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How Nigeria’s mobile money is driving era of AI prosperity

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Ola Williams

How Nigeria’s mobile money is driving era of AI prosperity

By Ola Williams

By the close of 2023, the total GDP of countries using mobile money services was $720 billion higher than it would have been without the proliferation of those services. And at the heart of the world’s mobile money revolution lies Sub-Saharan Africa, leading the market’s growth with over 1.1 billion registered accounts. Without question, mobile services have become a formidable financial force in this region.
Underpinning this economic metamorphosis was the introduction of the Internet. As connectivity swept across Africa, so mobile money services flourished, extending financial lifelines to millions of unbanked individuals and catapulting nations like Nigeria to the forefront of the global mobile money arena.
It’s estimated that in 2023, more than a third of newly registered and active 30-day accounts originated from West Africa, with Nigeria one of the primary drivers of this growth.
Throughout history, there have been general-purpose technologies (GPTs) that have sparked industrial revolutions and redefined entire economies, acting as catalysts for widespread innovation and growth.
The Internet is one of those game-changing technologies, having transformed every sector it touched and setting the stage for unparalleled economic development.
In Nigeria, the financial services industry (FSI) has adeptly embraced GPTs like the Internet, with trailblazing enterprises like Flutterwave, Paga and OPay leveraging connectivity to revolutionise business models and unlock immense growth potential.
Widely recognised as the next great GPT, AI is expected to define the fourth industrial revolution, creating ‘flywheel’ effects that will propel organisations into new realms of innovation and opportunity at an unprecedented pace. According to the World Trade Organisation,

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Artificial Intelligence could contribute $136 billion in productivity gains, cost savings, and increased revenues to countries in the SSA by 2030. Nigeria is expected to benefit from 43 percent of this amount due to its proactive AI strategy.
As the country once again finds itself at the brink of an opportunity to add billions to its GDP and export market-leading solutions – the question is: what can we learn from the FSI sector’s incredible success with mobile internet to harness the next great wave of AI-driven innovation?

Addressing critical gaps in the market
Many of Nigeria’s most famous mobile money exports began with a vision to transform access to financial services, making it possible for previously unbanked individuals to open bank accounts swiftly, transact effortlessly, and secure loans with ease. As a result, the percentage of Nigerians with access to banking services surged by nearly 16 percent between 2011 and 2021.
Leading FSI companies also played a pivotal role in expanding access to credit, using innovative methods to offer loans with minimal documentation. By harnessing data on how customers engage with specific applications, they bridge the gap in a country where only two percent of adults currently have bank credit. This scenario paved the way for mobile money services to thrive, offering a convenient and accessible alternative for financial transactions.
In much the same way, the key to success with AI in Nigeria will lie in understanding and addressing the country’s unique challenges. It’s about recognising the complexities, prioritising areas where AI can make a real difference and working closely with stakeholders to create solutions that are not only technologically sound but also culturally relevant and beneficial to local communities.

Driving regulatory support
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has been instrumental in nurturing the growth of mobile money services in the nation.
By introducing a comprehensive regulatory framework, the CBN set the stage for mobile money operators to thrive. This framework is not just a set of guidelines; it includes crucial provisions for Know Your Customer (KYC) and Customer Due Diligence (CDD) requirements, which ensure operators properly identify their customers and assess risks before offering their services. It’s a robust system that has significantly contributed to the seamless operation and widespread acceptance of mobile money in Nigeria.

