Politics

PDP, LP Knock Fitch’s Projection on Tinubu winning 2023 election, Say Report Unrealistic

Published

4 years ago

October 30, 2022

Presidential Candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu

The Atiku/Okowa Presidential Campaign Organisation of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and the Labour Party (LP), yesterday dismissed the Fitch Solutions Country Risk and Industry Research report released on Thursday, which predicted victory for the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu, in the 2023 presidential election, describing the report as unrealistic.

The report also projected that Tinubu’s victory would lead to protests and social instability in the country because of the Muslim-Muslim ticket and the expectations of the followers of the Labour Party’s candidate, Mr. Peter Obi, that would be dashed.
But in their separate reactions, the LP argued that Fitch derived its results from outdated research methods, while the Atiku-Okowa Campaign Organisation said the report was speculative.

This is as Obi yesterday flagged off his presidential campaign at the Government Science School, Lafia, the capital city of Nasarawa State, promising that he would not give excuses for non-performance if elected president in 2023.

National Publicity of the LP, Arabambi Abayomi told THISDAY that the Fitch Solutions Country Risk and Industry Research failed to carry out thorough research on the true opinions of Nigerians to understand their feelings and frustrations this time around.
Arabambi said the research was carried out without an in-depth understanding of the true feelings of Nigerians, who he said no longer trust the ruling APC that has placed the country’s economy on autopilot.

“Like football, permutations no longer win the game and it is not over until it is over. Without going into details of the research which gave victory to the candidate of the APC, I will like to add that the world has moved beyond bookmakers for electoral victory.

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“A case in point is how the APC fell in Edo and Osun states, despite their rigging machines that have been successful in the past,” he explained.

He commended INEC and the National Assembly for the passage of the amended electoral laws, which he described as a game changer.

He said, “with these provisions and increased political awareness among Nigerians, the APC should begin to write its handover notes to Mr. Obi.”
Reacting to the claim by Fitch’s report that Obi has no structure, Arabambi cited “the recent election in Kenya, where Raila Odinga fell flat at the poll despite the support from the incumbent, Mr. Kenyatta, who abandoned his vice, Williams Ruto.

He said: “The just concluded Kenya elections, women got elected into the parliament and won governorship seats as against the tradition.
“A big shocker awaits the bookmakers as Peter Obi is ready to prove them wrong,” he added.

Responding to the claim that Obi has only urban followership, Arambambi cited the acceptance of digital banking by Nigerians across the geopolitical locations and social strata, stressing that “unlike, the followership of the other political parties that are based on financial inducement, those who following the LP is doing it out of conviction and are ready to put their all to see the emergence of Obi as the next President of Nigeria.

In his reaction, the spokesman of the Atiku/Okowa Presidential Campaign Organisation, Mr. Kola Ologbondiyan said the Fitch’s report was “merely contrived, imaginary and completely illusory; “It is a trivial opinion of ignorant interlopers which does not conform with any empirical or substantiated indicators regarding the direction of the 2023 presidential election in Nigeria

“While we do not want to conclude on the opinion already widely held in the public space that the report was procured or not emanating officially from Fitch, especially, given the desperation and devious antecedents of the Tinubu Campaign Organisation and the All Progressives Congress (APC), it is, however, important to state that these conjectures are the direct opposite of the reality on the ground,” he explained.

He argued that Tinubu cannot face the presidential candidate of the PDP, Atiku Abubakar and his running mate and Governor of Delta State, Dr. Ifeanyi Okowa.
He said: “Contrary to the report being peddled by the APC, Asiwaju Tinubu is battling with trust issues, stamina concerns, massive open rejection by the majority of voters across the country, a mass exodus from his APC into PDP due to the abysmal failures of his party in addition to his (Tinubu’s) confessed selfish motives for being in the presidential race.

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“In reality, unlike Atiku Abubakar, Tinubu has no strong, organic and reliable political base anywhere in the country and cannot get the required 25 per cent in the majority of the states of the federation.
“Across the north, the APC presidential candidate does not have a stable political structure with the daily decamping of hordes of Nigerians in the region who voted for President Muhammadu Buhari in 2015 and 2019 now crossing over to the PDP to support Atiku Abubakar in the 2023 elections.

