Remittances to Nigeria drop by 28% – World Bank - Newstrends
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Remittances to Nigeria drop by 28% – World Bank

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Remittance inflow to Nigeria dropped by 28 per cent in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the World Bank has said.
The bank added that remittance flows fell for sub-Saharan Africa by 12.5 per cent, according to its Migration and Development Brief 33 Phase 11 entitled: “COVID-19 Crisis Through a Migration Lens’’ published on Thursday.
The report said the decline in remittance flows to Nigeria was largely responsible for the fall in remittance flows to sub-Saharan Africa.
“The decline in flows to sub-Saharan Africa was almost entirely due to a 28 per cent decline in remittance flows to Nigeria.
“Excluding flows to Nigeria, remittances to sub-Saharan Africa increased by 2.3 per cent, demonstrating resilience,’’ the report stated.
According to the report, the relatively strong performance of remittance flows during the COVID-19 crisis has also highlighted the importance of timely availability of data.
It stated that given its growing significance as a source of external financing for low and middle-income countries, there was need for better collection of data on remittances.
It emphasised that there was need for better collection of data on remittances, in terms of frequency, timely reporting, and granularity by corridor and channel.
With global growth expected to rebound further in 2021 and 2022, remittance flows to low and middle- income countries are expected to increase by 2.6 per cent to $553bn in 2021 and by 2.2 per cent to $565bn in 2022.
The report stated that global average cost of sending $200 remained high at 6.5 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2020, more than double the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) target of three per cent.
It stated that sub-Saharan Africa continued to have the highest average cost (8.2 per cent) adding that supporting the remittance infrastructure and keeping remittances flowing includes efforts to lower fees.
The true size of remittances, which includes formal and informal flows, is believed to be larger than officially reported data, though the extent of the impact of COVID-19 on informal flows is unclear.
“As COVID-19 still devastates families around the world, remittances continue to provide a critical lifeline for the poor and vulnerable,” said Michal Rutkowski, Global Director of the Social Protection and Jobs Global Practice at the World Bank.
“Supportive policy responses, together with national social protection systems, should continue to be inclusive of all communities, including migrants,” he said.

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Dangote Refinery Raises $2.5bn, Eyes Africa’s Biggest IPO in August

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Dangote Refinery Raises $2.5bn, Eyes Africa’s Biggest IPO in August

Dangote Refinery Raises $2.5bn, Eyes Africa’s Biggest IPO in August

Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote, is nearing the completion of a $2.5 billion private share placement** for Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals FZE, marking a transformative milestone ahead of what is expected to be Africa’s largest initial public offering. According to a Bloomberg report on Friday, the fundraising exercise values the Lagos-based refinery at approximately **$40 billion, reflecting surging investor confidence in the continent’s biggest single-train refinery and one of its most valuable industrial assets. The private placement reportedly attracted overwhelming demand, drawing about **$4 billion in investor interest**—significantly exceeding the shares on offer. The transaction was executed in phases, with an initial $2 billion share sale followed by an additional $500 million raised, largely backed by regional institutional investors. This oversubscription underscores the growing appetite for high-quality African industrial assets and signals strong market confidence in the refinery’s long-term commercial viability.

According to sources familiar with the transaction, the refinery sold a stake representing up to six percent of the company. Investors were required to subscribe for a minimum of one million shares, valued at $350,000**, with additional purchases available in blocks of 500,000 shares. The shares are subject to a **365-day lock-up period**, a standard provision designed to prevent immediate sell-offs and ensure price stability following the listing. The placement was oversubscribed within weeks of opening, demonstrating extraordinary demand from both institutional and high-net-worth investors. Femi Otedola, chairman of FirstHoldCo, committed **$100 million to the private placement, reportedly liquidating his entire holding in Geregu Power Plc to fund the investment. In a significant regulatory development, Nigeria’s pension regulator also cleared retirement funds to participate for the first time, opening a pool of savings worth more than $17 billion to the listing. This unprecedented access to pension assets is expected to drive substantial retail participation in the forthcoming public offering.

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The private placement follows another successful fundraising exercise in which the company recently secured $750 million through an international bond offering carrying a 7.5 percent fixed coupon. The senior unsecured notes, arranged jointly by J.P. Morgan, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, and Standard Chartered Bank, will mature on July 16, 2031, and were structured as a Rule 144A private placement targeted at institutional investors in the United States and other eligible markets. The bond issuance signals that global investors are increasingly backing the refinery’s commercial performance rather than simply its ambitious vision. The 7.5 percent coupon came in marginally below the 7.875 percent yield on Nigeria’s June 2031 sovereign Eurobond, indicating that investors priced Dangote’s corporate risk close to, and in this case slightly inside, the federal government’s own borrowing cost. This is a remarkable vote of confidence in the refinery’s management and operational execution.