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Similarly, to harness the full potential of AI, Nigeria will need sound regulatory support to ensure strong reception and usage of the technology. This boils down to two key aspects: usefulness and trust. While technology must genuinely solve real-world problems and enhance people’s lives, it also needs to be trustworthy, backed by safeguards that protect societal and ethical values. Building and deepening trust should be at the forefront of how governments develop AI regulations and industry practices. Companies like ours, involved in the development and deployment of AI, also have a significant responsibility to continuously invest in robust AI governance practices, ensuring the technology is used safely, securely, and in a manner that the public deems trustworthy.
Investing in critical infrastructure
Now, we come to the backbone of the mobile money revolution: investments in infrastructure. Private-sector companies such as those in the telecommunications sector have been pivotal in laying this groundwork. Their strategic investments in infrastructure and connectivity have opened up mobile money services to even the most rural and underserved areas, boosting accessibility significantly. According to the GSMA, both mobile network operator (MNO)-led and non-MNO-led providers have been key drivers of mobile money growth in Nigeria.
The infrastructure needed to fuel AI innovation warrants even greater intensity of planning and investment. AI capabilities are doubling every six months, requiring constant investment to maintain cutting-edge infrastructure. It’s for this reason; we can expect to see ongoing strategic investments from organisations across both the public and private sectors to expand advanced infrastructure in strategic locations on the continent. Industry leaders will increasingly be required to combine forces to drive the scale of impact needed, partnering to develop entire digital ecosystems, built on investment in state-of-the-art datacentres.

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Both startups and large corporations in Nigeria’s FSI industry are already tapping into the next wave of GPT innovation. WallX, for example, simplifies finance for SMEs by offering solutions for managing international transactions, establishing credit records, and securing loans through AI-driven credit evaluation. Access Holdings, on the other hand, has adopted Copilot for Microsoft 365 to address challenges in data management, meeting productivity, and app development, significantly reducing time spent on tasks.
However, Jeffrey Ding, a professor at George Washington University, provides a key insight: the true driver of economic growth during an industrial revolution is not leading in GPT innovation but widespread adoption of these key technologies. To benefit most from a technology, a country must diffuse it across every sector of its economy. For Nigeria, embracing AI means ensuring its benefits are felt beyond leading pockets in the financial services industry and across all economic sectors. Focusing on the key success factors mentioned earlier will be crucial for achieving this widespread adoption and maximising AI’s benefits nationwide.
The feat of mobile money in Nigeria is a testament to the power of GPT adoption in transforming key sectors. By learning from the country’s greatest success story, we can harness AI to reinvent many more industries, exporting solutions and services and positioning Nigeria as a producer rather than just a consumer of technology. This shift will pave the way for the nation to become an economic powerhouse, driving market-leading growth across the economy and empowering local communities with cutting-edge advancements.

*Ola Williams is managing director of Microsoft Nigeria and Ghana

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Oyetola, VP’s aide, Opeifa to drive discussions at 2026 TCAN Transport Summit 

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Oyetola, VP’s aide, Opeifa to drive discussions at 2026 TCAN Transport Summit 

 

LAGOS – Nigeria’s drive to build a more efficient and integrated transportation system will take centre stage on September 24 as the Minister of Marine and Blue Economy, Dr Adegboyega Oyetola, the Technical Adviser to the Vice President on Transportation, Logistics and Innovation, Dr Segun Obayendo, and the Managing Director of the Nigerian Railway Corporation (NRC), Dr Kayode Opeifa, have confirmed their participation in the 2026 Transportation Summit organised by the Transportation Correspondents Association of Nigeria (TCAN).

Their participation is expected to provide a major boost to the annual summit, which has evolved into one of the country’s foremost platforms for discussions on transportation policy, infrastructure development, logistics and sustainable mobility.

The summit, themed “Unlocking Nigeria’s Economic Growth Through Transportation Logistics,” will bring together policymakers, regulators, transport operators, industry leaders, development partners, academics and other stakeholders to chart practical pathways for strengthening Nigeria’s logistics ecosystem and accelerating economic growth.

Participants will examine the current state of the nation’s transportation architecture across the road, rail, maritime and aviation sectors, while identifying solutions to the bottlenecks hindering seamless movement of passengers and cargo.

Discussions will also focus on multimodal transport integration, investment opportunities within the logistics and supply chains, digital transformation, infrastructure financing, and public-private partnership initiatives.

TCAN Chairman, Mr Tola Adenubi, said the summit would equally review regulatory frameworks needed to improve operational efficiency and enhance Nigeria’s competitiveness in the global logistics industry.

According to him, the confirmation by Oyetola, Obayendo and Opeifa underscores the Federal Government’s commitment to engaging stakeholders in driving reforms that will reposition the nation’s transport sector.