“In the south, Asiwaju Tinubu has no solid base in the South-South and South East where he has been roundly rejected. Even in the South-west, the former Lagos State governor has been demystified as evidenced in his party’s devastating loss in the last Governorship election in Osun State; a state considered to be his ancestry home, to the PDP,” he explained.

Meanwhile, the presidential candidate of the LP, Obi has flagged off his campaign and promised that his administration would deliver Nigeria from the deceit and failure of the ruling APC and the PDP when he emerged president in 2023.

Obi said he would tackle unemployment and insecurity to pave the way for economic growth and development if voted into power.
The presidential candidate also pledged to create jobs for youths to lift them off poverty and deprivation.

He also promised to support agriculture in Nasarawa State to ensure food sufficiency and food security.
Obi argued that “it will be disastrous to vote either APC or PDP given the untold suffering the two bad governments of corruption have put Nigerians into.
He promised the people of Nasarawa State and Nigerians that the government of the Labour Party will return farmers to their farms without fear of being killed or their farms destroyed.

He, therefore, appealed to Nigerians to reject money-sharing candidates who come to seek their votes in 2023.
“I and Ahmed Datti will not steal your money. We will not disappoint you; vote for us,” Obi added.
He lamented that Nigerians were suffering because of the kind of leaders occupying government offices, adding that the prices of foodstuffs and other goods in the markets will drop if he wins the presidential election in 2023.

He said: “If you vote for the Labour party in 2023, we will address the persistent farmers/herders clashes in Nasarawa State and the farmers will go back to their farms. We will tackle the state of insecurity bedevilling the entire nation.
“We will lift the youths out of poverty. We will reduce criminality. We will solve the flood problem ravaging the country. The prices of goods will come down and there will be no challenges to food in the country.”

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“When the LP wins, there will be no more strikes in the Nigerian universities. The government will comprise youths and women. We will provide fertilizers to farmers across the nation,” he explained.
He said if elected in 2023, his government would move Nigeria from consumption to production and job creation.

Nigeria Can’t Be Handed over to Sick Leaders in 2023, Says LP Chairman

Also speaking during the campaign, the National Chairman of the LP, Mr. Julius Abure, stated that Nigeria cannot be handed over to “sick leaders” in 2023.
The LP chairman said the challenges faced by the country is as a result of poor leadership.

“All the challenges we have been having in the country are zeroed down to leadership problems,” he said.
“Today, the country is sick. It is sick from insecurity; it is sick from unemployment; the economy is not working.
“If you put everything together, the country is sick and we cannot hand it over to sick people.

“We need vibrant, young, energetic people who can be awake day and night to solve the problems of the country and we have that person.
“We also need somebody who has character, integrity -somebody that will not take our money abroad.”
“Our presidential candidate is strong. We need an energetic and vibrant person because the nation has been suffering from economic hardship due to the wrong choice of candidate,” he added.

In a welcome address, the Nasarawa State chairman of the LP, Alexander Emmanuel, thanked the leadership of the party for choosing the state as the venue for the presidential campaign flag-off.
He promised to canvass more support for Obi across the 13 LGAs in the state.

Related Topics:Featured Fitch LP PDP Projection Tinubu

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Politics

‘Tinubu Must Stay’ Movement Launches Ahead of 2027 Election

Published

1 hour ago

October 2, 2026

Trends Admin

‘Tinubu Must Stay’ Movement Launches Ahead of 2027 Election

A political advocacy group, Tinubu Must Stay (TMS), has launched a national campaign ahead of the 2027 general election, calling for continuity in President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration.

The movement was formally unveiled in Abuja on Thursday, October 1, 2026, with its National Convener, Ibrahim Uba, saying the organisation would promote its position through public engagement, data and what it described as fact-based communication.

Uba said the group was established by Nigerians who support the continuation of the Tinubu administration and want the government’s policies, programmes and reported achievements subjected to public discussion.