The refinery’s public listing could raise an additional $1.5 billion to $2 billion, with the initial public offering expected as early as August, though the timeline remains subject to market conditions and regulatory approvals. The listing is expected to land on the Nigerian Exchange, and Dangote has also signaled interest in a pan-African listing across multiple exchanges, potentially including the London Stock Exchange. The planned IPO has remained one of the most closely watched transactions in Nigeria’s investment landscape. However, excitement surrounding the anticipated share sale was tempered in late June when Nigeria’s Securities and Exchange Commission halted promotional activities linked to an unauthorized public offering. The regulator clarified that Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals had neither filed for nor received regulatory approval to launch an IPO at that time. The prospectus has since been submitted to the SEC for review and approval under the Investment and Securities Act 2025, and the company is now working closely with regulators to ensure full compliance.

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The fresh capital is expected to support the refinery’s ambitious expansion program. According to company executives, proceeds from the fundraising will be used to double the refinery’s processing capacity from 700,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day by 2028, positioning it among the world’s largest refining complexes. This expansion will place the facility in the same league as global giants like India’s Jamnagar Refinery and Venezuela’s Paraguana Refinery Complex. The refinery has already achieved significant operational milestones that validate its technical capabilities. In a recent performance test conducted by process licensors, the facility processed 700,000 barrels of crude oil per day, surpassing its official nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day. Devakumar Edwin, Vice President of Oil and Gas at Dangote Industries, said the higher throughput is part of a strategy to lift capacity within 30 months. This operational excellence has been a key factor in attracting both debt and equity investors to the project.

The 650,000-barrel-per-day refinery, which began production in 2024, has significantly ramped up output of diesel, jet fuel, naphtha, and petrol, sharply cutting Nigeria’s reliance on fuel imports. The facility has increasingly emerged as a strategic supplier of refined petroleum products across Africa following disruptions in traditional international supply chains caused by geopolitical tensions. Data from energy analytics firm Kpler shows exports from the refinery climbed sharply from 168,000 barrels per day in February to 353,000 barrels per day in April. Roughly half of those exports were shipped to other African countries, underscoring the refinery’s growing role in reducing the continent’s dependence on imported fuels from Europe and Asia. This shift has major implications for Africa’s energy security and foreign exchange conservation, as countries can now source refined products within the continent at more competitive prices.

The sources disclosed that Dangote is deliberately prioritizing African participation in both the private placement and the forthcoming public offering. According to them, “Dangote’s emphasis on African investor participation in the private placements and the retail offering of the IPO is consistent with the billionaire’s push for greater regional ownership in the financing of the continent’s industrial development.” The planned public offering would be widely marketed to Nigerians, other Africans, and international retail investors in an effort to attract broad demand from ordinary citizens. This democratization of ownership aligns with Dangote’s long-standing vision of creating shared prosperity and ensuring that Africans benefit directly from the continent’s industrial renaissance. The company has reportedly engaged multiple communications firms to design a comprehensive retail marketing campaign targeting first-time investors across Nigeria.

If completed, the listing is expected to rank among the largest capital market transactions ever undertaken in Africa, potentially raising between $1.5 billion and $2 billion in fresh equity while allowing retail and institutional investors to own shares in one of the continent’s most valuable industrial assets. Market analysts project that the IPO could significantly deepen Nigeria’s capital markets and attract renewed international investor interest in the country’s equities. The Dangote Refinery IPO is widely expected to be the single biggest factor shaping activities in the equities market over the coming months. The size of the offer is likely to trigger widespread portfolio rebalancing as many investors sell existing shares to free up funds for the highly anticipated public offer. This dynamic could create both opportunities and challenges for other listed companies seeking to raise capital in the near term. The expansion comes at a time when global energy markets continue to adjust to supply disruptions triggered by geopolitical tensions, with several countries seeking alternative fuel suppliers. The refinery’s strategic location on the Atlantic coast positions it well to serve both African and international markets, potentially capturing market share from European and Asian refiners.

