State and the South-West region. Speaking on May this year, during an inspection of the ongoing reconstruction work on the Ibadan-Ile Ife-Ilesa Expressway, Adeleke said his support for the President went beyond partisan politics. The governor described Tinubu as “our own son, father and leader,” insisting that he needed no persuasion to back the President’s re-election bid. “I am the governor of the ancestral birthplace of Mr President. How can I have my own in the saddle and think twice before embracing him? I need no persuasion to act as I have declared repeatedly our endorsement of Mr President,” Adeleke said. He added that the endorsement was a “moral and development-driven action” aimed at advancing the interests of Osun State and the Yoruba people. The governor maintained that supporting Tinubu would help sustain ongoing federal projects and strengthen cooperation between Osun State and the Federal Government. The position was again repeated in June, when Adeleke formally flagged off his re-election campaign in Osogbo. Addressing supporters at the event, he declared: “As we seek your votes on August 15, we also restate our endorsement of our son, father and leader, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, for re-election in 2027. Our support for Mr President is unshaken and total.”
Despite the national leadership’s endorsement, there has been internal friction within the Accord Party regarding this move. Dr. Gbenga Olawepo-Hashim, who reportedly emerged as the party’s presidential candidate through direct primaries, and his supporters have warned Governor Adeleke that his support for Tinubu could lead to internal divisions similar to those that weakened the Peoples Democratic Party. His support group, the Gbenga Hashim Solidarity Movement (GHSM), argued that Adeleke’s endorsement of Tinubu was made before he joined the Accord Party and should not be presented as a reflection of the party’s national position. GHSM further stated that the national leadership of Accord Party later engaged Olawepo-Hashim in March 2026 as part of efforts to build a broader political platform ahead of the 2027 presidential election, resulting in him emerging as the party’s candidate through open direct primaries. The group warned that Governor Adeleke’s approach within Accord Party could create internal contradictions similar to those that affected the PDP, stressing that political parties could only thrive when members respect party structures and collective decisions. “Accord Party must not travel the same path that weakened PDP. A political party cannot survive when individual calculations are placed above the collective aspirations of its members,” the group stated. GHSM also claimed that 24 state chairmen of the Accord Party had endorsed Olawepo-Hashim, while noting that the legal dispute surrounding the party’s presidential primary is currently before the Federal High Court in Abuja. The group said it would refrain from making public comments on the matter because it was already before the court.
Accord Party, Governor Adeleke Adopt Tinubu as 2027 Presidential Candidate
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Politics
Obasanjo Brokered Obi-Kwankwaso Ticket, Remains Principal Sponsor – Akin Osuntokun
Obasanjo Brokered Obi-Kwankwaso Ticket, Remains Principal Sponsor – Akin Osuntokun
A former Political Adviser to ex-President Olusegun Obasanjo, Akin Osuntokun, has revealed that the former Nigerian leader personally brokered the political alliance between Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso and remains the principal force behind their joint presidential ticket for the 2027 election. The disclosure has sent shockwaves through Nigeria’s political landscape, offering a rare glimpse into the backroom negotiations shaping the opposition’s challenge to the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC). Osuntokun made the revelation during an interview on Arise Television on Sunday while firmly dismissing suggestions that Obasanjo was secretly working for President Bola Tinubu’s re-election bid. He argued that such claims were inconsistent with the former president’s political actions, insisting that Obasanjo had instead played a leading role in bringing Obi and Kwankwaso together as running mates under the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) ticket.
“If you can say that Obasanjo is supporting any ticket, it is the Peter Obi–Kwankwaso ticket. As a matter of fact, he is the principal sponsor of that ticket,” Osuntokun declared during the interview. He maintained that allegations linking Obasanjo with Tinubu’s political camp lacked logic, especially considering the former president’s alleged involvement in putting the opposition ticket together. “So how do you then suggest that he is secretly working for Tinubu? It does not make sense to me. I think that claim is absolute bunkum. The evidence is in the public domain. Obasanjo is playing a major role in supporting the Obi-Kwankwaso ticket. He was the one who brought the two men together,” he added. When pressed to confirm whether Obasanjo actually brokered the ticket, Osuntokun stood firmly by his remarks. “Yes, of course. That’s what I said. He brokered the ticket between Obi and Kwankwaso. Both of them are quite close to him. It is a ticket that makes sense and has the potential to make a significant impact in the 2027 election. I can tell you for free that he was the one who brought the ticket together,” Osuntokun stated.