He acknowledged that major economic reforms, particularly the removal of the petrol subsidy and changes to the foreign-exchange system, had increased pressure on households through higher living, transportation and energy costs.

However, he argued that the reforms should also be assessed against their stated objectives, measurable outcomes and unresolved challenges.

According to Uba, TMS will operate around three main areas: presenting what it calls fact-based responses to criticisms of the administration, providing alternative explanations of government programmes based on available evidence, and increasing civic engagement ahead of the 2027 election.

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The group cited recent economic indicators in making its case. Uba referred to Nigeria’s reported 4.43 per cent real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2026, compared with 4.23 per cent in the same quarter of 2025 and 3.89 per cent in the first quarter of 2026. He also cited the reported moderation in headline inflation in August.

Uba, however, said economic statistics should not be used to dismiss the difficulties faced by Nigerians, arguing that government programmes should ultimately be assessed by their impact on citizens.

The movement also highlighted the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND), the 3 Million Technical Talent (3MTT) programme, the National Health Fellows Programme and NG-CARES among initiatives it believes should feature in assessments of the administration.

On infrastructure, TMS cited projects including the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway, Sokoto-Badagry Super Highway and Abuja-Kaduna-Zaria-Kano Road, as well as housing projects under the Renewed Hope Housing Programme.

The group also pointed to the Federal Government’s Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) programme, saying it was part of efforts to provide alternatives to petrol and reduce transportation costs following the removal of the subsidy.

On security, Uba acknowledged that insecurity remains a major challenge, while saying government operations against terrorism, banditry, kidnapping, oil theft and other violent crimes had been intensified.

He said the movement would encourage Nigerians to examine both the administration’s reported achievements and the problems that remain unresolved as political activity ahead of the 2027 presidential election intensifies.

The launch of TMS adds to the growing number of political advocacy groups organising around President Tinubu’s political future. While TMS is campaigning for continuity, other groups have adopted opposing positions and are calling for a change of government in 2027.

Uba said TMS would pursue its campaign through what he described as peaceful, factual and democratic engagement, urging Nigerians to assess competing claims about the administration before making their choices in the election.

‘Tinubu Must Stay’ Movement Launches Ahead of 2027 Election

Politics

NDC Protests Police Cancellation of Obi-Kwankwaso March in Akwa Ibom

Published

2 hours ago

October 2, 2026

Trends Admin

Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso and Peter Obi

NDC Protests Police Cancellation of Obi-Kwankwaso March in Akwa Ibom

The Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) and the Obidient Movement in Akwa Ibom State have protested the cancellation of a planned two-million-man march for Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso in Uyo.

The march, organised in support of the NDC presidential candidate, Peter Obi, and his running mate, Rabiu Kwankwaso, was scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026, to coincide with Nigeria’s Independence Day celebration.

The Akwa Ibom State Police Command, however, directed all political parties, groups and associations to reschedule rallies, meetings, processions and other political activities earlier approved for the day.

In a statement signed by the state Police Public Relations Officer, DSP Timfon John, the command said the decision followed intelligence indicating that some individuals might exploit scheduled political activities to cause disturbances and threaten public peace.

The police said the directive was issued in the interest of public safety and security and applied across Akwa Ibom State.

Addressing journalists in Uyo, the state director of the Obidient Movement, Benjamin Smith, expressed anger over the cancellation, describing the decision as an afterthought.

Smith said the movement had previously engaged the police over the proposed march and claimed that the Commissioner of Police, CP Baba Azare, had initially approved the event.

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According to him, representatives of the party and the organising committee met with the police on September 29. He said the police subsequently raised concerns about the availability of personnel to provide security for a gathering of the proposed size.

Smith said the police also cited the fact that the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) had been scheduled to hold its own rally in the state from October 1 to 3, raising concerns about possible clashes between supporters of the different political groups.

The Obidient Movement director claimed that more than N20 million had already been spent on mobilisation across Akwa Ibom’s 31 local government areas before the police directive was issued.

He accused the police of violating the group’s rights to peaceful assembly and said the NDC and its supporters would oppose any future cancellation of the event.

Smith, however, urged supporters to remain law-abiding and said a new date for the march would be announced.

