Business
‘More expensive than subsidy?’ — Is FG’s N5,000 transport grant dead on arrival?
Zainab Ahmed, minister of finance, budget, and national planning, said on Tuesday that the federal government would remove fuel subsidy by 2022 and replace it with a N5,000 grant for the poorest Nigerians. According to her, about tens of millions Nigerians would benefit from the transport grant.
Following the revelation, Nigerians online and offline have weighed in on the policy, raising quite a number of reservations about the policy, which is billed to take off sometime between February to June 2022.
While some say the policy is inevitable, following the fiscal condition of the Nigerian states, others differ, emphasising that Nigeria is an oil-producing country and should not have to pay so much for petrol.
TheCable on Wednesday reported that Nigeria had the third-lowest petrol pump price in Africa, after Angola and Algeria. This position strengthens the argument for keeping oil subsidies — if other oil-producing states are doing it, Nigeria can keep subsidies too.
On the flip side, some Nigerians believe the removal of subsidies is long overdue. This school of thought claims that Nigeria is at least 10 years late to the party. They see subsidies as unsustainable, inefficient, and responsible for the lack of competition in the oil sector.
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However, a large chunk of both schools of thought does not entirely believe in the idea of giving N5,000 transport grants to the poorest Nigerians. Some say the grant will be more expensive than the existing fuel subsidy and would have an even worse impact on state finances.

Zainab Ahmed taking questions at NDU launch event
TheCable has reviewed all we know about this policy to draw informed conclusions on the subsidy removal and replacement plan.
You may have seen claims online suggesting that N5,000 for 40 million Nigerians monthly, would amount to N2.4 trillion, which is more than the existing subsidy payments of about N1.8 trillion per year. Mathematically, this is correct. But according to what we know about the policy, this is not exactly the case.
Speaking at the launch of the Nigeria Development Update (NDU) hosted by the World Bank, the minister of finance, said the number of beneficiaries would vary between 20 million and 40 million.
During her opening speech, she said: “Ahead of the target date of mid-2022 for the complete elimination of fuel subsidies, we are working with our partners on measures to cushion potential negative impact of the removal of the subsidies on the most vulnerable at the bottom 40% of the population.
“One of such measures would be to institute a monthly transport subsidy in the form of cash transfer of N5,000 to between 30 – 40 million deserving Nigerians.”
For 30 million Nigerians, the cost of maintaining this grant per year will be N1.8 trillion, which is also as bad as the subsidy payment itself. Going by what the minister initially said, the cost of the grants is worse. This drives the argument for keeping subsidies.
However, the minister also said during the panel discussion that the grant may not get to all 40 million Nigerians, suggesting that the final numbers will be dependent on available resources. This means a lot less than N1 trillion may eventually be spent on delivering the policy.
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TIME: FEBRUARY OR JUNE 2022?
Another challenge with the project is the timeline; questions abound on when exactly this project would kick-off. According to the Petroleum Industry Act, subsidies should be removed by February 2022. But according to the 2022 budget, subsidies will be paid till June, 2022.
Two contradicting pieces of legislation? Not exactly. When the PIB was signed by President Muhammadu Buhari, the president set up an implementation committee to execute PIA within the space of one year.
The committee, in line with the ministry of finance, budget and national planning, made room for subsidies till June 2022, but the removal could be as early as February to save the government some subsidy funds.
Will December, January, February be enough time to convince Nigerians on subsidy removal? Time will tell.

The beneficiaries would be identified as they were with other SIPs under the Buhari government, but payments will not be made physically like this
HOW WOULD THE 40M NIGERIANS BE SELECTED?
Yes, this is a recurrent question. But according to the minister, the selection process will build on the existing conditional cash transfer register used by the office of the vice-president in administering payments to poor and vulnerable Nigerians in the past.
The minister said the government will be working with state governments and non-governmental organisation (NGO) to ensure that the people who get the grant are the ones who actually get the funds.
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DEAD ON ARRIVAL?
The World Bank recommended that Nigeria “implement a large-scale (covering 25% to 50% of the population) and time-bound targeted cash-transfer program to mitigate impacts of high inflation and the PMS subsidy removal.”
It also asked the government to “redirect savings from PMS subsidy to finance primary health, basic education, and rural connectivity projects” with the country.
The bank estimates that subsidy savings could be as high as N3 trillion per year. If that is the reality, then Nigeria can go ahead with the cash transfers, and still have some money to finance primary health, basic education, and rural connectivity projects.
However, going by 2019 figures, subsidy savings will be less than N2 trillion, while N5,000 to 40 million Nigerians will amount to N2.4 trillion. At that rate, there will be no savings for other projects recommended by the bank.
Dead on arrival? A lot will depend on the final implementation plans.