Oyetola is expected to deliver the keynote address, outlining the Federal Government’s agenda for the marine and logistics sector, ongoing reforms, infrastructure investments and policies aimed at improving intermodal connectivity, boosting port efficiency and strengthening the country’s logistics value chain.

Obayendo will provide insights into the transportation and logistics components of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda, highlighting key reforms and their impact on national economic development.

Opeifa, on his part, will present updates on the railway modernisation programme, operational improvements, rail safety, passenger and freight services, and the expanding role of the Nigerian Railway Corporation in supporting economic growth.

Expressing optimism over the calibre of participants, Adenubi said the summit would offer stakeholders a rare opportunity to engage directly with key government officials shaping Nigeria’s transportation future.

“We are delighted that the Honourable Minister of Marine and Blue Economy, Dr Adegboyega Oyetola, the Technical Adviser to the Vice President on Transportation, Logistics and Innovation, Dr Segun Obayendo, and the Managing Director of the Nigerian Railway Corporation, Dr Kayode Opeifa, have accepted our invitation to participate in the 2026 TCAN Summit.

“Their presence will provide participants with first-hand insights into the Federal Government’s vision for the transport sector while creating opportunities for meaningful engagement between policymakers, industry operators and the media,” he said.

Beyond the keynote sessions, the summit will feature presentations by government agencies and leading players across the transportation and logistics value chain, alongside networking sessions designed to strengthen collaboration across the road, rail, maritime, aviation and multimodal transport sectors.

As part of the event, TCAN will also recognise individuals and organisations that have made significant contributions to the growth of Nigeria’s transport industry through its “Champion of Transport Industry Development” compendium.

The summit is scheduled to hold on September 24, 2026, at Radisson Hotel, Ikeja, Lagos.

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Petrol price hits N1,400 per litre as transport fares rise across Nigeria

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Petrol price hits N1,400 per litre as transport fares rise across Nigeria

Petrol price hits N1,400 per litre as transport fares rise across Nigeria

Millions of Nigerians are facing renewed economic hardship as the petrol price has risen to as high as N1,400 per litre in several parts of the country, forcing transport operators to increase fares and adding further pressure to the rising cost of living.

The latest increase follows a sharp rise in global crude oil prices, which has driven up the cost of refined petroleum products and triggered fresh adjustments in ex-depot and retail pump prices across Nigeria’s downstream petroleum market.

Industry data obtained from petroleum marketers showed that several depots in Lagos, Warri and Calabar reviewed their ex-depot prices upward after international oil prices surged.

In Lagos, A.A. Rano increased its ex-depot price from N1,275 to N1,279 per litre, while African Terminal, Ascon, Gulf Treasure, Integrated and T.Time adjusted theirs to about N1,275 per litre. However, EMADEB marginally reduced its price from N1,278 to N1,274 per litre.

The development coincided with the resumption of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) loading by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery, which returned to naira transactions after temporarily suspending gantry loading. At the same time, the refinery increased its ex-depot price from N1,075 to N1,215 per litre, representing a 13.02 per cent increase.

The refinery had suspended truck and coastal loading after introducing a dollar-denominated pricing structure, citing challenges in sourcing sufficient crude oil under the Federal Government’s naira-for-crude initiative. Although naira sales have resumed, the higher ex-depot price has pushed retail prices upward across the country.

Consequently, motorists are now buying petrol at between N1,260 and N1,400 per litre, depending on location and marketer, with independent filling stations recording some of the highest pump prices.

The increase has had an immediate impact on transportation costs.

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In the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), commuters said they now spend significantly more on daily transportation, while commercial drivers explained that rising fuel costs have made fare adjustments unavoidable to remain in business.

Some commercial transport operators in Lagos have also raised fares on major routes, although competition among bus operators has limited uniform increases across the city.

In Kwara State, major marketers now sell petrol for between N1,255 and N1,305 per litre, while pump prices have climbed to around N1,350 per litre in Kaduna.

Motorists in Adamawa State are paying between N1,360 and N1,370 per litre, while independent filling stations in Maiduguri now dispense petrol for between N1,370 and N1,390 per litre.