The cancellation was followed by the reported arrest of Elijah Noah, the Akwa Ibom coordinator of the Obi-Kwankwaso Movement, during efforts to stop supporters from proceeding with the march in Uyo. Premium Times reported that Noah was arrested after the police directive cancelling previously approved political processions for October 1. (premiumtimesng.com)

The development occurred amid heightened political mobilisation ahead of the 2027 general elections, with the Obi-Kwankwaso camp stepping up activities across the country.

The cancellation and subsequent confrontation have brought renewed attention to the balance between political gatherings, public safety and the right to peaceful assembly as parties and political movements intensify preparations for the 2027 elections.

NDC Protests Police Cancellation of Obi-Kwankwaso March in Akwa Ibom

Politics

Nigeria at 66: Peter Obi Laments Poverty, Insecurity, Says ‘Worst Place to Be Born’

Published

16 hours ago

October 1, 2026

Trends Admin

Nigeria at 66: Peter Obi Laments Poverty, Insecurity, Says ‘Worst Place to Be Born’

Presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), Peter Obi, has described Nigeria as the “worst place to be born”, citing poverty, insecurity, hunger, unemployment, poor healthcare and the high number of out-of-school children.

Obi made the statement in his Independence Day address on Thursday as Nigeria marked its 66th anniversary, using the occasion to call for an honest assessment of the country’s condition and outline his proposed approach to addressing its challenges.

According to Obi, more than 140 million Nigerians are living in poverty and severe hardship, while more than 18 million children are out of school.

He also raised concerns over insecurity, including terrorism, banditry and kidnapping, saying such threats continue to endanger lives and livelihoods across the country.

On food insecurity, Obi claimed that more than 40 million Nigerians could face extreme hunger by the end of 2026.

He also cited what he described as high levels of youth unemployment and underemployment, putting the affected population at more than 35 million.

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Obi further drew attention to Nigeria’s infant and maternal mortality, drug and substance abuse and life expectancy, arguing that the figures reflected serious challenges in the country’s human development.

“Today, Nigeria is the worst place to be born,” Obi said while highlighting the conditions confronting Nigerian children and young people.

The former Anambra State governor said Nigeria’s difficulties could not be attributed to a lack of resources, describing the country as richly endowed with human and natural resources.

He argued that the central challenge was the failure to convert those resources into human development, productivity, security and shared prosperity.

Obi said his assessment followed a two-day visit to Sokoto State, where he and his running mate, Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso, held consultations on insecurity, poverty, out-of-school children, youth unemployment and drug abuse.

The delegation also visited an Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) camp at Ramin Kura in Sokoto metropolis, where Obi said thousands of women and children were living after being displaced from their communities.

He said many of the displaced children lacked access to education, while mothers and children faced limited access to basic healthcare.

Obi argued that Nigerians displaced by insecurity should be able to return safely to their communities, resume farming and businesses, and send their children to school.

He said that, if elected president, his administration would make security, education, healthcare and productive enterprise major priorities.

Obi also promised to make governance more measurable and accountable, with the welfare and productivity of citizens at the centre of government policy.

He said his administration would seek to move Nigeria from a consumption-driven economy to a productive economy capable of creating jobs, expanding agriculture and manufacturing, investing in human capital and improving opportunities for young people.

The NDC candidate also pledged to spend his presidential holidays within Nigeria if elected, saying he would use the periods to visit different states, interact with citizens and gain a closer understanding of their challenges.

His address came on the same day President Bola Ahmed Tinubu said Nigeria had moved beyond the most difficult phase of his administration’s economic reforms and was entering what he described as an era of shared and widespread prosperity. Tinubu said the government’s focus was now on lowering the cost of living, expanding production, creating jobs and improving opportunities.

Obi’s Independence Day message presented a contrasting assessment of Nigeria’s current condition, with the opposition candidate focusing on poverty, insecurity and social indicators while proposing a shift towards greater productivity, accountability and human development.

He ended his address by urging Nigerians not to lose hope, saying a new Nigeria was possible through accountable leadership, responsible citizenship and a stronger focus on the welfare of citizens.