TheCable
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FRSC hands over Safeline Bank to ROBOPAY, targets digital financial transformation
FRSC hands over Safeline Bank to ROBOPAY, targets digital financial transformation
The Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC) has handed over ownership of Safeline Microfinance Bank to ROBOPAY NIG. LTD., paving the way for a major recapitalisation and technology-driven transformation of the financial institution.
The divestment, which took place on Monday, October 5, 2026, at the bank’s premises in Abuja, is expected to reposition Safeline Microfinance Bank for stronger competitiveness, improved service delivery and sustainable growth in Nigeria’s rapidly evolving financial services sector.
The development, according to a statement by the Corps Public Education Officer, Osondu Ohaeri, is part of the strategic efforts under the leadership of the Corps Marshal, Shehu Mohammed, to reposition the institution for greater efficiency and competitiveness.
Safeline Microfinance Bank was established by the FRSC to provide financial services and opportunities to members of the Corps and other stakeholders.
Speaking at the handover ceremony, Chairman of the Board of Safeline Microfinance Bank, Ibrahim Babagana, a Deputy Corps Marshal (Rtd.), said the decision to divest the bank followed a careful assessment of the prevailing regulatory environment and emerging government policies affecting the microfinance banking industry.
Babagana said sustaining the bank under the changing financial landscape would require substantial additional capital, greater investment in technology and enhanced human capital.
He explained that the Board therefore resolved to transfer ownership to an investor with the capacity, resources and commitment to make the required investments and place the bank on a sustainable growth trajectory.
The former FRSC chief expressed confidence in ROBOPAY, saying the company had demonstrated the competence, commitment and vision required to build on the foundation established by the Corps and take Safeline Microfinance Bank to a new level.
He identified strengthening the bank’s capital base, deploying modern technology and investing in human resources as critical priorities for its survival and competitiveness in the increasingly digital financial services market.
Responding on behalf of ROBOPAY NIG. LTD, Malam Aliyu Abiodun thanked the Board and management of Safeline Microfinance Bank for the confidence reposed in the company, describing the acquisition as a significant milestone and an opportunity to unlock the institution’s considerable potential.
Abiodun said the bank already had valuable assets, structures and an institutional foundation which the new owners would build upon through strategic investments in financial technology, capital and human resources.
He said ROBOPAY would deploy FinTech solutions to modernise the bank’s operations, improve customer experience, expand its service offerings and strengthen its competitive position within Nigeria’s financial services industry.
According to him, the new ownership would retain and leverage the institutional foundation created by the FRSC while introducing innovative technology-driven solutions capable of opening new growth opportunities for the bank.
The transaction thus signals more than a change in ownership, as it ushers Safeline Microfinance Bank into a new phase anchored on recapitalisation, digital innovation and professionalised financial services.
Both parties expressed commitment to ensuring a seamless transition, with the ultimate objective of building a stronger, more competitive and sustainable institution capable of delivering greater value to its customers and stakeholders.

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Business
Tantita Operations Push Oil Export Earnings to $9.39bn in Q2
Tantita Operations Push Oil Export Earnings to $9.39bn in Q2
Nigeria’s crude oil export earnings rose to $9.39 billion in the second quarter of 2026, with improved pipeline security, higher production and greater stability in the Niger Delta supporting the stronger performance.
Provisional Balance of Payments (BOP) data showed that Nigeria’s total goods exports increased to $20.08 billion in Q2, up from $15.56 billion in the first quarter.
Crude oil exports increased by 15.78 per cent to $9.39 billion, while natural gas exports climbed by 40.15 per cent to $3.63 billion.
The improvement has renewed attention on the role of pipeline security in protecting Nigeria’s oil production and ensuring that crude reaches evacuation points and export terminals.
Among the companies involved in pipeline surveillance in the Niger Delta is Tantita Security Services Nigeria Limited (TSSNL), which was engaged by the Federal Government to protect oil pipelines and other critical petroleum infrastructure.
Tantita’s operations, carried out alongside government security agencies, have focused on tackling oil theft, illegal bunkering and pipeline vandalism and improving the security of facilities used to transport crude oil.
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Industry stakeholders have linked the improved operating environment in the Niger Delta to increased crude production and stronger export performance. However, the rise in export earnings cannot be attributed to Tantita alone, as production volumes, international oil prices, investments, operational efficiency and wider government measures also influence export receipts.
The broader export figures also showed significant improvements across other sectors of the petroleum industry.
Refined petroleum product exports increased by 66.24 per cent to $3.94 billion, while non-oil exports rose by 25.30 per cent to $3.12 billion during the quarter.
At the same time, Nigeria’s crude oil imports fell sharply from $1.39 billion in Q1 to $580 million in Q2, further strengthening the country’s external position.
The stronger export performance helped push Nigeria’s current account surplus to $7.54 billion, representing a 67.93 per cent increase from the $4.49 billion recorded in Q1. The figure was also higher than the $5.17 billion recorded in Q2 2025.