Dangote Refinery Raises $2.5bn, Eyes Africa’s Biggest IPO in August

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Court Strips FRSC of Powers to Operate on State, Local Government Roads

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Court Strips FRSC of Powers to Operate on State, Local Government Roads

Court Strips FRSC of Powers to Operate on State, Local Government Roads

In a landmark judgment that could redefine the operational scope of the Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC) across Nigeria, a Federal High Court in Kano has ruled that the agency has no legal authority to enforce traffic regulations on roads under the control of state and local governments. The ruling, delivered on Thursday, July 16, 2026, by Justice M. S. Shuaibu, declared that FRSC personnel acted unlawfully when they stopped, questioned, and delayed motorists on township roads within the Kano metropolis in July 2025. The court held that such actions constituted a violation of citizens’ fundamental rights to personal liberty and freedom of movement.

Delivering the judgment, Justice Shuaibu ruled that the FRSC’s enabling law restricts the corps’ operations to federal highways only, and does not extend its jurisdiction to roads owned and managed by state governments or local government councils. The judgment came in response to a fundamental rights enforcement suit filed by Abba Hikima, a Kano-based lawyer who was stopped by FRSC operatives at a checkpoint on a township road in July 2025. According to court documents, the operatives demanded to see his driver’s licence and questioned him despite the fact that he had committed no traffic offence. Dissatisfied with what he described as harassment and an abuse of power, Hikima approached the Federal High Court, arguing that the FRSC had overstepped its statutory mandate.

In his ruling, Justice Shuaibu held that the FRSC’s actions breached Section 35 (Right to Personal Liberty) and Section 41 (Right to Freedom of Movement) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. The judge noted that stopping motorists without reasonable cause, detaining them for questioning, and demanding documents without lawful authority amounted to an infringement on the constitutional guarantees enjoyed by every Nigerian citizen.

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Consequently, Justice Shuaibu granted all the key reliefs sought by the applicant, including a perpetual injunction restraining FRSC officials and their agents from stopping, harassing, detaining, or interfering with motorists on Kano State roads without lawful authority. The court also directed the FRSC to publish a public apology to Mr. Abba Hikima in a national newspaper within a specified timeframe, and awarded ₦800,000 in damages and litigation costs in favour of the applicant, payable by the FRSC.

This Kano ruling is not the first judicial decision to limit the FRSC’s operational territory. In 2019, a Federal High Court in Warri delivered a similar judgment, restraining the corps from operating on state and local government roads and imposing a ₦10 million fine on the agency. That earlier ruling, delivered by Justice E. Nwite in Suit No. CA/AS/276/2019, has since become a legal precedent frequently cited by lawmakers and legal practitioners challenging the FRSC’s continued presence on non-federal roads. Most recently, in November 2024, a lawmaker in the Enugu State House of Assembly moved a motion to stop FRSC operations on state and local roads, explicitly referencing the 2019 Warri judgment as the legal basis for arguing that the corps’ actions were unauthorized and undermined state sovereignty.

The Kano judgment effectively reaffirms that the FRSC’s statutory powers, as derived from its enabling Act, are confined to federal trunk roads. For motorists on state and local government roads, this means they cannot be lawfully stopped or fined by FRSC officers. For state governments, the ruling provides a legal foundation to restrict or prohibit FRSC operations within their territories. For the FRSC itself, the judgment may compel a re-evaluation of its enforcement strategies, requiring the corps to focus its resources strictly on federal highways. However, legal experts have noted that the FRSC has previously appealed similar rulings, and it remains to be seen whether the corps will challenge this latest judgment at the Court of Appeal.

According to the court records, the legal battle began in July 2025 when FRSC operatives mounted checkpoints on several township roads across Kano State, stopping motorists indiscriminately and demanding driver’s licences and vehicle documents. Mr. Hikima, who was among those stopped, maintained that he had not committed any traffic violation. He argued that the FRSC officers had no legal basis to detain him or demand his documents, as the road in question was not a federal highway. The court agreed with his submissions, noting that the FRSC’s enabling law does not grant the corps jurisdiction over roads under the control of state or local governments.

Legal analysts have described the judgment as a victory for constitutionalism and rule of law, while also raising concerns about the potential for jurisdictional confusion on Nigerian roads. One Lagos-based constitutional lawyer, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said that the judgment reinforces the principle that statutory agencies must operate strictly within the bounds of their enabling laws, and that the FRSC cannot arrogate to itself powers that the law does not expressly grant. He however noted that this also creates a regulatory vacuum on state roads, which state governments must now fill with their own traffic management agencies.