The former adviser also revealed that discussions for an Obi-Kwankwaso alliance could have materialized much earlier, saying talks had taken place several years before the current arrangement. “Kwankwaso could have teamed up with Obi four years ago. I remember him saying that if they had agreed then, they would probably have had an arrangement in which they would each spend one term in office, and Kwankwaso would now have been the beneficiary,” he said. He stressed that Obasanjo’s role in the alliance was already public knowledge and questioned why anyone would conclude that the former president was supporting Tinubu simply because the president visited him in 2023. Beyond the political alliance, Osuntokun also rejected claims that former President Obasanjo manipulated the 2003 elections to undermine Alliance for Democracy (AD) governors in the South-West. He described conspiracy theories surrounding that election as unfounded, insisting there were logical reasons why the AD governors lost. “I was very active during that period and I can say categorically that nothing of that sort happened. The election in which the AD governors lost can be explained state by state,” he said.
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Fresh details have emerged over the political arrangement underpinning the NDC presidential ticket, with the party’s vice-presidential candidate, Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso, revealing that he and the presidential candidate, Peter Obi, signed a written agreement committing the former Anambra State governor to serve only a single four-year term if elected in 2027. The disclosure places the issue of power rotation at the centre of the unfolding 2027 political contest, with Kwankwaso presenting the agreement as part of a broader understanding designed to preserve national balance and sustain cooperation within the party beyond the next election cycle. Speaking during an interview on Channels Television, Kwankwaso said the understanding was not merely verbal but documented through formal agreements reached by both leaders. According to him, the arrangement provides that if the NDC wins the 2027 presidential election, Obi would complete one four-year tenure between 2027 and 2031, after which the presidency would return to Northern Nigeria. “We have agreed to formalise it in writing. We have executed one document for the party and another between the two of us,” Kwankwaso stated.
Responding to questions on whether Obi’s commitment to a single term could be relied upon, Kwankwaso expressed confidence that the former governor would abide by the agreement. “I personally believe him. Based on what I know about him, I don’t think he will change his mind when the time comes. We are all gentlemen, and we have accepted to put it on paper,” he said. He explained that both agreements were designed to guide the partnership throughout the life of a potential administration while laying the foundation for an orderly political transition at the end of the proposed four-year tenure. “The agreement is that after four years, we will continue to work together as a party, as friends and brothers, so that after our four-year term, from 2027 to 2031, power returns to the North. That is the consensus,” he said. Kwankwaso also explained the circumstances that informed his decision to accept the vice-presidential nomination despite previously pursuing the presidency, saying the decision was anchored on what both leaders considered the principles of fairness, equity and national inclusion. According to him, the two politicians reached a consensus that the South should produce the president for one term before the office rotates back to the North, describing the arrangement as one intended to reinforce national cohesion and political stability.
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The formal power-sharing arrangement between Obi and Kwankwaso aligns with the broader zoning framework already adopted by the NDC at its maiden National Convention held in Abuja in May 2026. At that convention, delegates overwhelmingly endorsed a power-rotation formula designed to promote national unity and balance regional interests. Under the resolution, the NDC declared that its presidential candidate for the 2027 general election must emerge from Southern Nigeria and, if elected, serve only one term ending in 2031. After that, the party’s presidential ticket will rotate to Northern Nigeria for the next electoral cycle. The motion was moved by Afam Victor Ogene, who represents Ogbaru Federal Constituency in Anambra State, and was overwhelmingly endorsed by party delegates. Announcing the resolution, the National Chairman of the party, Moses Cleopas, said the arrangement was aimed at promoting equity, inclusiveness and stability within the growing opposition coalition ahead of the 2027 general elections. He explained that under the agreement reached by party stakeholders, the South would produce the party’s presidential candidate in 2027 for only one term of four years, after which the ticket would automatically rotate to Northern Nigeria in 2031. “It will be the turn of the North in 2031,” Cleopas declared while addressing delegates at the convention.