The increase in the current account surplus was driven largely by higher export earnings and an improved goods account.
The rise in crude earnings also coincided with stronger production, with Nigerian crude output reaching about 1.56 million barrels per day in June 2026, excluding condensates.
The development is significant for Nigeria, which has struggled in recent years to consistently meet its production potential because of crude oil theft, pipeline vandalism, ageing infrastructure and underinvestment in the upstream sector.
Improving security around oil-producing assets has therefore become a key part of efforts to raise output and increase foreign-exchange earnings.
Tantita, led by High Chief Government Oweizide Ekpemupolo, popularly known as Tompolo, has been at the centre of the Federal Government’s pipeline surveillance arrangement in the Niger Delta.
Stakeholders, however, say sustained growth in oil earnings will require more than surveillance operations. They have called for continued investment in exploration and field development, improved infrastructure, enhanced recovery from mature fields and faster development of major deepwater projects.
The Federal Government has also been pursuing measures aimed at attracting fresh investment into Nigeria’s upstream sector, including fiscal incentives for deepwater oil and gas projects.
For Nigeria, the latest export figures offer a boost at a time when the country is seeking stronger foreign-exchange inflows, increased oil production and greater fiscal revenues.
The challenge now is to sustain the improvement by keeping petroleum infrastructure secure, reducing crude losses and ensuring that higher production translates into consistent export earnings and broader economic benefits.
Tantita Operations Push Oil Export Earnings to $9.39bn in Q2
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Business
Dangote Sets 40-Month Deadline for $16bn East Africa Refinery in Kenya
Dangote Sets 40-Month Deadline for $16bn East Africa Refinery in Kenya
Nigerian industrialist Aliko Dangote has set a 40-month completion target for his planned $16 billion East Africa refinery in Lamu, Kenya, following the official groundbreaking of the project.
Dangote and Kenyan President William Ruto broke ground for the 700,000-barrel-per-day (bpd) refinery on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, with the facility designed to supply refined petroleum products to Kenya and other countries across the region.
Dangote said the refinery would be commissioned within 40 months.
“We will come back here and commission this refinery in 40 months from today,” he said at the ceremony.
The Dangote East Africa Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals Complex is expected to process about 700,000 barrels of crude oil daily, making it one of the largest refining projects in Africa and, when completed, potentially the world’s largest single-train refinery.
The project is expected to produce petrol, diesel, jet fuel, polypropylene and base oil, with the products targeted at Kenya and wider East African markets. Dangote has also said part of the refinery’s jet-fuel output could be supplied to Europe and the United Kingdom.
The facility will also include a planned 1,000-megawatt power plant, which Dangote said would provide electricity for the wider industrial complex.
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Beyond refining, the billionaire said the project would create an industrial ecosystem covering petrochemicals, logistics, engineering, marine services, manufacturing, technology and small and medium-sized enterprises.
Dangote also announced plans for a training school that would prepare 1,000 Kenyan engineering graduates for opportunities associated with the project. The wider development is expected to generate thousands of jobs across the refinery and related industries.
The project has attracted major international engineering and technology partners, with Honeywell Technologies providing process technologies, licensing, engineering services, catalysts, equipment and digital solutions.
The use of established designs and experience from Dangote’s Nigerian refinery is expected to shorten the development schedule compared with a typical new refinery.
Engineers India Limited is also involved in the project under a major engineering and project-management contract.
Dangote’s Kenyan project is modelled partly on the experience of his 650,000-bpd refinery in Lagos, with the new facility expected to draw on technology and engineering experience gained from the Nigerian plant.
The refinery is expected to source crude from Uganda and other African producers, while serving a market extending beyond Kenya to countries including Uganda, Rwanda, Tanzania, Ethiopia and South Sudan.
Regional leaders who attended the groundbreaking included Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni and Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, alongside other African leaders and former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo.
President Ruto described the project as an investment in energy security, industrialisation and regional integration, while stressing the importance of ensuring that Kenyan citizens benefit from the employment and training opportunities created by the refinery.
Dangote has also proposed allowing governments in the region to take a combined 30 per cent stake in the refinery, potentially giving participating countries an opportunity to benefit financially from the project.
However, the project faces a legal challenge over the land on which it is being developed. A Kenyan court ordered parties to maintain the status quo over a disputed parcel in Lamu after residents challenged the development, citing ancestral land claims and other concerns.
Environmental concerns have also been raised over the potential impact of the project on the coastal ecosystem and the wider Lamu area.
Despite the legal and environmental issues, Dangote has said the project will proceed.
Once completed, the $16 billion Kenya refinery is expected to increase refining capacity in East Africa, reduce dependence on imported petroleum products and support the region’s broader industrialisation drive.
Dangote Sets 40-Month Deadline for $16bn East Africa Refinery in Kenya
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