While the judgment is binding, its practical implementation will depend on whether the FRSC decides to appeal. If the corps accepts the ruling, it will be required to cease all enforcement activities on non-federal roads in Kano State, publish the court-ordered apology, and pay the ₦800,000 damages awarded to Mr. Hikima. Should the FRSC appeal, the matter will proceed to the Court of Appeal, where a higher court will have the final say on the jurisdictional limits of the corps.

This ruling is expected to reignite a national conversation about the division of powers between the federal government and the state governments in regulating road traffic. With 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) managing thousands of kilometres of roads, questions are emerging about who is responsible for traffic enforcement on these routes and whether state governments should establish or strengthen their own traffic agencies. Some states, including Lagos, already operate their own traffic management authorities, such as the Lagos State Traffic Management Authority (LASTMA) , while others rely heavily on the FRSC even on state-owned roads.

Court Strips FRSC of Powers to Operate on State, Local Government Roads

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Petrol importers set to raise depot price to N1,350 per litre as fresh fuel price hike looms

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Petrol importers set to raise depot price to N1,350 per litre as fresh fuel price hike looms

Petrol importers set to raise depot price to N1,350 per litre as fresh fuel price hike looms

Nigerians may soon pay more for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) as petrol importers have concluded plans to increase the depot price of petrol from N1,230 per litre to N1,350 per litre, signalling another likely rise in pump prices across the country.

Industry sources said importers have already notified petroleum marketers of the new ex-depot price, which is expected to take effect from July 17, 2026. The increase is expected to affect independent marketers that depend on imported fuel, with many likely to adjust their retail prices to reflect the higher cost of procurement.

The planned increase comes amid mounting pressure on the global oil market following renewed tensions between the United States and Iran, which have disrupted shipping activities around the Strait of Hormuz—one of the world’s most strategic oil transit routes. The disruption has pushed up freight charges, marine insurance premiums and the landing cost of imported petroleum products, resulting in higher depot prices for importers.

Industry analysts said the latest adjustment reflects the rising cost of imported fuel cargoes rather than changes in local distribution costs. They warned that unless international crude oil prices stabilise, Nigerians could face additional increases in the price of petrol in the coming weeks.

The development also follows the issuance of fresh fuel import licences by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) for the third quarter of 2026.

Under the latest approvals, selected oil marketers have been authorised to import petrol and diesel between July and September to boost fuel availability nationwide.

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According to industry reports, AA Rano, AYM Shafa, Bono, NIPCO and Pinnacle received approvals to import petrol, while AA Rano, AYM Shafa, Bono, Matrix and Pinnacle were licensed to import diesel during the quarter.

Ironically, the latest depot price increase has sparked concerns among stakeholders, as the expanded import licences were expected to deepen competition and help moderate domestic fuel prices after the deregulation of the downstream petroleum sector.

A senior industry source noted that the objective of approving more importers was to create a more competitive market that would offer consumers better pricing options.

Instead, marketers say rising international procurement costs have forced importers to review their prices upward, leaving retailers with little choice but to pass the additional cost on to consumers.

According to a petroleum products marketer, filling stations sourcing products from importers cannot absorb the higher landing costs without adjusting their pump prices.

He explained that under Nigeria’s deregulated fuel market, retail prices are largely determined by acquisition costs, exchange rates, logistics expenses and prevailing international market conditions.

Despite the latest increase in imported fuel prices, marketers noted that products supplied by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery remain relatively cheaper than imported cargoes in many locations.

However, the refinery has also been affected by developments in the international oil market. Industry reports indicate that Dangote Refinery recently began pricing some petroleum products in US dollars, citing crude oil supply challenges and higher international crude prices following the suspension of the Federal Government’s naira-for-crude arrangement.

Data from the NMDPRA shows that the Dangote Refinery currently supplies the vast majority of Nigeria’s domestic petrol demand, significantly reducing the country’s dependence on imported PMS compared to previous years. Nevertheless, imported fuel remains an important source of supply, particularly for independent marketers.

Energy experts warn that continued geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and sustained increases in crude oil prices could further impact petrol prices in Nigeria, with ripple effects on transportation costs, food prices, inflation and the overall cost of living.

For millions of Nigerians already grappling with rising living expenses, the planned increase in the depot price of petrol could translate into higher transport fares, increased business operating costs and additional pressure on household budgets unless global oil market conditions improve.

Petrol importers set to raise depot price to N1,350 per litre as fresh fuel price hike looms

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