Addressing delegates at the convention, Obi described the NDC as a platform for “national liberation”, insisting Nigerians would resist every attempt to undermine democracy and credible elections. The former presidential candidate warned against attempts to entrench one-party dominance in the country. “We cannot have one party in Nigeria. Nigeria must have democracy. Those who think there will be no free and fair elections in 2027 should rethink because Nigerians will insist on credible elections,” he declared. Obi also painted a grim picture of the nation’s socio-economic situation, claiming that over 140 million Nigerians were living in multidimensional poverty while millions of youths remained unemployed or underemployed. “Nigeria is not poor. Nigeria was looted into poverty, and we are coming to reverse that situation,” he added. Kwankwaso, while endorsing the zoning arrangement at the convention, described it as a necessary step toward fairness, equity and national healing. “It is therefore with great sense of unity and solidarity that as a loyal party member, I support the decision to zone the presidential ticket of the NDC to the South so that it allows the region to complete its turn in producing national leadership,” he stated. He expressed optimism that the NDC would emerge as a platform for national renewal, anchored on inclusive leadership devoid of ethnic and religious bias. “This party shall also ensure to change the way things are done today by prioritising leadership without ethnic jingoism and religious favouritism,” he added.
The emergence of the Obi-Kwankwaso ticket has reshaped political calculations ahead of the 2027 presidential election. Political observers believe the alliance combines Obi’s strong support among young voters, professionals and urban residents with Kwankwaso’s influence through the Kwankwasiyya Movement in Kano and parts of northern Nigeria. Supporters of the ticket argue that the partnership gives the NDC a broader national appeal by bringing together a South-East Christian and a North-West Muslim, while also reducing the fragmentation of opposition votes. The Nigeria Democratic Congress and the Obidient Movement have dismissed former National Chairman of the APC, Abdullahi Ganduje’s claim that the presidential ticket lacks the political legacy to win the 2027 election. Abdulmumin Abdulsalam, Deputy National Publicity Secretary of the NDC, dismissed Ganduje’s comments as inconsequential, saying the former APC chairman had lost political relevance in Kano. He argued that Obi’s electoral performance in the 2023 presidential election demonstrated his national appeal and predicted that the former Anambra governor would attract even more votes in 2027.
However, analysts have also pointed to major challenges facing the alliance, including the organisational strength of the ruling APC, the political influence of the African Democratic Congress, and questions over whether the combined support bases of both candidates will translate into electoral victory in 2027. The APC has dismissed the NDC’s zoning arrangement as no threat to Tinubu’s second-term ambition, insisting that the ruling party remained firmly in control of the nation’s political structure ahead of the 2027 polls. APC National Chairman, Nentawe Yilwatda, argued that the real political battle ahead of 2027 was not between the APC and the NDC, but among opposition parties themselves.
Akin Osuntokun, who served as Political Adviser to President Olusegun Obasanjo between 1999 and 2007, is a Nigerian political scientist, strategist, researcher, administrator, journalist and writer with experience in media advocacy, policy research and implementation and political analysis. He was later appointed Director of the Presidential Campaign of the Peoples Democratic Party in the 2011 general elections. In December 2022, he was announced by the Nigerian Labour Party as the Director General of the Obi-Datti Presidential Campaign Council to lead the 2023 presidential election campaign of Peter Obi. Osuntokun has previously spoken about the fragmentation within Nigeria’s opposition parties, warning that the lack of a united coalition among key figures such as Obi, Kwankwaso and Atiku Abubakar is giving the ruling APC a clear advantage ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
Obasanjo Brokered Obi-Kwankwaso Ticket, Remains Principal Sponsor – Akin Osuntokun
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Politics
Why Buhari refused to publicly endorse Tinubu before APC primary – Babachir Lawal
Why Buhari refused to publicly endorse Tinubu before APC primary – Babachir Lawal
Former Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), Babachir Lawal, has disclosed that late former President Muhammadu Buhari deliberately chose not to publicly endorse President Bola Tinubu ahead of the All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential primary in 2022 because of concerns rooted in his religious beliefs, personal ethics and reservations about Tinubu’s suitability to succeed him.