The rising cost of fuel has also affected interstate travel. Operators on the Maiduguri–Kano route have increased transport fares from N20,000 to N25,000, citing higher fuel costs and increased vehicle operating expenses.

However, transport fares have remained relatively stable in parts of Ibadan and Kano, where operators say they are closely monitoring market developments before making further adjustments.

The Chairman of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) in Borno State, Mohammed Kuluwu, said frequent fluctuations in petrol prices have created uncertainty in the downstream sector, making many marketers reluctant to load products because of fears of sudden price changes.

Energy law expert Prof. Dayo Ayoade of the University of Lagos attributed the latest increase to the realities of Nigeria’s deregulated petroleum market.

According to him, domestic fuel prices are now largely determined by international crude oil prices, foreign exchange movements and market forces, while the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) significantly limits direct government intervention in pricing.

He added that challenges affecting the implementation of the Federal Government’s naira-for-crude policy have reduced the volume of crude supplied to local refineries, contributing to higher refining and distribution costs.

Oil and gas analyst Abdullahi Shehu called on the Federal Government to expand crude oil supply to domestic refineries under favourable terms, arguing that stronger local refining capacity could help moderate petrol prices and reduce dependence on imported refined products.

Similarly, economist and energy expert Dr. Marcel Okeke warned that sustained increases in fuel prices could further accelerate inflation, raise production and logistics costs for businesses and worsen the financial burden on households already struggling with rising food prices and other essential expenses.

Economic analysts note that because petrol remains the primary fuel powering transportation, logistics and many small businesses, continued increases in pump prices are likely to translate into higher prices for goods and services nationwide, thereby deepening inflationary pressures.

The latest fuel price adjustment comes at a time when many Nigerians are already contending with high inflation, rising electricity costs and increased household expenses, raising concerns that further increases in transportation costs could negatively affect businesses, workers and consumers if global oil prices remain elevated.

Petrol price hits N1,400 per litre as transport fares rise across Nigeria

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Nigerians May Pay More for Fuel as Global Oil Prices Surge Above $100 Per Barrel

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Nigerians May Pay More for Fuel as Global Oil Prices Surge Above $100 Per Barrel

Nigerians May Pay More for Fuel as Global Oil Prices Surge Above $100 Per Barrel

Nigerians face the prospect of higher petrol prices, increased transport fares, and renewed inflationary pressure as global crude oil prices have surged above $100 per barrel for the first time since May amid escalating conflict in the Middle East.

The surge represents about a 6.77 per cent increase on Thursday following several days of gains as the United States stepped up military strikes against Iran. Brent crude, the international benchmark against which Nigeria’s oil is priced, climbed above $100 per barrel on Thursday, July 23, 2026, reaching $100.69 after surging more than seven per cent in a single day. By 4:40 p.m. WAT, Brent crude had risen 7.43 per cent to $101.10 per barrel, while U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained 6.77 per cent to trade at $92.71 per barrel.

The latest price rally has been driven by threats to two of the world’s most strategic shipping routes: the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil supply passes, and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea. The Iran-aligned Houthi militia in Yemen has opened a new front by targeting vessels carrying Saudi oil in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait after declaring a naval blockade on shipments from Saudi Arabia. The Houthi group claimed to have attacked two Saudi oil tankers, identified as ENCELIA and LAYLA, using ballistic and cruise missiles as well as drones. The attacks have lifted global benchmark prices by about 20 per cent over the past two weeks. Several oil tankers have altered their routes, with at least five changing course in the Red Sea. The disruption has been compounded by other supply constraints. Kazakhstan has reportedly begun cutting oil production after drone attacks disrupted tanker loadings at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal on the Black Sea. Indian state refiners have suspended Iraqi crude loadings because of shipping risks around Hormuz, while Russian fuel exports remain constrained following months of attacks on refinery infrastructure. Strategic petroleum reserves released by several governments since the conflict escalated have reduced emergency stockpiles, commercial inventories have continued to decline, and China has increasingly relied on previously accumulated reserves rather than fresh imports. Goldman Sachs has warned that Brent crude could climb to as high as $120 a barrel by the end of the year if exports through the strategic waterway remain disrupted.