Lawal made the revelation during an interview on Symfoni TV, offering fresh insight into the internal consultations and political calculations that shaped the APC‘s presidential primary, which eventually produced Tinubu as the party’s candidate for the 2023 election.
According to the former SGF, Buhari acknowledged Tinubu’s immense contributions to the APC and his role in helping the party secure electoral victories in 2015 and 2019. However, he said the former president remained conflicted over whether to openly support Tinubu’s presidential ambition.
Lawal explained that Tinubu played a critical role in Buhari’s political journey by mobilising influential political leaders, coordinating campaign strategies and strengthening the APC’s national structure during previous election campaigns.
He recalled confronting Buhari with those facts, arguing that it would be unfair to frustrate Tinubu’s ambition after benefiting from his political support.
“Bola Tinubu brought people and we changed the trajectory of the campaign through those his people. Buhari is a decent man, and I confronted him with those facts because I was there,” Lawal said.
According to Lawal, Buhari did not dispute Tinubu’s contributions but insisted that his personal convictions made it difficult for him to openly support the former Lagos State governor.
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The former SGF said that as the APC presidential primary approached, he proposed a compromise that would allow Buhari to remain neutral while leaving the final decision to party delegates.
He said he advised the former president that neutrality would protect his integrity while allowing the democratic process within the APC to determine its presidential candidate.
“I told him, ‘Stay neutral and allow the party faithful to decide. If delegates reject him, then your hands are clean because you did not stop him,'” Lawal recounted.
However, Buhari was initially unconvinced.
According to Lawal, the former president argued that if he was allowed to supervise the process, Tinubu would almost certainly emerge as the APC‘s presidential candidate because of Lawal’s political strategy and longstanding relationship with him.
“He told me, ‘I know you. Since 2002 we have worked together. If I leave the process to you, Bola Tinubu will get the ticket.’ I replied, ‘Are you now a prophet?'” Lawal said.
Lawal explained that he eventually persuaded Buhari by reminding him that even if Tinubu secured the APC ticket, Nigerians would still have the final say during the presidential election.
He also revealed that Buhari expressed concern about whether Tinubu, if elected president, would treat members of their political camp fairly and protect their political interests.
Lawal said he assured Buhari that those concerns could be addressed through continued dialogue and engagement.
Following the discussions, Buhari agreed to adopt a neutral position throughout the APC presidential primary process.
Instead of publicly endorsing any aspirant, the then president repeatedly urged delegates to vote according to their conscience and choose the candidate they believed best represented the party’s ideals.
That neutral stance became one of the defining moments of the 2022 APC presidential primary, as Buhari resisted pressure from different political interests to openly back any of the leading contenders.
At the APC Special National Convention held in Abuja in June 2022, Tinubu defeated former Vice President Yemi Osinbajo, former Minister of Transportation Rotimi Amaechi, former Senate President Ahmad Lawan, former Kogi State Governor Yahaya Bello, and several other aspirants to emerge as the party’s presidential candidate.
Tinubu went on to win the 2023 presidential election and was sworn in as Nigeria’s President on May 29, 2023.
Lawal’s latest comments provide one of the most detailed public accounts yet of the consultations that preceded the APC primary and have reignited debate over Buhari’s succession strategy and the internal dynamics that shaped the ruling party’s presidential ticket.
Political analysts say the revelations are likely to fuel fresh discussions within the APC as political stakeholders begin positioning ahead of the 2027 general election, with Buhari’s leadership decisions continuing to attract public interest even after his death.
Why Buhari refused to publicly endorse Tinubu before APC primary – Babachir Lawal
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