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The surge in crude oil prices has already translated into higher costs at Nigerian pumps. The impact is already beginning to reflect in Nigeria’s downstream market, with prices at filling stations in Lagos and its environs currently ranging between N1,300 and N1,400 per litre, depending on location. In Abuja, pump prices have increased from about N1,155 per litre to approximately N1,350 per litre, adding further pressure on households and businesses already grappling with elevated living costs. Dangote Petroleum Refinery resumed gantry loading of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) in naira on Thursday after a week-long suspension, while raising its ex-depot petrol price to N1,215 per litre, up from the previous N1,075 per litre, representing a 13.02 per cent increase. The refinery had suspended gantry and coastal loading on July 15 after introducing a dollar-denominated pricing template for refined petroleum products, a move that disrupted fuel supply and forced marketers to source products from private depots. Fresh loading data obtained from petroleum marketers showed an upward movement in ex-depot prices across Lagos, Warri and Calabar. In Lagos, A.A. Rano increased its ex-depot price from N1,275 to N1,279 per litre, while African Terminal, Ascon, Gulf Treasure, Integrated and T.Time hiked their rates to N1,275. The spokesperson of the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN), Chinedu Ukadike, confirmed that loading had resumed across depots, although it remains unclear whether purchases directly from the Dangote Refinery are now being settled in dollars.

The rise in crude oil prices presents a mixed picture for Nigeria. The 2026 Federal Government budget was benchmarked at a crude oil price of $64.85 per barrel**, daily production of 1.84 million barrels, and an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US dollar. At current prices, Nigeria is earning about **$35 more per barrel than projected, potentially generating billions of naira in additional revenue if production and exports remain stable. However, revenue gains may be moderated by lower-than-budgeted output. According to the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), current oil production stands at about 1.7 million barrels per day, including condensate. More importantly, economists caution that the fiscal windfall may be outweighed by the rising cost of living, as Nigerians bear the burden of higher fuel prices under the deregulated downstream petroleum market. The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) has warned that domestic refining alone may not significantly reduce petrol prices, as crude oil feedstock is priced using international benchmarks and denominated in US dollars.

Transport fares have already begun to rise across the country as a result of the fuel price increases. In Abuja, residents have expressed frustration over the latest increase, saying transportation costs now consume a significant portion of their earnings. A civil servant told Daily Trust: “My salary has not changed, but I now spend much more just getting to work and back. It is becoming impossible to survive in Abuja.” Any increase in petrol prices is expected to trigger fresh hikes in transport fares, with knock-on effects on the prices of food, manufactured goods, and other essential commodities across the country. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned that refined fuel markets remain tighter than crude supplies, meaning that markets for refined oil products, including diesel and gasoline, are considerably tighter than those for crude. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol warned that a “full and unconditional reopening of the Strait of Hormuz” would be essential to prevent a further deterioration in global energy security.

Commenting on the development, Managing Director of Petroleumprice.ng, Jeremiah Olatide, said the downstream sector has become increasingly volatile. “With the resumption of loading by Dangote Petroleum Refinery in naira at N1,215 per litre on Wednesday, we expected fuel importers to reduce prices, and some actually did. However, the sudden spike in crude oil prices due to the Middle East crisis has disrupted that trend. We should expect more price instability in the coming weeks,” he told Vanguard. National President of the Oil and Gas Services Providers Association of Nigeria (OGSPAN), Mazi Colman Obasi, noted that while depots and filling stations had yet to implement widespread price increases, the impact could soon be felt across the economy. “The implications will be far-reaching for households, businesses and the wider economy once operators across the value chain adjust their prices,” he warned. Energy experts say the current situation reflects the realities of Nigeria’s deregulated petroleum market under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA). Professor Dayo Ayoade, an energy law expert at the University of Lagos, explained that local petrol prices are now tied directly to international crude oil prices and exchange rate movements. The exposure of Nigeria’s local PMS markets to the vulnerabilities of an oil shock and increasing prices due to the US-Iran war will be ongoing. So long as the conflict continues, the price will go up, and Nigeria will be unable to protect itself against that higher cost.

Nigerians May Pay More for Fuel as Global Oil Prices Surge Above $100 Per Barrel

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